The Knesset dissolution in July 2026 locked in Israel's legislative election for 27 October under existing law, with parties unable to agree on an earlier date despite earlier coalition and opposition proposals. This procedural finality, combined with the absence of any subsequent parliamentary votes, emergency legislation, or major security escalations capable of triggering postponement, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Historical patterns of full-term completions and the lack of active bills to amend the electoral calendar further reinforce stability expectations. Only extraordinary late developments—such as a sudden major conflict requiring national emergency measures or an unforeseen constitutional impasse—could realistically alter the timeline before October.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated95% chance
NEW
NEW
Oct 27, 2026
95% chance
NEW
NEW
Oct 27, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Knesset dissolution in July 2026 locked in Israel's legislative election for 27 October under existing law, with parties unable to agree on an earlier date despite earlier coalition and opposition proposals. This procedural finality, combined with the absence of any subsequent parliamentary votes, emergency legislation, or major security escalations capable of triggering postponement, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Historical patterns of full-term completions and the lack of active bills to amend the electoral calendar further reinforce stability expectations. Only extraordinary late developments—such as a sudden major conflict requiring national emergency measures or an unforeseen constitutional impasse—could realistically alter the timeline before October.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Volume
$2,283End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Knesset dissolution in July 2026 locked in Israel's legislative election for 27 October under existing law, with parties unable to agree on an earlier date despite earlier coalition and opposition proposals. This procedural finality, combined with the absence of any subsequent parliamentary votes, emergency legislation, or major security escalations capable of triggering postponement, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Historical patterns of full-term completions and the lack of active bills to amend the electoral calendar further reinforce stability expectations. Only extraordinary late developments—such as a sudden major conflict requiring national emergency measures or an unforeseen constitutional impasse—could realistically alter the timeline before October.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,283End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Knesset dissolution in July 2026 locked in Israel's legislative election for 27 October under existing law, with parties unable to agree on an earlier date despite earlier coalition and opposition proposals. This procedural finality, combined with the absence of any subsequent parliamentary votes, emergency legislation, or major security escalations capable of triggering postponement, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Historical patterns of full-term completions and the lack of active bills to amend the electoral calendar further reinforce stability expectations. Only extraordinary late developments—such as a sudden major conflict requiring national emergency measures or an unforeseen constitutional impasse—could realistically alter the timeline before October.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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