Trader consensus has locked in 180-199 posts at virtually 100% probability, driven by xAI-affiliated trackers logging exactly 184 X posts from @elonmusk through early May 1 within the April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1 12:00 PM ET window—encompassing main feed posts, quotes, and reposts, excluding most replies. This aligns with Musk's moderated late-April cadence averaging 26 daily (down from March highs), tempered by his multi-day OpenAI trial testimony starting April 27, including peaks like 78 on April 25. With final hours elapsed and no unusual surge, resolution appears set barring tracker disputes, deleted post adjustments, or rare verification challenges from X data exports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedElon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?
180-199 100.0%
120-139 99.9%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
$9,508,256 Vol.
$9,508,256 Vol.
May 1, 2026
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
Yes
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500-519
No
520-539
No
540-559
No
560-579
No
580+
No
180-199 100.0%
120-139 99.9%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
$9,508,256 Vol.
$9,508,256 Vol.
May 1, 2026
<20
$69,669 Vol.
No
20-39
$25,107 Vol.
No
40-59
$31,515 Vol.
No
60-79
$75,702 Vol.
No
80-99
$130,334 Vol.
No
100-119
$127,757 Vol.
No
120-139
$199,652 Vol.
No
140-159
$1,850,250 Vol.
No
160-179
$1,088,887 Vol.
No
180-199
$781,234 Vol.
Yes
200-219
$720,278 Vol.
No
220-239
$747,476 Vol.
No
240-259
$515,860 Vol.
No
260-279
$440,957 Vol.
No
280-299
$330,812 Vol.
No
300-319
$322,118 Vol.
No
320-339
$290,431 Vol.
No
340-359
$240,406 Vol.
No
360-379
$194,023 Vol.
No
380-399
$210,652 Vol.
No
400-419
$154,430 Vol.
No
420-439
$129,278 Vol.
No
440-459
$152,129 Vol.
No
460-479
$109,649 Vol.
No
480-499
$94,046 Vol.
No
500-519
$96,077 Vol.
No
520-539
$81,186 Vol.
No
540-559
$57,312 Vol.
No
560-579
$69,027 Vol.
No
580+
$172,004 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus has locked in 180-199 posts at virtually 100% probability, driven by xAI-affiliated trackers logging exactly 184 X posts from @elonmusk through early May 1 within the April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1 12:00 PM ET window—encompassing main feed posts, quotes, and reposts, excluding most replies. This aligns with Musk's moderated late-April cadence averaging 26 daily (down from March highs), tempered by his multi-day OpenAI trial testimony starting April 27, including peaks like 78 on April 25. With final hours elapsed and no unusual surge, resolution appears set barring tracker disputes, deleted post adjustments, or rare verification challenges from X data exports.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$9,508,256End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus has locked in 180-199 posts at virtually 100% probability, driven by xAI-affiliated trackers logging exactly 184 X posts from @elonmusk through early May 1 within the April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1 12:00 PM ET window—encompassing main feed posts, quotes, and reposts, excluding most replies. This aligns with Musk's moderated late-April cadence averaging 26 daily (down from March highs), tempered by his multi-day OpenAI trial testimony starting April 27, including peaks like 78 on April 25. With final hours elapsed and no unusual surge, resolution appears set barring tracker disputes, deleted post adjustments, or rare verification challenges from X data exports.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,508,256End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus has locked in 180-199 posts at virtually 100% probability, driven by xAI-affiliated trackers logging exactly 184 X posts from @elonmusk through early May 1 within the April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1 12:00 PM ET window—encompassing main feed posts, quotes, and reposts, excluding most replies. This aligns with Musk's moderated late-April cadence averaging 26 daily (down from March highs), tempered by his multi-day OpenAI trial testimony starting April 27, including peaks like 78 on April 25. With final hours elapsed and no unusual surge, resolution appears set barring tracker disputes, deleted post adjustments, or rare verification challenges from X data exports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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