Congress has taken no steps in 2026 to amend the Military Selective Service Act or grant presidential authority for compulsory induction, leaving the all-volunteer force structure unchanged since 1973. The sole recent legislative development was the December 2025 National Defense Authorization Act, which mandates automatic Selective Service registration for men ages 18–26 beginning in December 2026 but does not restore draft authority or alter induction procedures. Absent a national emergency exceeding recruitment capacity or new congressional action, traders see little basis for authorization this year. A major escalation in ongoing conflicts or unforeseen security crisis could still shift the outlook before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$257,185 Vol.
$257,185 Vol.
Oui
$257,185 Vol.
$257,185 Vol.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Congress has taken no steps in 2026 to amend the Military Selective Service Act or grant presidential authority for compulsory induction, leaving the all-volunteer force structure unchanged since 1973. The sole recent legislative development was the December 2025 National Defense Authorization Act, which mandates automatic Selective Service registration for men ages 18–26 beginning in December 2026 but does not restore draft authority or alter induction procedures. Absent a national emergency exceeding recruitment capacity or new congressional action, traders see little basis for authorization this year. A major escalation in ongoing conflicts or unforeseen security crisis could still shift the outlook before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes