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Military Actions predictions & odds

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US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

7%

December 31, 2026

$618K Vol.

$48.3K Liq.

16

Ends in 8 months

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

2%

June 30

$405K Vol.

$48.9K Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

13%

$125K Vol.

$32.4K Liq.

10

Ends in 8 months

Thailand strikes Cambodia by...?

Thailand strikes Cambodia by...?

5%

June 30, 2026

$67.0K Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

15%

September 30

$920K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

185

Ends in 25 days

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

4%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$17.7K Liq.

167

Ends in about 2 months

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

11%

December 31

$881K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

11

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?

41%

December 31

$853K Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

137

Ends in 25 days

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

27%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$35.6K Liq.

166

Ends in about 2 months

Israel military action against Damascus by...?

Israel military action against Damascus by...?

22%

June 30

$183K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

32

Ends in about 2 months

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

45%

7

$1M Vol.

$72.6K today

$681K Liq.

30

Ends in 8 months

US military action against Cuba by...?

US military action against Cuba by...?

37%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$140K Liq.

56

Ends in 8 months

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

94%

$679K Vol.

$106K Liq.

63

Ends in about 2 months

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Nothing Ever Happens: May

78%

Nothing

$39.4K Vol.

$21.1K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Nothing Ever Happens: April

Nothing Ever Happens: April

100%

Nothing

$109K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?

7%

$1.7K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

9%

$70.4K Vol.

$26.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

9%

$67.6K Vol.

$25.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

6%

December 31

$7M Vol.

$78.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$1M Vol.

$23.1K Liq.

37

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Military Actions.

Polymarket currently hosts 149 active markets for Military Actions that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US x Russia military clash by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $21.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Russia invade another country in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 6% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Military Actions predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.