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Business predictions & odds

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Largest Company end of May?

Largest Company end of May?

54%

NVIDIA

$2M Vol.

$620K today

$879K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Largest Company end of June?

Largest Company end of June?

58%

NVIDIA

$10M Vol.

$474K today

$1M Liq.

79

Ends in about 2 months

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

38%

December 31, 2026

$23M Vol.

$371K today

$144K Liq.

247

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

57%

0 (0 bps)

$23M Vol.

$250K today

$1M Liq.

67

Ends in 8 months

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Largest Company end of December 2026?

50%

NVIDIA

$3M Vol.

$566K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

5%

$156K Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

9

Ends in about 2 months

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

29%

July 31

$971K Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

54

Ends in about 2 months

2nd largest company end of May?

2nd largest company end of May?

54%

Alphabet

$53.8K Vol.

$98.0K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

33%

Earbuds/Headphones

$206K Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

13

Ends in 8 months

3rd largest company end of May?

3rd largest company end of May?

93%

Apple

$48.9K Vol.

$97.6K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

IPOs before 2027?

IPOs before 2027?

100%

Cerebras

$6M Vol.

$101K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

89%

SpaceX

$2M Vol.

$169K Liq.

11

Ends in 8 months

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

81%

Caesars Entertainment

$18M Vol.

$44.1K Liq.

21

Ends in 8 months

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

12%

$50.6K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

11

Ends in 8 months

Rare Earths Americas IPO Closing Market Cap

Rare Earths Americas IPO Closing Market Cap

39%

$400M-$500M

$3.2K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

77%

September 30

$14.2K Vol.

$49.3K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

14%

JetBlue

$2.6K Vol.

$66.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

48%

BMO

$478K Vol.

$41.1K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Mobia Medical IPO Closing Market Cap

Mobia Medical IPO Closing Market Cap

47%

$500M–$700M

$2.0K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

1%

$3M Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

83

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Business.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Business that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Largest Company end of May?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $91.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 57% chance to 0 (0 bps). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Business predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.