Прогнози та шанси проміжних виборів 2026

$6.1K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

65% шанс — ні

+3.0%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

85% шанс — ні

+1.0%

НОВЕ

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

93% шанс — так

-0.1%

$3M Обсяг

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

77% шанс — ні

-11.5%

$6.1K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

65% шанс — ні

+3.0%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

85% шанс — ні

+1.0%

Найбільші перегони

найважливіші ринки

$1M Обсяг

AK Governor

58% Республіканець

$529K Обсяг

TX Senate

50% Демократ

$560K Обсяг

ME Senate

62% Демократ

$341K Обсяг

AK Senate

62% Демократ

+1%

$123K Обсяг

IA Senate

59% Республіканець

$1M Обсяг

AK Governor

58% Республіканець

$529K Обсяг

TX Senate

50% Демократ

$560K Обсяг

ME Senate

62% Демократ

California Governor Election Winner Xavier Becerra

Всі перегони

519 ринків

Перегони

Штат

Фав

Рівень

Показано 25 з 50 ринків

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026 — ринкові шанси наживо
Ринок	Головний претендент та номінанти	Ринкові шанси наживо
California Governor Election Winner	Xavier Becerra	89%
	Steve Hilton	9%
Maine Senate Election Winner	Democrat	63%
	Republican	38%
Texas Senate Election Winner	Ken Paxton (R)	56%
	James Talarico (D)	44%
NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner	Micah Lasher	57%
	Alex Bores	44%
Alaska Senate Election Winner	Mary Peltola	62%
	Dan Sullivan	38%
KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory	Gallrein 9%+	99%
	Gallrein 6-9%	1%
FL-06 Republican Primary Winner	Randy Fine	92%
	Dan Bilzerian	2%
NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner	Claire Valdez	83%
	Antonio Reynoso	18%
OK-01 Republican Primary Winner	Mark Tedford	99%
	Jackson Lahmeyer	1%
NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner	Cait Conley	90%
	Beth Davidson	9%
Nebraska Senate Election Winner	Republican	59%
	Independent	39%
	Democrat	3%
Iowa Senate Election Winner	Republican	61%
	Democrat	41%
NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner	Darializa Avila Chevalier	53%
	Adriano Espaillat	49%
UT-03 Republican Primary Winner	Celeste Maloy	99%
	Phil Lyman	1%
Ohio Governor Election Winner	Republican	52%
	Democrat	43%
UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Ben McAdams	89%
	Nate Blouin	13%
Ohio Senate Election Winner	Sherrod Brown (D)	55%
	Jon Husted (R)	45%
New York Governor Election Winner	Democrat	88%
	Republican	12%
North Carolina Senate Election Winner	Roy Cooper (D)	85%
	Michael Whatley (R)	15%
NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner	Grace Meng	95%
	Charles Park	5%
MD-05 Democratic Primary Winner	Adrian Boafo	78%
	Harry Dunn	12%
	Quincy Bareebe	6%
	Rushern Baker III	6%
	Wala Blegay	1%
Rhode Island Governor Election Winner	Democrat	92%
	Independent	4%
	Republican	2%
AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner	Mark Lamb	35%
	Travis Grantham	3%
	Jay Feely	1%
MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner	Christina Hines	39%
	Eric Chung	37%
	Tim Greimel	21%
AL-01 Republican Primary Winner	Jerry Carl	77%
	James Dees	26%
	Austin Sidwell	13%
	John Mills	10%
	Rhett Marques	6%
	Joshua McKee	6%
	James Richardson	2%
LA-05 Republican Primary Winner	Michael Mebruer	45%
	Austin Magee	40%
	Michael Echols	25%
	Blake Miguez	15%
	Samuel Wyatt	2%
MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner	Dan Koh	67%
	Tram Nguyen	21%
	John Beccia	7%
	Beth Andres-Beck	4%
	Mariah Lancaster	1%
	Kevin Larivee	1%
	Rachel Creemers	1%
UT-02 Republican Primary Winner	Blake Moore	98%
	Karianne Lisonbee	2%
NY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory	Bores <5%	30%
	Lasher <5%	26%
	Bores 5%+	19%
	Lasher 5–10%	17%
	Lasher 10–15%	11%
	Schlossberg Wins	1%
	Lasher 15%+	1%
South Carolina Senate Election Winner	Republican	84%
	Democrat	14%
Colorado Senate Election Winner	Democrat	92%
	Republican	9%
NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner	Laura Gillen	99%
FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner	Lois Frankel	90%
	Victoria Doyle	10%
	Jared Moskowitz	3%
	Oliver Adams Larkin	3%
Georgia Senate Election Winner	Democrat	86%
	Republican	14%
Nevada Governor Election Winner	Democrat	53%
	Republican	47%
SC-01 Republican Primary Winner	Mark Smith	66%
	Jenny Costa Honeycutt	43%
	Logan Cunningham	13%
	Alex Pelbath	10%
	Jack Ellison	6%
	Sam McCown	6%
	Dan Brown	5%
	Justin Myers	2%
Oklahoma Governor Election Winner	Republican	92%
	Democrat	8%
FL-09 Republican Primary Winner	Thomas Chalifoux	46%
	Howard Steven Rance	25%
	Marcus Carter	11%
	Justin Story	10%
	Jorge Malavet	6%
NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner	Brad Lander	99%
	Dan Goldman	1%
MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner	Glenn Ivey	99%
	Jonathan White	1%
	Joseph Gomes	1%
	Jakeya Johnson	1%
CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Melat Kiros	55%
	Diana DeGette	45%
TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner	Justin Pearson	90%
	DeVante Hill	6%
	Steve Cohen	2%
CO-03 Republican Primary Winner	Jeff Hurd	98%
	Hope Scheppelman	2%
New Hampshire Governor Election Winner	Republican	81%
	Democrat	25%
MD-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Dan Schwartz	98%
	George Walsh	1%
	Randi White	1%
Alaska At-Large Primary Winners	Nick Begich III	94%
	Matt Schultz	93%
	Bill Hill	90%
	John Williams	60%
	Gavin Solomon	26%
	Matthew "Bronco" Williams	21%
SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Nancy Lacore	85%
	Mac Deford	15%
	Max Diaz	6%
	Ben Frasier	4%
	Francina Dantzler	1%
	Matt Fulmer	1%
FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner	Elijah Manley	47%
	Debbie Wasserman Schultz	43%
	Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick	9%
	Maisha Williams	8%
	Dale Holness	6%
	Rudy Moise	5%
	Luther Campbell	2%
MD-07 Democratic Primary Winner	Kweisi Mfume	99%
	Mark Conway	1%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	24%

