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Politics·Romania

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Politics·Romania

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Radu Burnete 16%

Șerban Matei 15.0%

Cătălin Predoiu 13%

Sorin Grindeanu 13%

Polymarket

$371,998 Vol.

Radu Burnete 16%

Șerban Matei 15.0%

Cătălin Predoiu 13%

Sorin Grindeanu 13%

Polymarket

$371,998 Vol.

icon for Radu Burnete

Radu Burnete

$5,429 Vol.

16%

icon for Șerban Matei

Șerban Matei

$1,492 Vol.

15%

icon for Cătălin Predoiu

Cătălin Predoiu

$53,044 Vol.

13%

icon for Sorin Grindeanu

Sorin Grindeanu

$63,799 Vol.

13%

icon for Ilie Bolojan

Ilie Bolojan

$50,197 Vol.

5%

icon for Anca Dragu

Anca Dragu

$13,667 Vol.

4%

icon for Ionuț Dumitru

Ionuț Dumitru

$11,104 Vol.

3%

icon for Dragoș Pîslaru

Dragoș Pîslaru

$428 Vol.

2%

icon for George Simion

George Simion

$8,817 Vol.

2%

icon for Alexandru Nazare

Alexandru Nazare

$458 Vol.

2%

icon for Delia Velculescu

Delia Velculescu

$6,272 Vol.

2%

icon for Emil Boc

Emil Boc

$8,649 Vol.

1%

icon for Dacian Cioloș

Dacian Cioloș

$11,921 Vol.

1%

icon for Calin Georgescu

Calin Georgescu

$5,311 Vol.

1%

icon for Dominic Fritz

Dominic Fritz

$7,679 Vol.

1%

icon for Vasile Dîncu

Vasile Dîncu

$7,092 Vol.

1%

icon for Alexandru Rogobete

Alexandru Rogobete

$614 Vol.

1%

icon for Mugur Isărescu

Mugur Isărescu

$5,689 Vol.

1%

icon for Hunor Kelemen

Hunor Kelemen

$5,285 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mircea Geoană

Mircea Geoană

$10,337 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cătălin Drulă

Cătălin Drulă

$8,219 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucian Isar

Lucian Isar

$5,578 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcel Ciolacu

Marcel Ciolacu

$7,789 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alexandru Rafila

Alexandru Rafila

$8,876 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sebastian Burduja

Sebastian Burduja

$9,315 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elena Lasconi

Elena Lasconi

$31,061 Vol.

<1%

icon for Raluca Turcan

Raluca Turcan

$5,168 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucian Croitoru

Lucian Croitoru

$7,540 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicolae Ciucă

Nicolae Ciucă

$11,169 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Nicușor Dan is consulting parliamentary parties following Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's ouster via no-confidence vote on May 5, amid a collapsed pro-EU coalition triggered by PSD's withdrawal over austerity disputes. Dan stated on May 12 he may nominate a new premier next week, prioritizing a technocratic candidate with pre-agreed parliamentary majority to avert snap elections. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with technocrats like presidential adviser Radu Burnete and central banker Șerban Matei leading narrowly alongside politicians Cătălin Predoiu and Sorin Grindeanu, as fragmented support keeps odds tight below 16%. Separation could arise from coalition negotiations, endorsements, or Dan's designation, amid economic pressures demanding swift stability.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$371,998
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Nicușor Dan is consulting parliamentary parties following Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's ouster via no-confidence vote on May 5, amid a collapsed pro-EU coalition triggered by PSD's withdrawal over austerity disputes. Dan stated on May 12 he may nominate a new premier next week, prioritizing a technocratic candidate with pre-agreed parliamentary majority to avert snap elections. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with technocrats like presidential adviser Radu Burnete and central banker Șerban Matei leading narrowly alongside politicians Cătălin Predoiu and Sorin Grindeanu, as fragmented support keeps odds tight below 16%. Separation could arise from coalition negotiations, endorsements, or Dan's designation, amid economic pressures demanding swift stability.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$371,998
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Romania?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 29 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Radu Burnete" at 16%, followed by "Șerban Matei" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" has generated $372K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Romania?," browse the 29 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" is "Radu Burnete" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Șerban Matei" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.