Шанси та прогнози проміжних виборів 2026

$6.1K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

56% шанс — ні

+10.0%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

84% шанс — ні

-1.0%

НОВЕ

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

90% шанс — так

+3.7%

$3M Обсяг

Мільярдер одноразово сплачує податок на багатство на виборах у Каліфорнії 2026 року?

61% шанс — ні

+1.5%

$6.1K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

56% шанс — ні

+10.0%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

84% шанс — ні

-1.0%

Найбільші перегони

найважливіші ринки

$396K Обсяг

TX Senate

50% Демократ

$334K Обсяг

AK Senate

60% Демократ

$321K Обсяг

ME Senate

68% Демократ

-3%

$118K Обсяг

IA Senate

61% Республіканець

-1%

$98.4K Обсяг

OH Governor

54% Республіканець

-0%

$396K Обсяг

TX Senate

50% Демократ

$334K Обсяг

AK Senate

60% Демократ

$321K Обсяг

ME Senate

68% Демократ

-3%

Переможець виборів губернатора Каліфорнії Ксав'єр Бесерра

Всі перегони

517 ринків

Перегони

Штат

Фав

Рівень

Показано 25 з 50 ринків

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026 — ринкові шанси наживо
Ринок	Головний претендент та номінанти	Ринкові шанси наживо
Переможець виборів губернатора Каліфорнії	Ксав'єр Бесерра	66%
	Том Стейєр	22%
	Стів Гілтон	9%
	Чад Б’янко	2%
Переможець виборів губернатора Аляски	Том Бегіч	28%
	Бернадетт Вілсон	21%
	Джонатан Крейсс-Томкінс	13%
	Click Bishop	6%
	Treg Taylor	6%
	Ненсі Дальстром	5%
	David Bronson	3%
	Matt Claman	1%
Texas Senate Election Winner	Ken Paxton (R)	62%
	James Talarico (D)	39%
NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner	Micah Lasher	54%
	Alex Bores	39%
	Jack Schlossberg	8%
Alaska Senate Election Winner	Mary Peltola	61%
	Dan Sullivan	40%
Maine Senate Election Winner	Democrat	69%
	Republican	32%
Michigan Governor Election Winner	Democrat	84%
	Republican	14%
	Independent	2%
FL-06 Republican Primary Winner	Randy Fine	92%
	Dan Bilzerian	5%
	Aaron Baker	2%
	Alexandra Van Cleef	1%
NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner	Claire Valdez	79%
	Antonio Reynoso	18%
Nebraska Senate Election Winner	Republican	63%
	Independent	37%
	Democrat	3%
Iowa Senate Election Winner	Republican	62%
	Democrat	39%
Michigan Senate Election Winner	Democrat	72%
	Republican	27%
Ohio Governor Election Winner	Republican	55%
	Democrat	45%
Ohio Senate Election Winner	Jon Husted (R)	48%
	Sherrod Brown (D)	47%
North Carolina Senate Election Winner	Roy Cooper (D)	85%
	Michael Whatley (R)	16%
Iowa Governor Election Winner	Democrat	64%
	Republican	35%
NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner	Adam Hamawy	85%
	Susan Altman	7%
	Brad Cohen	3%
	Verlina Reynolds-Jackson	3%
	Matthew Adams	1%
	Elijah Dixon	1%
	Tennille R. McCoy	1%
	Kyle Little	1%
Florida Senate Election Winner	Republican	82%
	Democrat	19%
UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Ben McAdams	71%
	Nate Blouin	21%
	Liban Mohamed	6%
FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner	Lois Frankel	85%
	Oliver Adams Larkin	7%
	Jared Moskowitz	3%
NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner	Darializa Avila Chevalier	62%
	Adriano Espaillat	38%
	Oscar Romero	1%
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner	Democrat	76%
	Republican	16%
Vermont Governor Election Winner	Republican	89%
	Democrat	7%
NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner	Laura Gillen	84%
	Nicholas Sciretta	13%
	Taylor Darling	3%
	Gian Jones	1%
SC-01 Republican Primary Winner	Mark Smith	79%
	Alex Pelbath	17%
	Jay Byars	3%
	Jack Ellison	3%
	Sam McCown	3%
	Jenny Costa Honeycutt	2%
MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner	Bridget Brink	78%
	William Lawrence	16%
	Matt Maasdam	6%
	Josh Cowen	3%
	Alexandra Prieditis	1%
	Elyon Badger	1%
	Muhammad Salman Rais	1%
South Dakota Governor Election Winner	Republican	90%
	Democrat	8%
MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Wesley Bell	73%
	Cori Bush	27%
Texas Governor Election Winner	Republican	79%
	Democrat	20%
SD-AL Democratic Primary Winner	Nikki Gronli	98%
	Billy Mawhiney	2%
	Scott Schlagel	1%
MI-10 Republican Primary Winner	Mike Bouchard	86%
	Robert Lulgjuraj	7%
	Casey Armitage	5%
	Steven Elliott	3%
	Justin Kirk	2%
MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner	April McClain Delaney	67%
	David Trone	31%
	George Gluck	1%
	Ethan Wechtaluk	1%
MT-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Ryan Busse	90%
	Samuel Forstag	9%
	Russell Cleveland	2%
FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner	Debbie Wasserman Schultz	49%
	Elijah Manley	36%
	Rudy Moise	18%
	Dale Holness	5%
	Maisha Williams	5%
	Luther Campbell	4%
	Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick	2%
	Mark Douglas	2%
CA-40 Primary Winners	Young Kim	69%
	Ken Calvert	67%
	Esther Kim Varet	59%
	Joe Kerr	41%
	Nina Linh	4%
	Lisa Ramirez	2%
	Claude Keissieh	2%
NJ-10 Democratic Primary Winner	LaMonica McIver	99%
	Lawrence Poster	1%
CA-27 Primary Winners	Jason Gibbs	95%
	George Whitesides	61%
	Roberto Ramos	4%
	Caleb Norwood	3%
NV-02 Republican Primary Winner	David Flippo	76%
	James Settelmeyer	7%
	Jennifer Billat	2%
	Bill Conrad	1%
	Sherman Tylawsky	1%
	Jesse Watts	1%
	Tom Doyle	1%
	George Forbush	1%
	Bruce Grego	1%
	Jerry Olsen	1%
	Rick Shepherd	1%
	Fred Simon	1%
	Mike Smith	1%
CA-26 Primary Winners	Jacqui Irwin	98%
	Sam Gallucci	80%
	Chris Espinosa	11%
	Michael Koslow	4%
	Sasan Samadzadeh	2%
	Liam Hernandez	2%
	William Scott	2%
	Sonia Kacker	2%
	Daniel Miller	1%
Alaska At-Large Primary Winners	Nick Begich III	92%
	Matt Schultz	92%
	Bill Hill	82%
	John Williams	52%
	Gavin Solomon	43%
	Matthew "Bronco" Williams	21%
CA-32 Primary Winners	Brad Sherman	98%
	Larry Thompson	80%
	Jake Levine	41%
	Chris Ahuja	23%
	Dory Benami	4%
	Marena Lin	4%
	Anna Wilding	2%
	Doug Smith	2%
	Josh Sautter	1%
OK-03 Republican Primary Winner	Frank Lucas	96%
	Wade Burleson	4%
MT-01 Republican Primary Winner	Aaron Flint	99%
	Ray Curtis	1%
	Christi Jacobsen	1%
	Albert Olszewski	1%
CA-38 Primary Winners	Hilda Solis	98%
	Pedro Antonio Casas	86%
	Monica Sánchez	17%
	Erik Lutz	3%
NY-21 Republican Primary Winner	Anthony Constantino	81%
	Robert Smullen	19%
CA-01 Special Election Winner?	James Gallagher	88%
	Audrey Denney	5%
	Mike McGuire	5%
	Richard Montgomery	2%
OK-04 Democratic Primary Winner	Jeff Pixley	71%
	Mitchell Jacob	30%
SC-05 Democratic Primary Winner	Mallory Dittmer	86%
	Andrew Clough	12%
DC Delegate Democratic Primary Winner	Robert White	79%
	Brooke Pinto	14%
	Trent Holbrook	2%
	Gregory Jaczko	2%
	Kinney Zalesne	1%
Чи ухвалять одноразовий податок на багатство мільярдерів на виборах у Каліфорнії 2026 року?	Yes	40%

