No legislation has advanced in Congress to authorize compulsory military induction for 2026, leaving the all-volunteer force intact since 1973. The Fiscal Year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act, signed in December 2025, mandates only automatic Selective Service registration for men ages 18–26 beginning December 2026, a procedural update using existing federal data rather than activation of the draft. No acute national emergency or recruitment shortfall has prompted new authorization measures, consistent with the requirement for fresh congressional action and presidential approval to resume conscription. Trader consensus at 92.5% for no authorization reflects this absence of legislative momentum through May 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$257,185 거래량
$257,185 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$257,185 거래량
$257,185 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No legislation has advanced in Congress to authorize compulsory military induction for 2026, leaving the all-volunteer force intact since 1973. The Fiscal Year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act, signed in December 2025, mandates only automatic Selective Service registration for men ages 18–26 beginning December 2026, a procedural update using existing federal data rather than activation of the draft. No acute national emergency or recruitment shortfall has prompted new authorization measures, consistent with the requirement for fresh congressional action and presidential approval to resume conscription. Trader consensus at 92.5% for no authorization reflects this absence of legislative momentum through May 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
거래량
$257,185종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No legislation has advanced in Congress to authorize compulsory military induction for 2026, leaving the all-volunteer force intact since 1973. The Fiscal Year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act, signed in December 2025, mandates only automatic Selective Service registration for men ages 18–26 beginning December 2026, a procedural update using existing federal data rather than activation of the draft. No acute national emergency or recruitment shortfall has prompted new authorization measures, consistent with the requirement for fresh congressional action and presidential approval to resume conscription. Trader consensus at 92.5% for no authorization reflects this absence of legislative momentum through May 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$257,185종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No legislation has advanced in Congress to authorize compulsory military induction for 2026, leaving the all-volunteer force intact since 1973. The Fiscal Year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act, signed in December 2025, mandates only automatic Selective Service registration for men ages 18–26 beginning December 2026, a procedural update using existing federal data rather than activation of the draft. No acute national emergency or recruitment shortfall has prompted new authorization measures, consistent with the requirement for fresh congressional action and presidential approval to resume conscription. Trader consensus at 92.5% for no authorization reflects this absence of legislative momentum through May 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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