British authorities arrested Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor in February 2026 on suspicion of misconduct in public office linked to his prior role as a trade envoy and alleged sharing of confidential information, an offense carrying a potential life sentence. He was released under investigation the same day, and no charges have been filed as of late May. UK police reviews of such matters demand substantial evidence before any prosecution decision, leaving insufficient time for charging, trial, and sentencing by the market’s December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Traders assign a 92% probability to “No” reflecting these procedural and timeline barriers, though a formal indictment within the window could still alter outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$210,805 Объем
$210,805 Объем
Да
$210,805 Объем
$210,805 Объем
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...British authorities arrested Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor in February 2026 on suspicion of misconduct in public office linked to his prior role as a trade envoy and alleged sharing of confidential information, an offense carrying a potential life sentence. He was released under investigation the same day, and no charges have been filed as of late May. UK police reviews of such matters demand substantial evidence before any prosecution decision, leaving insufficient time for charging, trial, and sentencing by the market’s December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Traders assign a 92% probability to “No” reflecting these procedural and timeline barriers, though a formal indictment within the window could still alter outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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