Skip to main content
Market icon
Elections·Peru

Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?

Market icon
Elections·Peru

Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?

Other 81.9%

López Aliaga & Fujimori 15%

Fujimori & Nieto <1%

López Aliaga & López Chau <1%

Polymarket

$1,075,670 Vol.

Other 81.9%

López Aliaga & Fujimori 15%

Fujimori & Nieto <1%

López Aliaga & López Chau <1%

Polymarket

$1,075,670 Vol.

Other

$285,199 Vol.

82%

López Aliaga & Fujimori

$359,396 Vol.

15%

Fujimori & Nieto

$200,511 Vol.

<1%

López Aliaga & López Chau

$28,017 Vol.

<1%

López Aliaga & Nieto

$36,798 Vol.

<1%

López Chau & Fujimori

$69,374 Vol.

<1%

López Chau & Nieto

$18,487 Vol.

<1%

López Chau & Sánchez Palomino

$26,264 Vol.

<1%

López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino

$39,670 Vol.

<1%

López Aliaga & Grozo

$11,953 Vol.

<1%

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's 2026 presidential first-round vote count at 17.1% with over 93% of actas processed by ONPE as of April 18, positioning her for the June 7 runoff, while second place remains razor-thin between leftist Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12.0%) and right-wing Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%), separated by under 14,000 votes amid ~400 remaining actas and 6,000 observed records under JNE review. Logistical failures—delayed materials forcing a second voting day, affecting 50,000+ ballots—sparked fraud claims without evidence and the ONPE director's arrest, fueling trader skepticism toward pre-election poll favorites like López Aliaga-Fujimori (15%) and elevating "Other" as consensus for unexpected pairings like Fujimori-Sánchez in this fragmented 35-candidate field.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volume
$1,075,670
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's 2026 presidential first-round vote count at 17.1% with over 93% of actas processed by ONPE as of April 18, positioning her for the June 7 runoff, while second place remains razor-thin between leftist Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12.0%) and right-wing Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%), separated by under 14,000 votes amid ~400 remaining actas and 6,000 observed records under JNE review. Logistical failures—delayed materials forcing a second voting day, affecting 50,000+ ballots—sparked fraud claims without evidence and the ONPE director's arrest, fueling trader skepticism toward pre-election poll favorites like López Aliaga-Fujimori (15%) and elevating "Other" as consensus for unexpected pairings like Fujimori-Sánchez in this fragmented 35-candidate field.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volume
$1,075,670
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).

Related

Market icon

Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

99%
Market icon

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

81%
Market icon

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

82%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Other" at 82%, followed by "López Aliaga & Fujimori" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?" is "Other" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "López Aliaga & Fujimori" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.