Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead or statistical tie with the Quebec Liberal Party at 28-32 percent support, while the governing Coalition Avenir Québec recovers modestly under new Premier Christine Fréchette following François Legault’s January resignation. These trends, combined with CAQ seat losses in recent by-elections and lingering Liberal internal issues, underpin the market’s assignment of a 60.5 percent probability to a PQ victory in the October 2026 election. Traders appear to weigh the PQ’s organizational momentum and projected seat advantages in key ridings more heavily than the tightening popular-vote race, with the PLQ and CAQ priced at 24.5 percent and 15.5 percent respectively.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्यूबेक आम चुनाव विजेता
क्यूबेक आम चुनाव विजेता
पीक्यू 61%
पीएलक्यू 25%
सीएक्यू 16%
PCQ <1%
$532,353 वॉल्यूम
$532,353 वॉल्यूम
5 अक्टू, 2026
पीक्यू
61%
पीएलक्यू
25%
सीएक्यू
16%
PCQ
<1%
क्यूएस
<1%
पीवीक्यू
<1%
पीक्यू 61%
पीएलक्यू 25%
सीएक्यू 16%
PCQ <1%
$532,353 वॉल्यूम
$532,353 वॉल्यूम
5 अक्टू, 2026
पीक्यू
$55,089 वॉल्यूम
61%
पीएलक्यू
$57,734 वॉल्यूम
25%
सीएक्यू
$63,800 वॉल्यूम
16%
PCQ
$165,430 वॉल्यूम
<1%
क्यूएस
$69,140 वॉल्यूम
<1%
पीवीक्यू
$121,160 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead or statistical tie with the Quebec Liberal Party at 28-32 percent support, while the governing Coalition Avenir Québec recovers modestly under new Premier Christine Fréchette following François Legault’s January resignation. These trends, combined with CAQ seat losses in recent by-elections and lingering Liberal internal issues, underpin the market’s assignment of a 60.5 percent probability to a PQ victory in the October 2026 election. Traders appear to weigh the PQ’s organizational momentum and projected seat advantages in key ridings more heavily than the tightening popular-vote race, with the PLQ and CAQ priced at 24.5 percent and 15.5 percent respectively.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$532,353समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead or statistical tie with the Quebec Liberal Party at 28-32 percent support, while the governing Coalition Avenir Québec recovers modestly under new Premier Christine Fréchette following François Legault’s January resignation. These trends, combined with CAQ seat losses in recent by-elections and lingering Liberal internal issues, underpin the market’s assignment of a 60.5 percent probability to a PQ victory in the October 2026 election. Traders appear to weigh the PQ’s organizational momentum and projected seat advantages in key ridings more heavily than the tightening popular-vote race, with the PLQ and CAQ priced at 24.5 percent and 15.5 percent respectively.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
वॉल्यूम
$532,353समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead or statistical tie with the Quebec Liberal Party at 28-32 percent support, while the governing Coalition Avenir Québec recovers modestly under new Premier Christine Fréchette following François Legault’s January resignation. These trends, combined with CAQ seat losses in recent by-elections and lingering Liberal internal issues, underpin the market’s assignment of a 60.5 percent probability to a PQ victory in the October 2026 election. Traders appear to weigh the PQ’s organizational momentum and projected seat advantages in key ridings more heavily than the tightening popular-vote race, with the PLQ and CAQ priced at 24.5 percent and 15.5 percent respectively.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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