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icon for 2026 में अधिकृत अमेरिकी सैन्य मसौदा?

2026 में अधिकृत अमेरिकी सैन्य मसौदा?

icon for 2026 में अधिकृत अमेरिकी सैन्य मसौदा?

2026 में अधिकृत अमेरिकी सैन्य मसौदा?

हाँ

8% संभावना
Polymarket

$257,562 वॉल्यूम

हाँ

8% संभावना
Polymarket

$257,562 वॉल्यूम

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign a 92.5% probability that Congress will not authorize a U.S. military draft in 2026 because reinstating conscription requires specific legislation amending the Military Selective Service Act to grant the president induction authority, a step with no active bills or bipartisan momentum. The all-volunteer force has operated since 1973 without interruption, and recent developments focus instead on streamlining Selective Service registration through automatic processes effective December 2026 under the fiscal 2026 National Defense Authorization Act. A May 2026 bipartisan Senate bill to abolish the Selective Service System entirely further signals institutional resistance. While geopolitical tensions have prompted statements keeping options open, no national emergency or legislative process has advanced draft authorization, leaving the outcome dependent on future congressional action that remains absent.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$257,562
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign a 92.5% probability that Congress will not authorize a U.S. military draft in 2026 because reinstating conscription requires specific legislation amending the Military Selective Service Act to grant the president induction authority, a step with no active bills or bipartisan momentum. The all-volunteer force has operated since 1973 without interruption, and recent developments focus instead on streamlining Selective Service registration through automatic processes effective December 2026 under the fiscal 2026 National Defense Authorization Act. A May 2026 bipartisan Senate bill to abolish the Selective Service System entirely further signals institutional resistance. While geopolitical tensions have prompted statements keeping options open, no national emergency or legislative process has advanced draft authorization, leaving the outcome dependent on future congressional action that remains absent.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$257,562
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"2026 में अधिकृत अमेरिकी सैन्य मसौदा?" Polymarket पर 2 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, क्या 2026 में अमेरिकी सैन्य भर्ती को अधिकृत किया गया है? 8% (8¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है।

आज तक, "2026 में अधिकृत अमेरिकी सैन्य मसौदा?" ने कुल $257.6K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Mar 13, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"2026 में अधिकृत अमेरिकी सैन्य मसौदा?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 2 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

यह एक खुला बाज़ार है। "2026 में अधिकृत अमेरिकी सैन्य मसौदा?" के लिए वर्तमान अग्रणी "क्या 2026 में अमेरिकी सैन्य भर्ती को अधिकृत किया गया है?" केवल 8% पर है। किसी भी परिणाम के पास मज़बूत बहुमत नहीं होने से, ट्रेडर इसे अत्यधिक अनिश्चित मानते हैं।

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