Trader consensus heavily favors AfD to secure the most seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, driven by consistent poll leads in this eastern state under proportional representation. The latest INSA survey (March 6-16) shows AfD at 34%, ahead of incumbent SPD at 26% and CDU at 12%, building on a February Forsa poll with AfD at 37%. SPD gains from January have narrowed the gap slightly, but AfD's double-digit edge persists amid voter dissatisfaction with the SPD-Die Linke coalition, projected to fall short of a majority. No major shifts in the past week stabilize AfD as the projected strongest party, though late campaign dynamics or turnout could influence outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD 85%
SPD 12%
CDU 1.2%
Linke 1.0%
$127,849 Vol.
$127,849 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
85%
SPD
12%
CDU
1%
Linke
1%
Grüne
1%
FDP
<1%
BSW
<1%
FW
<1%
AfD 85%
SPD 12%
CDU 1.2%
Linke 1.0%
$127,849 Vol.
$127,849 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
$0 Vol.
85%
SPD
$32,384 Vol.
12%
CDU
$24,936 Vol.
1%
Linke
$3,234 Vol.
1%
Grüne
$36,390 Vol.
1%
FDP
$30,905 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$0 Vol.
<1%
FW
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus heavily favors AfD to secure the most seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, driven by consistent poll leads in this eastern state under proportional representation. The latest INSA survey (March 6-16) shows AfD at 34%, ahead of incumbent SPD at 26% and CDU at 12%, building on a February Forsa poll with AfD at 37%. SPD gains from January have narrowed the gap slightly, but AfD's double-digit edge persists amid voter dissatisfaction with the SPD-Die Linke coalition, projected to fall short of a majority. No major shifts in the past week stabilize AfD as the projected strongest party, though late campaign dynamics or turnout could influence outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Market Opened: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$127,849End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus heavily favors AfD to secure the most seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, driven by consistent poll leads in this eastern state under proportional representation. The latest INSA survey (March 6-16) shows AfD at 34%, ahead of incumbent SPD at 26% and CDU at 12%, building on a February Forsa poll with AfD at 37%. SPD gains from January have narrowed the gap slightly, but AfD's double-digit edge persists amid voter dissatisfaction with the SPD-Die Linke coalition, projected to fall short of a majority. No major shifts in the past week stabilize AfD as the projected strongest party, though late campaign dynamics or turnout could influence outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$127,849End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors AfD to secure the most seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, driven by consistent poll leads in this eastern state under proportional representation. The latest INSA survey (March 6-16) shows AfD at 34%, ahead of incumbent SPD at 26% and CDU at 12%, building on a February Forsa poll with AfD at 37%. SPD gains from January have narrowed the gap slightly, but AfD's double-digit edge persists amid voter dissatisfaction with the SPD-Die Linke coalition, projected to fall short of a majority. No major shifts in the past week stabilize AfD as the projected strongest party, though late campaign dynamics or turnout could influence outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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