Crime predictions & odds

·
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

9%

$33.4K Vol.

$22.2K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

15%

$58.3K Vol.

$22.0K Liq.

25

Ends in 9 months

Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

25%

$84.4K Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

4

Ends in 3 months

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

14%

$18.5K Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?

3%

$60.9K Vol.

$23.3K Liq.

12

Ends in 3 months

Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

15%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$79.1K Liq.

937

Ends in 3 months

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$4M Vol.

$60.1K Liq.

57

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

81%

No meeting before 2027

$2M Vol.

$174K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

17%

$35.4K Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

45%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

109

Ends in 3 months

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

56%

S&P 500

$24.1K Vol.

$20.9K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

33%

Audias Flores-Silva

$13.2K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

2

Les Wexner charged by June 30?

Les Wexner charged by June 30?

7%

$8.9K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Clavicular arrested again by April 30?

Clavicular arrested again by April 30?

12%

$5.4K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

14%

$6.0K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

1

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

76%

↓ 0.0014

$99.5K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

7%

$8.4K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

5

Ends in about 2 months

What price will Ethena hit in April?

What price will Ethena hit in April?

9%

↑ 0.12

$1.8K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

13%

$286K Vol.

$19.4K Liq.

45

Ends in 9 months

Anthropic CEO arrested?

Anthropic CEO arrested?

3%

$146K Vol.

$19.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Crime.

Polymarket currently hosts 111 active markets for Crime that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $12.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Anthropic CEO arrested?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Epstein client list released by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Epstein client list released by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 14% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Crime predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.