Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin holds a strong position in Florida's 18th congressional district ahead of the August 2026 primaries and November general election. The seat carries a solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections, reflecting the district's partisan lean and Florida's broader redistricting that produced a projected 24-4 GOP advantage statewide. With no Democratic challengers yet polling competitively and historical turnout patterns favoring the incumbent party, trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee an 82.5 percent implied probability of victory. Late primary surprises or national midterm shifts remain the main variables that could alter these odds before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-18 House Election Winner
$14,004 Обс.
$14,004 Обс.
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
15%
$14,004 Обс.
$14,004 Обс.
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
15%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin holds a strong position in Florida's 18th congressional district ahead of the August 2026 primaries and November general election. The seat carries a solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections, reflecting the district's partisan lean and Florida's broader redistricting that produced a projected 24-4 GOP advantage statewide. With no Democratic challengers yet polling competitively and historical turnout patterns favoring the incumbent party, trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee an 82.5 percent implied probability of victory. Late primary surprises or national midterm shifts remain the main variables that could alter these odds before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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