Yang Seung-jo's dominant trader consensus at 77% implied probability stems from his landslide win in the Democratic Party primary last month and consistent leads in recent polls, including a Realmeter survey last week showing him at 52% support amid favorable opposition momentum in Chungcheongnam Province. Park Soo-hyun trails at 10.3% as the People Power Party nominee, hampered by the ruling party's dipping approval ratings and internal divisions following candidate selection disputes. Former governor Kim Tae-heum's 7% reflects his independent bid but weakened name recognition after 2022's narrow win. With the by-election set for December 2024, upcoming debates and voter turnout in this bellwether province could influence the closely watched contest between incumbent party challenger and opposition frontrunner.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedChungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner
Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner
Yang Seung-jo 79%
Park Soo-hyun 10.5%
Kim Tae-heum 6.0%
Kang Seung-kyu <1%
$287,083 Vol.
$287,083 Vol.
Yang Seung-jo
79%
Park Soo-hyun
11%
Kim Tae-heum
6%
Kang Seung-kyu
1%
Yoon Sang-hyun
1%
Kang Hoon-sik
<1%
Sung Il-jong
<1%
Chung Jin-suk
<1%
Moon Jin-seok
<1%
Yang Seung-jo 79%
Park Soo-hyun 10.5%
Kim Tae-heum 6.0%
Kang Seung-kyu <1%
$287,083 Vol.
$287,083 Vol.
Yang Seung-jo
79%
Park Soo-hyun
11%
Kim Tae-heum
6%
Kang Seung-kyu
1%
Yoon Sang-hyun
1%
Kang Hoon-sik
<1%
Sung Il-jong
<1%
Chung Jin-suk
<1%
Moon Jin-seok
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Market Opened: Nov 18, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Yang Seung-jo's dominant trader consensus at 77% implied probability stems from his landslide win in the Democratic Party primary last month and consistent leads in recent polls, including a Realmeter survey last week showing him at 52% support amid favorable opposition momentum in Chungcheongnam Province. Park Soo-hyun trails at 10.3% as the People Power Party nominee, hampered by the ruling party's dipping approval ratings and internal divisions following candidate selection disputes. Former governor Kim Tae-heum's 7% reflects his independent bid but weakened name recognition after 2022's narrow win. With the by-election set for December 2024, upcoming debates and voter turnout in this bellwether province could influence the closely watched contest between incumbent party challenger and opposition frontrunner.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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