Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Name: Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Start: 2026-04-30T18:32:56.392Z
End: 2026-11-03T00:00:00.000Z

frizzizzi · 2026-04-30T18:32:56.392Z

Discussion about Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?. Traders share insights and predictions on Polymarket.

Politics·Gerrymander

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

$212,609 Vol.

Nov 3, 2026

California

$10,724 Vol.

98%

Texas

$3,281 Vol.

95%

North Carolina

$8,486 Vol.

97%

Ohio

$5,647 Vol.

94%

Utah

$57,390 Vol.

90%

Florida

$1,149 Vol.

52%

Louisiana

$13,305 Vol.

91%

Missouri

$3,300 Vol.

73%

Virginia

$5,759 Vol.

Alabama

$9,046 Vol.

63%

South Carolina

$13,930 Vol.

61%

Georgia

$1,841 Vol.

12%

Kansas

$1,954 Vol.

14%

New Jersey

$5,023 Vol.

Indiana

$22,799 Vol.

Washington

$5,135 Vol.

Nebraska

$6,484 Vol.

Illinois

$3,321 Vol.

11%

Minnesota

$9,180 Vol.

New York

$7,912 Vol.

14%

Maryland

$5,725 Vol.

Wisconsin

$11,220 Vol.

$212,609 Vol.

California

$10,724 Vol.

98%

Texas

$3,281 Vol.

95%

North Carolina

$8,486 Vol.

97%

Ohio

$5,647 Vol.

94%

Utah

$57,390 Vol.

90%

Florida

$1,149 Vol.

52%

Louisiana

$13,305 Vol.

91%

Missouri

$3,300 Vol.

73%

Virginia

$5,759 Vol.

Alabama

$9,046 Vol.

63%

South Carolina

$13,930 Vol.

61%

Georgia

$1,841 Vol.

12%

Kansas

$1,954 Vol.

14%

New Jersey

$5,023 Vol.

Indiana

$22,799 Vol.

Washington

$5,135 Vol.

Nebraska

$6,484 Vol.

Illinois

$3,321 Vol.

11%

Minnesota

$9,180 Vol.

New York

$7,912 Vol.

14%

Maryland

$5,725 Vol.

Wisconsin

$11,220 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "California" at 98%, followed by "North Carolina" at 97%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?" has generated $212.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?" is "California" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "North Carolina" at 97%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $212.6K traded on “Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

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On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 98¢ for "California" in the "Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 98% chance that "California" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 98¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 2¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Nov 3, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?" market has a growing discussion of 5 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

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