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Charlie Kirk predictions & odds

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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

8%

Yulia Navalnaya

$16M Vol.

$75.6K today

$1M Liq.

167

Ends in 5 months

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

68%

$551K Vol.

$37.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will Trump post this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will Trump post this week? (May 4 - May 10)

51%

Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire

$4.0K Vol.

$607 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

85%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.2K Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?

Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?

10%

$119K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

22

Ends in about 2 months

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$135 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

75%

Iran

$15.3K Vol.

$53.3K Liq.

6

Ends in 7 days

CO-03 House Election Winner

CO-03 House Election Winner

66%

Republican Party

$1.1K Vol.

$29.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

CO-02 House Election Winner

CO-02 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$26.1K Vol.

$27.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

What will Trump say this week? (May 10)

What will Trump say this week? (May 10)

40%

Kamala

$66.2K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

2%

US Confirms Aliens Exist

$237K Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

3

Ends in 6 months

CO-01 House Election Winner

CO-01 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$8.7K Vol.

$30.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

74%

June 30

$27.1K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

84%

$2.3K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?

US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?

12%

$71.8K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (May 8)

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (May 8)

94%

Anthropic

$1.9K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

SC-01 House Election Winner

SC-01 House Election Winner

71%

Republican Party

$35.4K Vol.

$21.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

18%

$7.9K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

67%

Mark Smith

$12.5K Vol.

$48.9K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

CO-06 House Election Winner

CO-06 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$16.9K Vol.

$33.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Charlie Kirk that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $17.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 8% chance to Yulia Navalnaya. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Charlie Kirk predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.