Шанси та прогнози проміжних виборів 2026

$6.1K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

70% шанс — ні

-11.0%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

90% шанс — ні

+0.0%

НОВЕ

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

96% шанс — так

+0.7%

$3M Обсяг

Мільярдер одноразово сплачує податок на багатство на виборах у Каліфорнії 2026 року?

56% шанс — ні

+1.0%

$6.1K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

70% шанс — ні

-11.0%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

90% шанс — ні

+0.0%

Найбільші перегони

найважливіші ринки

$314K Обсяг

AK Senate

66% Демократ

$199K Обсяг

TX Senate

53% Республіканець

$115K Обсяг

IA Senate

60% Республіканець

$90.5K Обсяг

OH Governor

55% Демократ

-1%

$74.3K Обсяг

OH Senate

58% Демократ

-1%

$314K Обсяг

AK Senate

66% Демократ

$199K Обсяг

TX Senate

53% Республіканець

$115K Обсяг

IA Senate

60% Республіканець

Переможець виборів губернатора Каліфорнії Ксав'єр Бесерра

Всі перегони

517 ринків

Перегони

Штат

Фав

Рівень

Показано 25 з 50 ринків

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026 — ринкові шанси наживо
Ринок	Головний претендент та номінанти	Ринкові шанси наживо
Переможець виборів губернатора Каліфорнії	Ксав'єр Бесерра	49%
	Том Стейєр	35%
	Стів Гілтон	9%
	Чад Б’янко	2%
	Метт Махан	2%
	Кеті Портер	1%
	Елейн Кулотті	1%
Переможець виборів губернатора Аляски	Том Бегіч	34%
	Бернадетт Вілсон	25%
	David Bronson	11%
	Джонатан Крейсс-Томкінс	9%
	Click Bishop	6%
	Ненсі Дальстром	6%
	Treg Taylor	4%
	Edna DeVries	1%
	Matt Claman	1%
KY-04 Republican Primary Winner	Thomas Massie	72%
	Ed Gallrein	29%
NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner	Alex Bores	47%
	Micah Lasher	34%
	Jack Schlossberg	18%
Maine Senate Election Winner	Democrat	79%
	Republican	23%
Texas Senate Election Winner	Republican	55%
	Democrat	47%
Michigan Governor Election Winner	Democrat	72%
	Republican	18%
	Independent	11%
Iowa Senate Election Winner	Republican	61%
	Democrat	40%
Michigan Senate Election Winner	Democrat	74%
	Republican	27%
Nebraska Senate Election Winner	Republican	64%
	Independent	30%
	Democrat	4%
Ohio Governor Election Winner	Democrat	56%
	Republican	44%
Ohio Senate Election Winner	Democrat	59%
	Republican	42%
Montana Senate Election Winner	Republican	81%
	Independent	12%
	Democrat	6%
FL-06 Republican Primary Winner	Randy Fine	76%
	Dan Bilzerian	20%
	Charles Gambaro	2%
	Alexandra Van Cleef	1%
	Joshua Vasquez	1%
	Aaron Baker	1%
	Ernest Audino	1%
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner	Democrat	78%
	Republican	21%
NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner	Beth Davidson	37%
	Cait Conley	36%
	Effie Phillips-Staley	23%
	Peter Chatzky	2%
PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner	Sharif Street	66%
	Chris Rabb	27%
	Ala Stanford	3%
Iowa Governor Election Winner	Democrat	72%
	Republican	28%
NE-02 Republican Primary Winner	Brinker Harding	99%
	Dan Frei	1%
NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner	Adam Hamawy	73%
	Verlina Reynolds-Jackson	13%
	Susan Altman	9%
	Matthew Adams	2%
	Brad Cohen	2%
	Elijah Dixon	1%
	Michael Anderson	1%
	Tennille R. McCoy	1%
	Raymond Heck	1%
	Kyle Little	1%
NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner	Ritchie Torres	93%
	Michael Blake	6%
	Dalourny Nemorin	2%
OK-01 Republican Primary Winner	Jackson Lahmeyer	44%
	Mark Tedford	40%
	Dan Rooney	6%
	Kim David	2%
	Jed Cochran	1%
	Nancy Dyson	1%
	Jackson Stallings	1%
	Todd Woods	1%
NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner	John Cavanaugh	61%
	Denise Powell	37%
	Mark Johnston	1%
Massachusetts Governor Election Winner	Democrat	96%
	Republican	5%
IA-02 Republican Primary Winner	Joe Mitchell	94%
	Charlie McClintock	1%
GA-13 Democratic Primary Winner	Jasmine Clark	84%
	Everton Blair Jr.	11%
	Joe Lester	2%
	Heavenly Kimes	2%
	David Scott	1%
	Emanuel Jones	1%
KY-06 Republican Primary Winner	Ralph Alvarado	93%
	Gavin Solomon	4%
	Adam Perez Arquette	3%
	Ryan Dotson	2%
	Greg Plucinski	1%
CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner	Manny Rutinel	81%
	Shannon Bird	19%
	Yadira Caraveo	1%
	Dave Young	1%
IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Christina Bohannan	94%
	Travis Terrell	3%
	Taylor Wettach	3%
FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner	Jared Moskowitz	32%
	Oliver Adams Larkin	30%
ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner	Joe Baldacci	62%
	Matthew Dunlap	24%
	Jordan Wood	13%
	Jared Golden	2%
	Paige Loud	2%
SC-01 Republican Primary Winner	Mark Smith	71%
	Alex Pelbath	14%
	Jenny Costa Honeycutt	6%
	Sam McCown	5%
	Jack Ellison	3%
	Logan Cunningham	1%
	Justin Myers	1%
	Jay Byars	1%
	Dan Brown	1%
South Dakota Governor Election Winner	Republican	93%
	Democrat	4%
Texas Governor Election Winner	Republican	84%
	Democrat	14%
GA-01 Republican Primary Winner	James Kingston	92%
	Brian Montgomery	6%
	Patrick Farrell	4%
	Kandiss Taylor	1%
South Carolina Governor Election Winner	Republican	92%
	Democrat	5%
Maine Governor Election Winner	Democrat	89%
	Republican	13%
ME-02 Republican Primary Winner	Paul LePage	95%
	James Clark	4%
GA-09 Republican Primary Winner	Andrew Clyde	90%
	Sam Couvillon	10%
New Hampshire Governor Election Winner	Republican	76%
	Democrat	24%
CA-07 Primary Winners	Doris Matsui	91%
	Mai Vang	79%
	Ralph Nwobi	20%
	Zachariah Wooden	9%
	Enayat Nazhat	6%
	Robert Morin	5%
Kentucky Senate Election Winner	Republican	95%
	Democrat	4%
CA-34 Primary Winners	Angela Gonzales-Torres	75%
	Jimmy Gomez	75%
	Robert Lucero	34%
	Calvin Lee	12%
	Loren Colin	5%
	Arthur Dixon	5%
GA-11 Republican Primary Winner	Rob Adkerson	38%
	John Cowan	31%
	Tricia Pridemore	27%
	Chris Mora	5%
	John Hobbs	3%
	William Brown	3%
	Lisa Carlquist	1%
South Dakota Senate Election Winner	Republican	92%
	Democrat	5%
CA-41 Primary Winners	Linda Sánchez	94%
	Mitch Clemmons	83%
	Hector De La Torre	26%
	Shonique Williams	6%
NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner	Rebecca Bennett	78%
	Brian Varela	19%
	Tina Shah	4%
	Michael Roth	4%
MT-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Ryan Busse	63%
	Samuel Forstag	22%
	Russell Cleveland	6%
	Matt Rains	3%
CA-06 Primary Winners	Kevin Kiley	89%
	Thien Ho	48%
	Richard Pan	47%
	Lauren Babb Tomlinson	26%
	Tyler Vandenberg	8%
	Martha Guerrero	7%
	Michael Stansfield	6%
Чи ухвалять одноразовий податок на багатство мільярдерів на виборах у Каліфорнії 2026 року?	Yes	45%

