Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

62%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$6M Vol.

$58.5K today

$877K Liq.

76

Ends in 9 months

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

9%

$475K Vol.

$104K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

96%

June 30

$109K Vol.

$30.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

10%

$911K Vol.

$130K Liq.

29

Ends in 9 months

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

9%

June 30

$774K Vol.

$106K Liq.

62

Ends in 25 days

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?

8%

$3.3K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Anthropic CEO arrested?

Anthropic CEO arrested?

3%

$144K Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

8%

$38.4K Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

47%

$330K Vol.

$29.9K Liq.

36

Ends in 3 months

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

19%

$5.1K Vol.

$17.0K Liq.

6

Ends in about 2 months

Ukraine military action against Moscow by...?

Ukraine military action against Moscow by...?

7%

April 30

$143K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

54%

$44.6K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

5

Ends in 3 months

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

11%

$5.1K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

23%

June 30

$422K Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality on...?

Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality on...?

1%

March 31

$2M Vol.

$945 Liq.

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

47%

$52.8K Vol.

$59.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?

Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?

7%

$16.2K Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Obama arrested before 2027?

Obama arrested before 2027?

8%

$3.9K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

11%

Yulia Navalnaya

$12M Vol.

$51.1K today

$2M Liq.

148

Ends in 6 months

What Trump-named things will Trump mention in April?

What Trump-named things will Trump mention in April?

78%

TrumpRX / TrumpRX Dot Gov

$33.0K Vol.

$72.3K Liq.

4

Ends in 25 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like International Politics.

Polymarket currently hosts 265 active markets for International Politics that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Iran leader end of 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $23.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Iran Nuke before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 11% chance to Yulia Navalnaya. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on International Politics predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.