Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 27.5%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.7%

Kamala Harris 5.8%

Jon Ossoff 4.5%

Polymarket

$689,391,726 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$689,391,726
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Created At
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 28%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $689.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 27.5%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.7%

Kamala Harris 5.8%

Jon Ossoff 4.5%

Polymarket

$689,391,726 Vol.

Market icon

Gavin Newsom

$7,482,210 Vol.

28%

Market icon

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$4,616,105 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Kamala Harris

$6,520,439 Vol.

6%

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Jon Ossoff

$4,360,605 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$4,582,355 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$3,093,440 Vol.

4%

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Mark Kelly

$6,553,459 Vol.

3%

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Andy Beshear

$4,557,467 Vol.

3%

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J.B. Pritzker

$5,131,424 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$7,355,542 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$5,435,736 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$4,260,400 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$2,384,419 Vol.

2%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$6,838,948 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$16,969,415 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$6,600,654 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$9,422,962 Vol.

1%

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Ro Khanna

$2,982,892 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$13,122,087 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$18,161,257 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$14,515,997 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$29,687,808 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$27,562,848 Vol.

1%

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James Talarico

$268,058 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$22,559,657 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$26,960,992 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$22,683,788 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$32,028,864 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$12,889,247 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$28,333,000 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$25,003,847 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$30,041,438 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chris Murphy

$7,735,113 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$18,903,833 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$35,356,044 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Raphael Warnock

$16,666,091 Vol.

1%

Market icon

George Clooney

$30,802,380 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$24,054,361 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$29,056,835 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$11,715,671 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$23,158,959 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$38,037,603 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$29,413,409 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$11,528,939 Vol.

1%

Related

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 28%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $689.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.