Following the May 7, 2026, local elections across 136 English councils, early overnight results show Reform UK surging with over 400 councillor gains, securing control of authorities like Havering—their first London borough—and Essex County Council, reflecting voter shifts from Labour and Conservatives amid national dissatisfaction. However, in the six directly elected mayoral contests (including Tower Hamlets, where Reform fielded John Bullard), no Reform candidates prevailed, with incumbents like Aspire's Lutfur Rahman retaining Tower Hamlets and others held by Labour or independents under first-past-the-post voting. Traders' 100% consensus on "No" stems from declared results across all races, barring improbable recounts or procedural challenges in non-competitive fields.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
$5,178 Vol.
$5,178 Vol.
May 7, 2026
$5,178 Vol.
$5,178 Vol.
May 7, 2026
United Kingdom local elections are currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Reform UK candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of Reform UK if they are officially nominated by Reform UK and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with Reform UK. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.Following the May 7, 2026, local elections across 136 English councils, early overnight results show Reform UK surging with over 400 councillor gains, securing control of authorities like Havering—their first London borough—and Essex County Council, reflecting voter shifts from Labour and Conservatives amid national dissatisfaction. However, in the six directly elected mayoral contests (including Tower Hamlets, where Reform fielded John Bullard), no Reform candidates prevailed, with incumbents like Aspire's Lutfur Rahman retaining Tower Hamlets and others held by Labour or independents under first-past-the-post voting. Traders' 100% consensus on "No" stems from declared results across all races, barring improbable recounts or procedural challenges in non-competitive fields.
United Kingdom local elections are currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Reform UK candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of Reform UK if they are officially nominated by Reform UK and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with Reform UK. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Reform UK candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of Reform UK if they are officially nominated by Reform UK and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with Reform UK. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Volume
$5,178End Date
May 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
United Kingdom local elections are currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Reform UK candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of Reform UK if they are officially nominated by Reform UK and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with Reform UK. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.Following the May 7, 2026, local elections across 136 English councils, early overnight results show Reform UK surging with over 400 councillor gains, securing control of authorities like Havering—their first London borough—and Essex County Council, reflecting voter shifts from Labour and Conservatives amid national dissatisfaction. However, in the six directly elected mayoral contests (including Tower Hamlets, where Reform fielded John Bullard), no Reform candidates prevailed, with incumbents like Aspire's Lutfur Rahman retaining Tower Hamlets and others held by Labour or independents under first-past-the-post voting. Traders' 100% consensus on "No" stems from declared results across all races, barring improbable recounts or procedural challenges in non-competitive fields.
United Kingdom local elections are currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Reform UK candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of Reform UK if they are officially nominated by Reform UK and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with Reform UK. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Reform UK candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of Reform UK if they are officially nominated by Reform UK and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with Reform UK. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Volume
$5,178End Date
May 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Following the May 7, 2026, local elections across 136 English councils, early overnight results show Reform UK surging with over 400 councillor gains, securing control of authorities like Havering—their first London borough—and Essex County Council, reflecting voter shifts from Labour and Conservatives amid national dissatisfaction. However, in the six directly elected mayoral contests (including Tower Hamlets, where Reform fielded John Bullard), no Reform candidates prevailed, with incumbents like Aspire's Lutfur Rahman retaining Tower Hamlets and others held by Labour or independents under first-past-the-post voting. Traders' 100% consensus on "No" stems from declared results across all races, barring improbable recounts or procedural challenges in non-competitive fields.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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