Mark Sutcliffe, the incumbent Ottawa mayor, holds the strongest position in the race for the October 26, 2026 municipal election following his formal nomination filing on May 25. Traders assign him an 81% implied probability, reflecting structural advantages of incumbency, established name recognition, and an early polling lead of 37-42% among decided voters in a May 19 survey. Sutcliffe has emphasized continuity and restrained property tax increases. Jeff Leiper, a sitting city councillor who registered on May 1, trails at 17.5% amid focus on transit improvements, while Neil Saravanamuttoo, Alex Lawson, and Catherine McKenney register below 1% each, consistent with limited name recognition and campaign momentum to date. Nomination filings close in August.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOttawa Mayoral Election Winner
Mark Sutcliffe 81%
Jeff Leiper 18%
Neil Saravanamuttoo <1%
Alex Lawson <1%
$26,443 Vol.
$26,443 Vol.

Mark Sutcliffe
81%

Jeff Leiper
18%

Neil Saravanamuttoo
1%

Alex Lawson
1%

Catherine McKenney
<1%
Mark Sutcliffe 81%
Jeff Leiper 18%
Neil Saravanamuttoo <1%
Alex Lawson <1%
$26,443 Vol.
$26,443 Vol.

Mark Sutcliffe
81%

Jeff Leiper
18%

Neil Saravanamuttoo
1%

Alex Lawson
1%

Catherine McKenney
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Mark Sutcliffe, the incumbent Ottawa mayor, holds the strongest position in the race for the October 26, 2026 municipal election following his formal nomination filing on May 25. Traders assign him an 81% implied probability, reflecting structural advantages of incumbency, established name recognition, and an early polling lead of 37-42% among decided voters in a May 19 survey. Sutcliffe has emphasized continuity and restrained property tax increases. Jeff Leiper, a sitting city councillor who registered on May 1, trails at 17.5% amid focus on transit improvements, while Neil Saravanamuttoo, Alex Lawson, and Catherine McKenney register below 1% each, consistent with limited name recognition and campaign momentum to date. Nomination filings close in August.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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