89%

Steve Hilton

Maine Senate Election Winner Democrat

63%

Texas Senate Election Winner Ken Paxton (R)

38%

56%

James Talarico (D)

44%

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner Micah Lasher

57%

Alex Bores

44%

Alaska Senate Election Winner Mary Peltola

62%

Dan Sullivan

38%

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory Gallrein 9%+

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner Randy Fine

Gallrein 6-9%

NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner Claire Valdez

Dan Bilzerian

83%

Antonio Reynoso

18%

OK-01 Republican Primary Winner Mark Tedford

NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner Cait Conley

Jackson Lahmeyer

90%

Beth Davidson

Nebraska Senate Election Winner Republican

Iowa Senate Election Winner Republican

61%

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner Darializa Avila Chevalier

41%

53%

Adriano Espaillat

49%

UT-03 Republican Primary Winner Celeste Maloy

Ohio Governor Election Winner Republican

Phil Lyman

52%

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner Ben McAdams

43%

89%

Nate Blouin

13%

Ohio Senate Election Winner Sherrod Brown (D)

55%

Jon Husted (R)

45%

New York Governor Election Winner Democrat

88%

North Carolina Senate Election Winner Roy Cooper (D)

12%

85%

Michael Whatley (R)

15%

NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner Grace Meng

95%

Charles Park

MD-05 Democratic Primary Winner Adrian Boafo

Rhode Island Governor Election Winner Democrat

Independent

AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner Mark Lamb

35%

Travis Grantham

Jay Feely

MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner Christina Hines

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner Jerry Carl

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner Michael Mebruer

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner Dan Koh

UT-02 Republican Primary Winner Blake Moore

98%

Karianne Lisonbee

NY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory Bores <5%

South Carolina Senate Election Winner Republican

84%

Colorado Senate Election Winner Democrat

14%

NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner Laura Gillen

FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner Lois Frankel

Georgia Senate Election Winner Democrat

86%

Nevada Governor Election Winner Democrat

14%

53%

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner Mark Smith

47%

66%

Jenny Costa Honeycutt

Oklahoma Governor Election Winner Republican

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner Thomas Chalifoux

NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner Brad Lander

MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner Glenn Ivey

Dan Goldman

CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner Melat Kiros

55%

Diana DeGette

45%

TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner Justin Pearson

90%

DeVante Hill

Steve Cohen

CO-03 Republican Primary Winner Jeff Hurd

98%

Hope Scheppelman

New Hampshire Governor Election Winner Republican

81%

MD-01 Democratic Primary Winner Dan Schwartz

25%

98%

George Walsh

Randi White

Alaska At-Large Primary Winners Nick Begich III

Matthew "Bronco" Williams

21%

SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner Nancy Lacore

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner Elijah Manley

47%

Debbie Wasserman Schultz

43%

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

MD-07 Democratic Primary Winner Kweisi Mfume