Ongoing investigations and congressional scrutiny into former U.S. intelligence and public health officials shape trader focus in this multi-outcome market, which resolves yes for any listed individual taken into custody by December 31, 2026. John Brennan and Anthony Fauci draw notable attention amid federal grand jury activity and recent Senate testimony where Fauci invoked the Fifth Amendment repeatedly on COVID-19 matters. Other names such as James Comey, James Clapper, and Mahmoud Khalil reflect separate probes tied to prior official actions or immigration enforcement. Low probabilities for figures like Barack Obama or Joe Biden align with the absence of active charges meeting resolution criteria. Scheduled hearings and enforcement timelines through late 2026 remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWho will be arrested before 2027?
$451,010 Vol.
Anthony Fauci
8%
John Brennan
18%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
6%
Adam Schiff
3%
Barack Obama
2%
James Comey
5%
Mahmoud Khalil
16%
James Clapper
12%
Letitia James
5%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Bill Clinton
1%
Loretta Lynch
2%
Susan Rice
13%
Candace Owens
7%
Gavin Newsom
2%
Benjamin Netanyahu
8%
John Kerry
1%
Pam Bondi
6%
Tom Homan
3%
Kash Patel
1%
Brandon Johnson
10%
Lisa Cook
4%
Lee Jun-seok
11%
Joe Biden
2%
$451,010 Vol.
Anthony Fauci
8%
John Brennan
18%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
6%
Adam Schiff
3%
Barack Obama
2%
James Comey
5%
Mahmoud Khalil
16%
James Clapper
12%
Letitia James
5%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Bill Clinton
1%
Loretta Lynch
2%
Susan Rice
13%
Candace Owens
7%
Gavin Newsom
2%
Benjamin Netanyahu
8%
John Kerry
1%
Pam Bondi
6%
Tom Homan
3%
Kash Patel
1%
Brandon Johnson
10%
Lisa Cook
4%
Lee Jun-seok
11%
Joe Biden
2%
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070be91...A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070be91...Ongoing investigations and congressional scrutiny into former U.S. intelligence and public health officials shape trader focus in this multi-outcome market, which resolves yes for any listed individual taken into custody by December 31, 2026. John Brennan and Anthony Fauci draw notable attention amid federal grand jury activity and recent Senate testimony where Fauci invoked the Fifth Amendment repeatedly on COVID-19 matters. Other names such as James Comey, James Clapper, and Mahmoud Khalil reflect separate probes tied to prior official actions or immigration enforcement. Low probabilities for figures like Barack Obama or Joe Biden align with the absence of active charges meeting resolution criteria. Scheduled hearings and enforcement timelines through late 2026 remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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