**Trader consensus in the Polymarket "Who will be arrested before 2027?" market reflects the narrow three-month window to December 31, 2026, and the status of federal investigations or proceedings involving listed individuals.** Leading outcomes such as John Brennan and James Comey draw attention from ongoing probes tied to prior intelligence and official actions, including recent charges or scrutiny linked to public statements. Mahmoud Khalil features due to immigration enforcement and court developments around prior detention. Other names, including Anthony Fauci and José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero, connect to congressional testimony, contempt risks, or separate national proceedings. Broader DOJ enforcement patterns, grand jury activity, and court rulings on related cases shape positioning, while many parallel actions have faced dismissals or procedural hurdles. Scheduled hearings and enforcement deadlines through year-end remain key variables that could alter probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWho will be arrested before 2027?
$452,167 Vol.
Anthony Fauci
8%
John Brennan
20%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
6%
Adam Schiff
3%
Barack Obama
2%
James Comey
5%
Mahmoud Khalil
16%
James Clapper
12%
Letitia James
5%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Bill Clinton
1%
Loretta Lynch
2%
Susan Rice
11%
Candace Owens
7%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
8%
John Kerry
1%
Pam Bondi
6%
Tom Homan
2%
Kash Patel
1%
Brandon Johnson
10%
Lisa Cook
4%
Lee Jun-seok
11%
Joe Biden
2%
$452,167 Vol.
Anthony Fauci
8%
John Brennan
20%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
6%
Adam Schiff
3%
Barack Obama
2%
James Comey
5%
Mahmoud Khalil
16%
James Clapper
12%
Letitia James
5%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Bill Clinton
1%
Loretta Lynch
2%
Susan Rice
11%
Candace Owens
7%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
8%
John Kerry
1%
Pam Bondi
6%
Tom Homan
2%
Kash Patel
1%
Brandon Johnson
10%
Lisa Cook
4%
Lee Jun-seok
11%
Joe Biden
2%
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070be91...A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070be91...**Trader consensus in the Polymarket "Who will be arrested before 2027?" market reflects the narrow three-month window to December 31, 2026, and the status of federal investigations or proceedings involving listed individuals.** Leading outcomes such as John Brennan and James Comey draw attention from ongoing probes tied to prior intelligence and official actions, including recent charges or scrutiny linked to public statements. Mahmoud Khalil features due to immigration enforcement and court developments around prior detention. Other names, including Anthony Fauci and José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero, connect to congressional testimony, contempt risks, or separate national proceedings. Broader DOJ enforcement patterns, grand jury activity, and court rulings on related cases shape positioning, while many parallel actions have faced dismissals or procedural hurdles. Scheduled hearings and enforcement deadlines through year-end remain key variables that could alter probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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