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Politics·Bolivia

Santa Cruz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)

Market icon
Politics·Bolivia

Santa Cruz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)

Juan Pablo Velasco 81.7%

Otto Ritter 18.0%

Juan Carlos Medrano <1%

Mauricio Quezada <1%

Polymarket

$1,036,489 Vol.

Juan Pablo Velasco 81.7%

Otto Ritter 18.0%

Juan Carlos Medrano <1%

Mauricio Quezada <1%

Polymarket

$1,036,489 Vol.

Juan Pablo Velasco

$482,470 Vol.

82%

Otto Ritter

$177,851 Vol.

18%

Juan Carlos Medrano

$28,745 Vol.

<1%

Mauricio Quezada

$22,893 Vol.

<1%

Chi Hyun Chung

$30,134 Vol.

<1%

Julio César Tórrez

$27,347 Vol.

<1%

Guido Eduardo Nayar

$52,035 Vol.

<1%

Miguel Cadima

$25,704 Vol.

<1%

Vladimir Peña

$41,366 Vol.

<1%

Luis Fernando Camacho

$147,966 Vol.

<1%

The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Ahead of the April 19 runoff for Santa Cruz governor in Bolivia, trader consensus heavily favors Juan Pablo Velasco with 79% implied probability over Otto Ritter at 18%, driven by Velasco's first-round plurality of around 30% to Ritter's 26.5% on March 22, confirmed after vote repetitions. Recent Ipsos polling shows Velasco leading by 8.9 points, bolstering momentum amid fragmented results that sidelined Luis Fernando Camacho's third-place finish. Developments include a confrontational candidate debate, Velasco's anti-corruption pledges targeting transparency and prior administration shortcomings, and large campaign closures, though local blockades protesting municipal outcomes risk minor turnout disruptions in areas like San Ignacio de Velasco.

The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Volume
$1,036,489
End Date
Apr 19, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Ahead of the April 19 runoff for Santa Cruz governor in Bolivia, trader consensus heavily favors Juan Pablo Velasco with 79% implied probability over Otto Ritter at 18%, driven by Velasco's first-round plurality of around 30% to Ritter's 26.5% on March 22, confirmed after vote repetitions. Recent Ipsos polling shows Velasco leading by 8.9 points, bolstering momentum amid fragmented results that sidelined Luis Fernando Camacho's third-place finish. Developments include a confrontational candidate debate, Velasco's anti-corruption pledges targeting transparency and prior administration shortcomings, and large campaign closures, though local blockades protesting municipal outcomes risk minor turnout disruptions in areas like San Ignacio de Velasco.

The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Volume
$1,036,489
End Date
Apr 19, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Santa Cruz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Juan Pablo Velasco" at 82%, followed by "Otto Ritter" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Santa Cruz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)" has generated $1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Santa Cruz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Santa Cruz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)" is "Juan Pablo Velasco" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Otto Ritter" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Santa Cruz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.