69 Business prediction markets

Largest Company end of January?

Business

Finance

Largest Company end of January?

97%

NVIDIA

$3m Vol.

$668k today

$455k Liq.

Ends in 22 days

Gemini 3 score on FrontierMath Benchmark by January 31?

Business

AI

Gemini 3 score on FrontierMath Benchmark by January 31?

47%

40%+

$986k Vol.

$244k today

$81.8k Liq.

1

Ends in 22 days

IPOs before 2027?

Business

Finance

IPOs before 2027?

92%

Discord

$1m Vol.

$191k today

$65.0k Liq.

Ends in 12 months

How high will Polymarket's mindshare go?

How high will Polymarket's mindshare go?

39%

80%

$957k Vol.

$142k today

$9.0k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

2nd Largest company end of January?

Business

Finance

2nd Largest company end of January?

63%

Alphabet

$852k Vol.

$125k today

$115k Liq.

Ends in 22 days

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Business

Finance

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

27%

2 (50 bps)

$2m Vol.

$94.0k today

$938k Liq.

17

Ends in 12 months

3rd largest company end of January?

Business

Finance

3rd largest company end of January?

62%

Apple

$254k Vol.

$72.4k today

$78.6k Liq.

Ends in 22 days

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Business

AI

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

34%

xAI

$429k Vol.

$64.3k today

$26.2k Liq.

4

Ends in 6 months

Largest Company end of March?

Business

Finance

Largest Company end of March?

86%

NVIDIA

$506k Vol.

$252k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

Business

Crypto

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

18%

December 31, 2026

$19m Vol.

$190k Liq.

209

Medline IPO Closing Market Cap

Business

Science

Medline IPO Closing Market Cap

<1%

No IPO before 2026

$160k Vol.

$237k Liq.

8

Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?

Business

Esports

Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?

32%

$116k Vol.

$1.4k Liq.

5

Ends in 3 months

GPT ads by...?

Business

Technology

GPT ads by...?

22%

March 31

$710k Vol.

$6.4k Liq.

112

Ends in 3 months

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Business

SpaceX

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

74%

Morgan Stanley

$202k Vol.

$22.7k Liq.

2

Ends in almost 2 years

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Business

Apple

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

66%

$69.9k Vol.

$6.7k Liq.

4

Ends in 12 months

Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?

Business

Politics

Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?

22%

$208k Vol.

$4.6k Liq.

7

Ends in 6 months

US bank failure by March 31?

Business

Finance

US bank failure by March 31?

26%

$65.6k Vol.

$8.3k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Business

Crypto

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

93%

$10.9k Vol.

$17.8k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Business

Finance

Largest Company end of December 2026?

47%

NVIDIA

$267k Vol.

$334k Liq.

Ends in 12 months

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

Business

Elon Musk

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

56%

<350k

$132k Vol.

$22.5k Liq.

Ends in 3 months