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Politics·London

Newham Mayoral Election Winner

Market icon
Politics·London

Newham Mayoral Election Winner

Forhad Hussain 48%

Mehmood Mirza 27%

Terri Bloore 12%

Laura Claire Willoughby 11%

Polymarket
NEW

Forhad Hussain 48%

Mehmood Mirza 27%

Terri Bloore 12%

Laura Claire Willoughby 11%

Polymarket
NEW
Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election? icon

Forhad Hussain

$11 Vol.

48%

Will Mehmood Mirza win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election? icon

Mehmood Mirza

$11 Vol.

27%

Will Terri Bloore win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election? icon

Terri Bloore

$66 Vol.

12%

Will Laura Claire Willoughby win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election? icon

Laura Claire Willoughby

$42 Vol.

11%

Will Areeq Chowdhury win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election? icon

Areeq Chowdhury

$11 Vol.

10%

Will Kamran Malik win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election? icon

Kamran Malik

$64 Vol.

9%

Will Bharath Swamy win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election? icon

Bharath Swamy

$51 Vol.

8%

Will Clive Furness win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election? icon

Clive Furness

$46 Vol.

6%

The 2026 Newham mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newham as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Newham Council.Labour's Forhad Hussain leads trader consensus at 47.5% implied probability for the Newham mayoral election on 7 May, buoyed by the party's historical dominance in the borough despite incumbent Rokhsana Fiaz's decision not to stand; however, the closely contested market reflects council fragmentation, with projections showing Labour falling short of a majority amid Green gains and Newham Independents Party (NIP) by-election victories. Mehmood Mirza of NIP trails at 29%, capitalizing on voter dissatisfaction over finances, housing, and waste services, as highlighted in recent hustings like the Age UK event and Revive FM debate this week. Liberal Democrats' Laura Claire Willoughby at 12.5% and others split the anti-Labour vote under first-past-the-post rules, with campaigns intensifying ahead of polling day.

The 2026 Newham mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newham as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Newham Council.
Volume
$302
End Date
May 7, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Newham mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newham as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Newham Council.
The 2026 Newham mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newham as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Newham Council.Labour's Forhad Hussain leads trader consensus at 47.5% implied probability for the Newham mayoral election on 7 May, buoyed by the party's historical dominance in the borough despite incumbent Rokhsana Fiaz's decision not to stand; however, the closely contested market reflects council fragmentation, with projections showing Labour falling short of a majority amid Green gains and Newham Independents Party (NIP) by-election victories. Mehmood Mirza of NIP trails at 29%, capitalizing on voter dissatisfaction over finances, housing, and waste services, as highlighted in recent hustings like the Age UK event and Revive FM debate this week. Liberal Democrats' Laura Claire Willoughby at 12.5% and others split the anti-Labour vote under first-past-the-post rules, with campaigns intensifying ahead of polling day.

The 2026 Newham mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newham as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Newham Council.
Volume
$302
End Date
May 7, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Newham mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newham as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Newham Council.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Newham Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Forhad Hussain" at 48%, followed by "Mehmood Mirza" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Newham Mayoral Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Newham Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Newham Mayoral Election Winner" is "Forhad Hussain" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mehmood Mirza" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Newham Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.