**Ongoing UK police investigation into Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor—formerly Prince Andrew—for suspected misconduct in public office, linked to Jeffrey Epstein, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% against a prison sentence.** Arrested February 19, 2026, he was released after 11 hours without charges, a procedural norm allowing continued probes. Recent developments include Crown Prosecution Service (CPS) advice to police yesterday and US DOJ disclosures two days ago on Ghislaine Maxwell emails alleging arrangements for encounters, yet no indictment or trial date after six weeks. Evidentiary hurdles for historical claims, lack of new criminal allegations per Metropolitan Police, and precedents of uncharged Epstein associates sustain high "No" odds, despite PM Starmer's "nobody above the law" statement, with resolution hinging on charging decision.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$202,795 Vol.
$202,795 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$202,795 Vol.
$202,795 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ongoing UK police investigation into Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor—formerly Prince Andrew—for suspected misconduct in public office, linked to Jeffrey Epstein, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% against a prison sentence.** Arrested February 19, 2026, he was released after 11 hours without charges, a procedural norm allowing continued probes. Recent developments include Crown Prosecution Service (CPS) advice to police yesterday and US DOJ disclosures two days ago on Ghislaine Maxwell emails alleging arrangements for encounters, yet no indictment or trial date after six weeks. Evidentiary hurdles for historical claims, lack of new criminal allegations per Metropolitan Police, and precedents of uncharged Epstein associates sustain high "No" odds, despite PM Starmer's "nobody above the law" statement, with resolution hinging on charging decision.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Volume
$202,795End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ongoing UK police investigation into Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor—formerly Prince Andrew—for suspected misconduct in public office, linked to Jeffrey Epstein, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% against a prison sentence.** Arrested February 19, 2026, he was released after 11 hours without charges, a procedural norm allowing continued probes. Recent developments include Crown Prosecution Service (CPS) advice to police yesterday and US DOJ disclosures two days ago on Ghislaine Maxwell emails alleging arrangements for encounters, yet no indictment or trial date after six weeks. Evidentiary hurdles for historical claims, lack of new criminal allegations per Metropolitan Police, and precedents of uncharged Epstein associates sustain high "No" odds, despite PM Starmer's "nobody above the law" statement, with resolution hinging on charging decision.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$202,795End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Ongoing UK police investigation into Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor—formerly Prince Andrew—for suspected misconduct in public office, linked to Jeffrey Epstein, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% against a prison sentence.** Arrested February 19, 2026, he was released after 11 hours without charges, a procedural norm allowing continued probes. Recent developments include Crown Prosecution Service (CPS) advice to police yesterday and US DOJ disclosures two days ago on Ghislaine Maxwell emails alleging arrangements for encounters, yet no indictment or trial date after six weeks. Evidentiary hurdles for historical claims, lack of new criminal allegations per Metropolitan Police, and precedents of uncharged Epstein associates sustain high "No" odds, despite PM Starmer's "nobody above the law" statement, with resolution hinging on charging decision.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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