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Mug Shot predictions & odds

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James Comey mugshot released by May 5?

James Comey mugshot released by May 5?

<1%

$52.5K Vol.

$359K Liq.

2

Will Comey smile in his mugshot?

Will Comey smile in his mugshot?

4%

$34.4K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 24 days

Who will be arrested before 2027?

Who will be arrested before 2027?

49%

Letitia James

$51.5K Vol.

$269K Liq.

1

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

10%

$63.1K Vol.

$25.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Anthropic CEO arrested?

Anthropic CEO arrested?

2%

$159K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?

19%

$10.9K Vol.

$13.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 24 days

Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31?

Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31?

5%

$12.4K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

79%

Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar

$82.3K Vol.

$637 Liq.

2

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

33%

$6.3K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Obama arrested before 2027?

Obama arrested before 2027?

11%

$7.2K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

32%

$6.4K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

3

Jack Doherty Prison Time?

Jack Doherty Prison Time?

76%

No Prison Time

$18.5K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

7

Ends in 6 months

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

83%

June 30

$68.4K Vol.

$12.8K Liq.

5

Ends in about 2 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

19%

May 31

$132K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

10

Pooh Shiesty charged by May 31?

Pooh Shiesty charged by May 31?

86%

$7.9K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 24 days

Ben Pasternak jailed?

Ben Pasternak jailed?

13%

$49.3K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

34%

June 30

$145K Vol.

$73.7K Liq.

9

Ends in about 2 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

79%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$6.7K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

58%

Street

$6.2K Vol.

$702 Liq.

7

Ends in 3 days

Don Lemon charges dropped?

Don Lemon charges dropped?

11%

$13.6K Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Mug Shot that lets you track or trade on predictions like “James Comey mugshot released by May 5?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 79% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Mug Shot predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.