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Mug Shot predictions & odds

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Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

4%

April 30

$255K Vol.

$22.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 13 days

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

24%

Ruwais Refinery

$465K Vol.

$126K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

21%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$107K Liq.

31

Ends in 9 months

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

12%

$2M Vol.

$90.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

42%

$85.8K Vol.

$31.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

17%

$243K Vol.

$44.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

10%

$72.2K Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

8

Ends in 9 months

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

14%

$595K Vol.

$84.4K Liq.

31

Ends in 9 months

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

16%

$166K Vol.

$40.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

4%

$487K Vol.

$17.1K Liq.

10

Ends in 2 months

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

10%

December 31, 2026

$593K Vol.

$34.7K Liq.

15

Ends in 9 months

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

6%

$32.2K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

9%

$11.3K Vol.

$26.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

MLB: NL Comeback Player of the Year

MLB: NL Comeback Player of the Year

43%

Sandy Alcantara

$16.0K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

9%

$55.7K Vol.

$24.3K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Anthropic CEO arrested?

Anthropic CEO arrested?

2%

$149K Vol.

$22.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 2 months

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

55%

$64.9K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

5

Ends in 2 months

Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31?

Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31?

8%

$10.3K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

45%

Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez

$75.3K Vol.

$57.3K today

$2.6K Liq.

2

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

10%

$4.2K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Mug Shot.

Polymarket currently hosts 116 active markets for Mug Shot that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “China x Japan military clash before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “NATO x Russia military clash by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 89% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Mug Shot predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.