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District predictions & odds

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Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

95%

Pass 3-6%

$550K Vol.

$89.1K Liq.

63

NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

94%

Hakeem Jeffries

$6.1K Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

77%

Thomas Massie

$672K Vol.

$146K today

$115K Liq.

40

Ends in 12 days

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

97%

North Carolina

$176K Vol.

$362K Liq.

4

Ends in 6 months

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

96%

Reform

$311K Vol.

$55.2K today

$78.1K Liq.

6

Ends in about 7 hours

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

43%

$277K Vol.

$46.0K Liq.

32

Ends in 8 months

LA-06 House Election Winner

LA-06 House Election Winner

63%

Democratic Party

$49.2K Vol.

$41.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

OH-09 Republican Primary Winner

OH-09 Republican Primary Winner

Derek Merrin

$46.0K Vol.

2

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?

98%

600+

$31.4K Vol.

$42.4K Liq.

Ends in about 13 hours

CA-44 House Election Winner

CA-44 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$21.5K Vol.

$43.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

WV-02 House Election Winner

WV-02 House Election Winner

93%

Republican Party

$63.8K Vol.

$25.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

LA-02 House Election Winner

LA-02 House Election Winner

55%

Democratic Party

$33.8K Vol.

$46.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

74%

1600+

$34.1K Vol.

$61.7K Liq.

4

Ends in about 7 hours

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

91%

500+

$19.0K Vol.

$68.5K Liq.

2

Ends in about 13 hours

TX-20 House Election Winner

TX-20 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$6.7K Vol.

$41.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

GA-04 House Election Winner

GA-04 House Election Winner

96%

Democratic Party

$19.0K Vol.

$37.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

CA-43 House Election Winner

CA-43 House Election Winner

95%

Democratic Party

$22.1K Vol.

$46.6K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

MS-01 House Election Winner

MS-01 House Election Winner

95%

Republican Party

$98.7K Vol.

$29.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

98%

300+

$38.8K Vol.

$85.4K Liq.

Ends in about 13 hours

MS-02 House Election Winner

MS-02 House Election Winner

89%

Democratic Party

$16.2K Vol.

$32.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 1119 active markets for District that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “KY-04 Republican Primary Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “KY-04 Republican Primary Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 77% chance to Thomas Massie. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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