Переможець виборів губернатора Аляски Том Бегіч

28%

Бернадетт Вілсон

21%

Джонатан Крейсс-Томкінс

Texas Senate Election Winner Ken Paxton (R)

62%

James Talarico (D)

39%

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner Micah Lasher

Alaska Senate Election Winner Mary Peltola

61%

Dan Sullivan

40%

Maine Senate Election Winner Democrat

69%

Michigan Governor Election Winner Democrat

32%

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner Randy Fine

NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner Claire Valdez

79%

Antonio Reynoso

18%

Nebraska Senate Election Winner Republican

Iowa Senate Election Winner Republican

62%

Michigan Senate Election Winner Democrat

39%

72%

Ohio Governor Election Winner Republican

27%

55%

Ohio Senate Election Winner Jon Husted (R)

45%

48%

Sherrod Brown (D)

47%

North Carolina Senate Election Winner Roy Cooper (D)

85%

Michael Whatley (R)

16%

Iowa Governor Election Winner Democrat

64%

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner Adam Hamawy

35%

85%

Susan Altman

Brad Cohen

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson

Florida Senate Election Winner Republican

82%

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner Ben McAdams

19%

FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner Lois Frankel

85%

Oliver Adams Larkin

Jared Moskowitz

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner Darializa Avila Chevalier

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner Democrat

76%

Vermont Governor Election Winner Republican

16%

89%

NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner Laura Gillen

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner Mark Smith

Jenny Costa Honeycutt

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner Bridget Brink

South Dakota Governor Election Winner Republican

90%

MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner Wesley Bell

73%

Cori Bush

27%

Texas Governor Election Winner Republican

79%