Yang Seung-jo's commanding 76% trader consensus in the Chungcheongnam-do gubernatorial by-election stems from consistent polling leads in recent surveys, including a late-November Gallup Korea poll showing him at 41% versus Park Soo-hyun's 29%, bolstered by the Democratic Party's regional incumbency edge following Kim Tae-ho's resignation after his National Assembly victory. Park, the People Power Party nominee and former presidential spokesperson, trails amid the ruling party's weaker local support, while Kim Tae-heum garners 7% as a conservative independent with prior name recognition. No major catalysts in the past 48 hours, but early voting begins December 13 ahead of the December 17 election, with debates potentially shifting battleground sentiment in this closely watched provincial race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedChungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner
Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner
Yang Seung-jo 76%
Park Soo-hyun 17.1%
Kim Tae-heum 7%
Chung Jin-suk <1%
$74,395 Vol.
$74,395 Vol.
Yang Seung-jo
76%
Park Soo-hyun
17%
Kim Tae-heum
7%
Chung Jin-suk
1%
Moon Jin-seok
1%
Kang Seung-kyu
<1%
Yoon Sang-hyun
<1%
Kang Hoon-sik
<1%
Sung Il-jong
<1%
Yang Seung-jo 76%
Park Soo-hyun 17.1%
Kim Tae-heum 7%
Chung Jin-suk <1%
$74,395 Vol.
$74,395 Vol.
Yang Seung-jo
76%
Park Soo-hyun
17%
Kim Tae-heum
7%
Chung Jin-suk
1%
Moon Jin-seok
1%
Kang Seung-kyu
<1%
Yoon Sang-hyun
<1%
Kang Hoon-sik
<1%
Sung Il-jong
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Market Opened: Nov 18, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Yang Seung-jo's commanding 76% trader consensus in the Chungcheongnam-do gubernatorial by-election stems from consistent polling leads in recent surveys, including a late-November Gallup Korea poll showing him at 41% versus Park Soo-hyun's 29%, bolstered by the Democratic Party's regional incumbency edge following Kim Tae-ho's resignation after his National Assembly victory. Park, the People Power Party nominee and former presidential spokesperson, trails amid the ruling party's weaker local support, while Kim Tae-heum garners 7% as a conservative independent with prior name recognition. No major catalysts in the past 48 hours, but early voting begins December 13 ahead of the December 17 election, with debates potentially shifting battleground sentiment in this closely watched provincial race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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