Dalton Eatherly, the rage-baiting livestreamer known as Chud the Builder for his confrontational IRL content heavy on racial slurs, faces attempted first-degree murder and related felony charges after a May 13 courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee. The early pretrial stage—bond set at $1 million with added restrictions, gag order in place, and the case headed to grand jury—drives the 68.5% market-implied odds favoring no conviction. Traders weigh the lengthy timeline to any trial, Eatherly’s self-defense claim captured on his stream, potential evidentiary challenges from surveillance footage, and standard prosecutorial hurdles in high-profile cases. Upcoming grand jury and bond hearings remain the next near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 10:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Dalton Eatherly, the rage-baiting livestreamer known as Chud the Builder for his confrontational IRL content heavy on racial slurs, faces attempted first-degree murder and related felony charges after a May 13 courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee. The early pretrial stage—bond set at $1 million with added restrictions, gag order in place, and the case headed to grand jury—drives the 68.5% market-implied odds favoring no conviction. Traders weigh the lengthy timeline to any trial, Eatherly’s self-defense claim captured on his stream, potential evidentiary challenges from surveillance footage, and standard prosecutorial hurdles in high-profile cases. Upcoming grand jury and bond hearings remain the next near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions