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Crime predictions & odds

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Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

8%

$37.9K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

8

Ends in 8 months

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?

1%

$658K Vol.

$17.9K Liq.

13

Ends in about 1 month

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

14%

$28.4K Vol.

$18.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

65%

$262 Vol.

$71 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

84%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

3%

June 30

$19.8K Vol.

$47.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

19%

$61.7K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

11

Ends in 8 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

4%

May 31

$146K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

10

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

82%

50

$18.3K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

76%

Ricardo Ruiz Velasco

$82.4K Vol.

$582 Liq.

2

Les Wexner charged by June 30?

Les Wexner charged by June 30?

7%

$9.7K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

46%

$130 Vol.

$147 Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Counter-Strike: Banger Gang vs Fire Flux Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: Banger Gang vs Fire Flux Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

52%

Banger Gang

$3 Vol.

$283 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

61%

Bounty Hunters Esports

$636 Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

Ends in about 10 hours

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

27%

$6.4K Vol.

$406 Liq.

3

Will Little Joe escape again?

Will Little Joe escape again?

4%

$798 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

3%

$3.5K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

71%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

18%

$15.7K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

12

Ends in 14 days

Counter-Strike: Despedidos vs Really Gang Esports (BO3) - FiReCONTER Group B

Counter-Strike: Despedidos vs Really Gang Esports (BO3) - FiReCONTER Group B

100%

Despedidos

$1.9K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Crime.

Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for Crime that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Clavicular sentenced to prison?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 84% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Crime predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.