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Breaking predictions & odds

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Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

60%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

$10M Vol.

$1M Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?

Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?

69%

Avengers: Doomsday

$18.0K Vol.

$32.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

72%

Avengers: Doomsday

$2M Vol.

$155K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will any player break a device during IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1?

Will any player break a device during IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1?

14%

$105 Vol.

$295 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 days

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

18%

$63.1K Vol.

$21.5K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

35%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

130

Ends in 7 months

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

84%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.5K Vol.

$21.6K Liq.

5

Ends in 7 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

48%

June 30, 2027

$487K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

31

Ends in over 1 year

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

18%

$56.7K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

29%

↑ $3

$662K Vol.

$110K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

15%

June 30

$164K Vol.

$24.5K Liq.

10

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 1?

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 1?

39%

28°C

$4.4K Vol.

$40.5K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 25 - May 31)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 25 - May 31)

31%

Gaza

$8.7K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 hour

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

68%

June 30

$27M Vol.

$657K today

$234K Liq.

520

Ends in about 1 month

JOLTS Job Openings — April 2026

JOLTS Job Openings — April 2026

20%

6.9M–7.0M

$1.6K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

28%

↑ 75,000

$41M Vol.

$1M today

$3M Liq.

2

Ends in 1 day

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

11%

Truist

$23.2K Vol.

$59.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

60%

↓ 0.40

$67.0K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?

Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?

6%

$990 Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

52%

↓ $0.40

$1.5K Vol.

$793 Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Breaking.

Polymarket currently hosts 185 active markets for Breaking that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Highest grossing movie in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $83.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↓ 75,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Breaking predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.