Переможець виборів губернатора Аляски Том Бегіч

Джонатан Крейсс-Томкінс

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner Thomas Massie

72%

Ed Gallrein

29%

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner Alex Bores

Maine Senate Election Winner Democrat

79%

Texas Senate Election Winner Republican

23%

55%

Michigan Governor Election Winner Democrat

47%

Iowa Senate Election Winner Republican

61%

Michigan Senate Election Winner Democrat

40%

74%

Nebraska Senate Election Winner Republican

27%

Ohio Governor Election Winner Democrat

56%

Ohio Senate Election Winner Democrat

44%

59%

Montana Senate Election Winner Republican

42%

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner Randy Fine

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner Democrat

78%

NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner Beth Davidson

21%

37%

Cait Conley

36%

Effie Phillips-Staley

23%

Peter Chatzky

PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner Sharif Street

Iowa Governor Election Winner Democrat

72%

NE-02 Republican Primary Winner Brinker Harding

28%

99%

Dan Frei

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner Adam Hamawy

73%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson

NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner Ritchie Torres

93%

Michael Blake

Dalourny Nemorin

OK-01 Republican Primary Winner Jackson Lahmeyer

NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner John Cavanaugh

Massachusetts Governor Election Winner Democrat

96%

IA-02 Republican Primary Winner Joe Mitchell

94%

Charlie McClintock

GA-13 Democratic Primary Winner Jasmine Clark

KY-06 Republican Primary Winner Ralph Alvarado

CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner Manny Rutinel

IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner Christina Bohannan

94%

Travis Terrell

Taylor Wettach

FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner Jared Moskowitz

32%

Oliver Adams Larkin

30%

ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner Joe Baldacci

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner Mark Smith

71%

Alex Pelbath

14%

Jenny Costa Honeycutt

South Dakota Governor Election Winner Republican

93%

Texas Governor Election Winner Republican

84%

GA-01 Republican Primary Winner James Kingston

14%

South Carolina Governor Election Winner Republican

92%

Maine Governor Election Winner Democrat

89%

ME-02 Republican Primary Winner Paul LePage

13%

95%

James Clark

GA-09 Republican Primary Winner Andrew Clyde

90%

Sam Couvillon

10%

New Hampshire Governor Election Winner Republican

76%

CA-07 Primary Winners Doris Matsui

24%

Kentucky Senate Election Winner Republican

95%

CA-34 Primary Winners Angela Gonzales-Torres

GA-11 Republican Primary Winner Rob Adkerson

South Dakota Senate Election Winner Republican

92%