Congress has taken no steps in 2026 to amend the Military Selective Service Act or grant presidential authority for compulsory induction, leaving the all-volunteer force structure unchanged since 1973. The sole recent legislative development was the December 2025 National Defense Authorization Act, which mandates automatic Selective Service registration for men ages 18–26 beginning in December 2026 but does not restore draft authority or alter induction procedures. Absent a national emergency exceeding recruitment capacity or new congressional action, traders see little basis for authorization this year. A major escalation in ongoing conflicts or unforeseen security crisis could still shift the outlook before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$257,185 Vol.
$257,185 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$257,185 Vol.
$257,185 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congress has taken no steps in 2026 to amend the Military Selective Service Act or grant presidential authority for compulsory induction, leaving the all-volunteer force structure unchanged since 1973. The sole recent legislative development was the December 2025 National Defense Authorization Act, which mandates automatic Selective Service registration for men ages 18–26 beginning in December 2026 but does not restore draft authority or alter induction procedures. Absent a national emergency exceeding recruitment capacity or new congressional action, traders see little basis for authorization this year. A major escalation in ongoing conflicts or unforeseen security crisis could still shift the outlook before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
Volume
$257,185Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congress has taken no steps in 2026 to amend the Military Selective Service Act or grant presidential authority for compulsory induction, leaving the all-volunteer force structure unchanged since 1973. The sole recent legislative development was the December 2025 National Defense Authorization Act, which mandates automatic Selective Service registration for men ages 18–26 beginning in December 2026 but does not restore draft authority or alter induction procedures. Absent a national emergency exceeding recruitment capacity or new congressional action, traders see little basis for authorization this year. A major escalation in ongoing conflicts or unforeseen security crisis could still shift the outlook before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$257,185Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Congress has taken no steps in 2026 to amend the Military Selective Service Act or grant presidential authority for compulsory induction, leaving the all-volunteer force structure unchanged since 1973. The sole recent legislative development was the December 2025 National Defense Authorization Act, which mandates automatic Selective Service registration for men ages 18–26 beginning in December 2026 but does not restore draft authority or alter induction procedures. Absent a national emergency exceeding recruitment capacity or new congressional action, traders see little basis for authorization this year. A major escalation in ongoing conflicts or unforeseen security crisis could still shift the outlook before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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