No legislative action or official announcements indicate plans to authorize an active U.S. military draft in 2026. Congress would need to amend the Military Selective Service Act to enable inductions, a step separate from the automatic Selective Service registration provisions included in the fiscal year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act signed in December 2025. The all-volunteer force has operated without conscription since 1973, and recent administration statements confirm no current intent to pursue authorization absent a national emergency exceeding recruitment capacity. Trader pricing at 91.5% for "No" aligns with the absence of bills, hearings, or escalatory developments sufficient to trigger such a measure within the calendar year.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$257,562 Vol.
$257,562 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$257,562 Vol.
$257,562 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No legislative action or official announcements indicate plans to authorize an active U.S. military draft in 2026. Congress would need to amend the Military Selective Service Act to enable inductions, a step separate from the automatic Selective Service registration provisions included in the fiscal year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act signed in December 2025. The all-volunteer force has operated without conscription since 1973, and recent administration statements confirm no current intent to pursue authorization absent a national emergency exceeding recruitment capacity. Trader pricing at 91.5% for "No" aligns with the absence of bills, hearings, or escalatory developments sufficient to trigger such a measure within the calendar year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
Volumen
$257,562Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No legislative action or official announcements indicate plans to authorize an active U.S. military draft in 2026. Congress would need to amend the Military Selective Service Act to enable inductions, a step separate from the automatic Selective Service registration provisions included in the fiscal year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act signed in December 2025. The all-volunteer force has operated without conscription since 1973, and recent administration statements confirm no current intent to pursue authorization absent a national emergency exceeding recruitment capacity. Trader pricing at 91.5% for "No" aligns with the absence of bills, hearings, or escalatory developments sufficient to trigger such a measure within the calendar year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$257,562Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No legislative action or official announcements indicate plans to authorize an active U.S. military draft in 2026. Congress would need to amend the Military Selective Service Act to enable inductions, a step separate from the automatic Selective Service registration provisions included in the fiscal year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act signed in December 2025. The all-volunteer force has operated without conscription since 1973, and recent administration statements confirm no current intent to pursue authorization absent a national emergency exceeding recruitment capacity. Trader pricing at 91.5% for "No" aligns with the absence of bills, hearings, or escalatory developments sufficient to trigger such a measure within the calendar year.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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