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Court Cases predictions & odds

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Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

94%

$403K Vol.

$22.2K Liq.

68

Ends in about 2 months

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

7%

$26.6K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

36%

$4.4K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

16%

$27.4K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

18

Ends in 8 months

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

13%

$19.1K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

8%

Yulia Navalnaya

$16M Vol.

$80.2K today

$1M Liq.

167

Ends in 5 months

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

65%

Prediction

$6.8K Vol.

$285 Liq.

7

Ends in 1 day

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

91%

$21.4K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

74%

June 30

$27.1K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?

Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?

90%

$9.1K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

2

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

16%

$48.6K Vol.

$13.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

87%

July 31

$937K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

SCOTUS rules in favor of Monsanto?

SCOTUS rules in favor of Monsanto?

66%

$207 Vol.

$35 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

72%

$39.2K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Chirayu Rana sued?

Chirayu Rana sued?

77%

$147K Vol.

$36.9K Liq.

42

Ends in 8 months

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

42%

$234 Vol.

$204 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

28%

$4.7K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

7%

$208K Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

35

Ends in 8 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

16%

May 31

$134K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

10

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

43%

$308K Vol.

$31.6K Liq.

36

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Court Cases.

Polymarket currently hosts 108 active markets for Court Cases that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $18.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 8% chance to Yulia Navalnaya. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Court Cases predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.