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Engagement predictions & odds

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Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

2%

$1M Vol.

$15.6K Liq.

11

Ends in 10 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

47%

December 31

$5M Vol.

$80.7K today

$304K Liq.

119

Ends in 6 months

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

4%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$53.3K today

$160K Liq.

101

Ends in 10 days

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

22%

$622K Vol.

$96.0K today

$51.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

31%

December 31

$493K Vol.

$207K Liq.

25

Ends in 6 months

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

6%

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$61.5K Liq.

17

Ends in 6 months

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

8%

$2M Vol.

$50.6K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

7%

$55.8K Vol.

$30.7K Liq.

5

Ends in 6 months

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

47%

$173K Vol.

$38.5K Liq.

5

Ends in 6 months

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

15%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$57.3K Liq.

57

Ends in 6 months

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

8%

$749K Vol.

$38.0K Liq.

30

Ends in 6 months

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

12%

June 30

$153K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

31

Ends in 10 days

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

2%

$241K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

20

Ends in 2 months

US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

8%

$137K Vol.

$19.6K Liq.

10

Ends in 6 months

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

15%

$218K Vol.

$23.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Who will Taylor Swift's bridesmaids be?

Who will Taylor Swift's bridesmaids be?

68%

Selena Gomez

$4.0K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

3%

$78.2K Vol.

$15.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

25%

December 31, 2026

$100K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Engagement.

Polymarket currently hosts 18 active markets for Engagement that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $19.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 47% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Engagement predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.