Trader consensus favors "Jesus Christ" at 66% implied probability for President Trump's remarks at the White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6, 2026, reflecting the event's traditional religious themes on the South Lawn, as seen in his 2025 address emphasizing faith. Weather references trail closely at 62%, a staple for outdoor family gatherings amid forecasts for the date. Ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions, including Trump's March 26 extension of a strike deadline on Iranian energy sites to precisely April 6 unless the Strait of Hormuz reopens, have lifted "Iran" odds to 38%, with traders weighing foreign policy mentions against holiday norms. The low-volume market, launched March 31, anticipates resolution via official White House stream, with no qualifying event at 36%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedFarmer
24%
Big Beautiful Bill
21%
Plastic Egg
21%
Jesus Christ
52%
Sleepy Joe / Biden
19%
Weather / Rain / Raining
22%
World Cup
25%
UFC
17%
Ballroom
39%
Construction
17%
Iran
61%
Epic Fury
26%
Obliterated / Obliteration
15%
Women's Sport
15%
SAVE Act / SAVE America Act
23%
Movie star
21%
Eight War
18%
-No Qualifying Event-
3%
$1,903 Vol.
Farmer
24%
Big Beautiful Bill
21%
Plastic Egg
21%
Jesus Christ
52%
Sleepy Joe / Biden
19%
Weather / Rain / Raining
22%
World Cup
25%
UFC
17%
Ballroom
39%
Construction
17%
Iran
61%
Epic Fury
26%
Obliterated / Obliteration
15%
Women's Sport
15%
SAVE Act / SAVE America Act
23%
Movie star
21%
Eight War
18%
-No Qualifying Event-
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Easter Egg Roll scheduled for April 6, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Easter Egg Roll scheduled for April 6, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the official White House live stream video of the events, which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/@WhiteHouse/streams. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 31, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Easter Egg Roll scheduled for April 6, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Easter Egg Roll scheduled for April 6, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the official White House live stream video of the events, which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/@WhiteHouse/streams. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "Jesus Christ" at 66% implied probability for President Trump's remarks at the White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6, 2026, reflecting the event's traditional religious themes on the South Lawn, as seen in his 2025 address emphasizing faith. Weather references trail closely at 62%, a staple for outdoor family gatherings amid forecasts for the date. Ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions, including Trump's March 26 extension of a strike deadline on Iranian energy sites to precisely April 6 unless the Strait of Hormuz reopens, have lifted "Iran" odds to 38%, with traders weighing foreign policy mentions against holiday norms. The low-volume market, launched March 31, anticipates resolution via official White House stream, with no qualifying event at 36%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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