Incumbent Liberal Democrat Peter Taylor leads trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability for the May 7 Watford mayoral election under first-past-the-post voting, reflecting his party's dominance since 2002 and strong re-election bid, including a March 30 manifesto launch emphasizing local delivery on housing, services, and infrastructure. Recent social media debates over Reform UK challenger Mark Dixon's residency—defended as eligible given his 35+ years local ties and business ownership, comparable to Taylor's own location—have boosted Dixon to 13.5%, signaling Reform's rising local traction amid by-election gains. Labour's Keith Morgan holds 10.5% on opposition platform, with others trailing amid no recent polls; hustings and final campaigning could shift dynamics before polls close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWatford Mayoral Election Winner
Watford Mayoral Election Winner
Peter Taylor 71%
Mark Dixon 14%
Keith Morgan 11%
Ketankumar Pipaliya 3.8%

Peter Taylor
71%

Mark Dixon
14%

Keith Morgan
11%

Ketankumar Pipaliya
4%

Jake Mitchell
2%

Abdul Laskar
2%

Ryan Bonar
<1%
Peter Taylor 71%
Mark Dixon 14%
Keith Morgan 11%
Ketankumar Pipaliya 3.8%

Peter Taylor
71%

Mark Dixon
14%

Keith Morgan
11%

Ketankumar Pipaliya
4%

Jake Mitchell
2%

Abdul Laskar
2%

Ryan Bonar
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Watford as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Watford Borough Council.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Watford as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Watford Borough Council.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Liberal Democrat Peter Taylor leads trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability for the May 7 Watford mayoral election under first-past-the-post voting, reflecting his party's dominance since 2002 and strong re-election bid, including a March 30 manifesto launch emphasizing local delivery on housing, services, and infrastructure. Recent social media debates over Reform UK challenger Mark Dixon's residency—defended as eligible given his 35+ years local ties and business ownership, comparable to Taylor's own location—have boosted Dixon to 13.5%, signaling Reform's rising local traction amid by-election gains. Labour's Keith Morgan holds 10.5% on opposition platform, with others trailing amid no recent polls; hustings and final campaigning could shift dynamics before polls close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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