Michigan's 7th congressional district stands as a competitive toss-up for the 2026 House elections, where Republican incumbent Tom Barrett seeks re-election after narrowly flipping the seat in 2024. Traders have assigned Democratic candidates an 80.5% implied probability, driven by the district's even Cook Partisan Voting Index and its status as a top Democratic target in the midterm cycle. Recent developments include the filing of multiple Democratic primary contenders, notably former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink, who has emphasized domestic priorities like abortion access alongside her national security background and has built substantial cash reserves ahead of the August 4 primary. Republican efforts center on Barrett's incumbency and military service record, yet the market consensus highlights the structural challenges of defending an even district in a national environment favoring opposition gains.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMI-07 House Election Winner
MI-07 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
81%
Republican Party
18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,651 Обс.
81%
Republican Party
$1,912 Обс.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district stands as a competitive toss-up for the 2026 House elections, where Republican incumbent Tom Barrett seeks re-election after narrowly flipping the seat in 2024. Traders have assigned Democratic candidates an 80.5% implied probability, driven by the district's even Cook Partisan Voting Index and its status as a top Democratic target in the midterm cycle. Recent developments include the filing of multiple Democratic primary contenders, notably former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink, who has emphasized domestic priorities like abortion access alongside her national security background and has built substantial cash reserves ahead of the August 4 primary. Republican efforts center on Barrett's incumbency and military service record, yet the market consensus highlights the structural challenges of defending an even district in a national environment favoring opposition gains.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$6,563Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district stands as a competitive toss-up for the 2026 House elections, where Republican incumbent Tom Barrett seeks re-election after narrowly flipping the seat in 2024. Traders have assigned Democratic candidates an 80.5% implied probability, driven by the district's even Cook Partisan Voting Index and its status as a top Democratic target in the midterm cycle. Recent developments include the filing of multiple Democratic primary contenders, notably former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink, who has emphasized domestic priorities like abortion access alongside her national security background and has built substantial cash reserves ahead of the August 4 primary. Republican efforts center on Barrett's incumbency and military service record, yet the market consensus highlights the structural challenges of defending an even district in a national environment favoring opposition gains.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$6,563Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 7th congressional district stands as a competitive toss-up for the 2026 House elections, where Republican incumbent Tom Barrett seeks re-election after narrowly flipping the seat in 2024. Traders have assigned Democratic candidates an 80.5% implied probability, driven by the district's even Cook Partisan Voting Index and its status as a top Democratic target in the midterm cycle. Recent developments include the filing of multiple Democratic primary contenders, notably former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink, who has emphasized domestic priorities like abortion access alongside her national security background and has built substantial cash reserves ahead of the August 4 primary. Republican efforts center on Barrett's incumbency and military service record, yet the market consensus highlights the structural challenges of defending an even district in a national environment favoring opposition gains.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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