Прогнози та шанси проміжних виборів 2026

$6.1K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

57% шанс — ні

+10.5%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

84% шанс — ні

+1.5%

НОВЕ

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

93% шанс — так

+0.2%

$3M Обсяг

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

73% шанс — ні

-8.0%

$6.1K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

57% шанс — ні

+10.5%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

84% шанс — ні

+1.5%

Найбільші перегони

найважливіші ринки

$1M Обсяг

AK Governor

58% Республіканець

$528K Обсяг

TX Senate

50% Демократ

$559K Обсяг

ME Senate

62% Демократ

-1%

$340K Обсяг

AK Senate

61% Демократ

$123K Обсяг

IA Senate

59% Республіканець

$1M Обсяг

AK Governor

58% Республіканець

$528K Обсяг

TX Senate

50% Демократ

$559K Обсяг

ME Senate

62% Демократ

-1%

California Governor Election Winner Xavier Becerra

Всі перегони

519 ринків

Перегони

Штат

Фав

Рівень

Показано 25 з 50 ринків

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026 — ринкові шанси наживо
Ринок	Головний претендент та номінанти	Ринкові шанси наживо
California Governor Election Winner	Xavier Becerra	89%
	Steve Hilton	10%
Maine Senate Election Winner	Democrat	63%
	Republican	38%
Texas Senate Election Winner	Ken Paxton (R)	56%
	James Talarico (D)	44%
NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner	Micah Lasher	64%
	Alex Bores	38%
	Jack Schlossberg	1%
Alaska Senate Election Winner	Mary Peltola	62%
	Dan Sullivan	38%
KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory	Gallrein 9%+	99%
	Gallrein 6-9%	1%
FL-06 Republican Primary Winner	Randy Fine	93%
	Dan Bilzerian	2%
Michigan Governor Election Winner	Democrat	83%
	Republican	16%
	Independent	3%
NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner	Claire Valdez	83%
	Antonio Reynoso	18%
	Julie Won	1%
OK-01 Republican Primary Winner	Mark Tedford	97%
	Jackson Lahmeyer	1%
NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner	Cait Conley	90%
	Beth Davidson	10%
Iowa Senate Election Winner	Republican	61%
	Democrat	41%
NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner	Darializa Avila Chevalier	52%
	Adriano Espaillat	49%
Ohio Governor Election Winner	Republican	52%
	Democrat	44%
UT-03 Republican Primary Winner	Celeste Maloy	99%
	Phil Lyman	1%
UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Ben McAdams	89%
	Nate Blouin	13%
Ohio Senate Election Winner	Sherrod Brown (D)	55%
	Jon Husted (R)	45%
New York Governor Election Winner	Democrat	88%
	Republican	12%
North Carolina Senate Election Winner	Roy Cooper (D)	85%
	Michael Whatley (R)	16%
MD-05 Democratic Primary Winner	Adrian Boafo	78%
	Harry Dunn	12%
	Rushern Baker III	6%
	Quincy Bareebe	5%
	Wala Blegay	1%
Rhode Island Governor Election Winner	Democrat	92%
	Independent	4%
	Republican	2%
AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner	Mark Lamb	36%
	Travis Grantham	31%
	Jay Feely	1%
MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner	Christina Hines	39%
	Eric Chung	28%
	Tim Greimel	22%
AL-01 Republican Primary Winner	Jerry Carl	77%
	Joshua McKee	30%
	James Dees	25%
	Austin Sidwell	24%
	John Mills	10%
	Rhett Marques	7%
	James Richardson	2%
Iowa Governor Election Winner	Democrat	63%
	Republican	36%
MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner	Dan Koh	59%
	John Beccia	16%
	Tram Nguyen	15%
	Beth Andres-Beck	10%
	Mariah Lancaster	4%
	Rachel Creemers	4%
	Jamie Zahlaway Belsito	3%
	Kevin Larivee	1%
	Rick Jakious	1%
UT-02 Republican Primary Winner	Blake Moore	98%
	Karianne Lisonbee	1%
Georgia Governor Election Winner	Democrat	54%
	Republican	46%
Colorado Senate Election Winner	Democrat	92%
	Republican	9%
FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner	Lois Frankel	86%
	Victoria Doyle	11%
	Jared Moskowitz	3%
	Oliver Adams Larkin	3%
Georgia Senate Election Winner	Democrat	86%
	Republican	15%
Nevada Governor Election Winner	Democrat	52%
	Republican	47%
ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner	Matthew Dunlap	100%
NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner	Grace Meng	93%
	Charles Park	8%
FL-19 Republican Primary Winner	Catalina Lauf	56%
	Jim Schwartzel	29%
	Bob Rommel	18%
	Jim Oberweis	16%
	Madison Cawthorn	3%
	Spencer Roach	2%
SC-01 Republican Primary Winner	Jenny Costa Honeycutt	45%
	Mark Smith	44%
	Logan Cunningham	15%
	Alex Pelbath	15%
	Jack Ellison	12%
	Sam McCown	8%
	Dan Brown	7%
	Justin Myers	2%
NY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory	Lasher <5%	28%
	Bores <5%	27%
	Lasher 5–10%	24%
	Lasher 10–15%	12%
	Bores 5%+	6%
	Schlossberg Wins	2%
	Lasher 15%+	2%
Oklahoma Governor Election Winner	Republican	91%
	Democrat	8%
FL-09 Republican Primary Winner	Thomas Chalifoux	42%
	Howard Steven Rance	28%
	Marcus Carter	21%
	Justin Story	10%
	Jorge Malavet	6%
NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner	Brad Lander	99%
	Dan Goldman	1%
CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Melat Kiros	52%
	Diana DeGette	43%
MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner	Glenn Ivey	98%
	Jonathan White	1%
	Joseph Gomes	1%
	Jakeya Johnson	1%
MI-10 Republican Primary Winner	Mike Bouchard	65%
	Robert Lulgjuraj	18%
	Casey Armitage	2%
	Justin Kirk	1%
	Steven Elliott	1%
TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner	Justin Pearson	90%
	DeVante Hill	5%
	Steve Cohen	2%
Virginia Senate Election Winner	Democrat	93%
	Republican	6%
MD-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Dan Schwartz	96%
	Randi White	2%
	George Walsh	1%
SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Nancy Lacore	85%
	Mac Deford	15%
	Max Diaz	3%
	Ben Frasier	3%
	Francina Dantzler	1%
	Matt Fulmer	1%
FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner	Debbie Wasserman Schultz	48%
	Elijah Manley	43%
	Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick	11%
	Dale Holness	9%
	Maisha Williams	7%
	Rudy Moise	5%
	Luther Campbell	2%
MD-07 Democratic Primary Winner	Kweisi Mfume	98%
	Mark Conway	1%
	Theo Gillespie	1%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	28%

89%

Steve Hilton

10%

Maine Senate Election Winner Democrat

63%

Texas Senate Election Winner Ken Paxton (R)

38%

56%

James Talarico (D)

44%

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner Micah Lasher

Alaska Senate Election Winner Mary Peltola

62%

Dan Sullivan

38%

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory Gallrein 9%+

99%

Gallrein 6-9%

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner Randy Fine

93%

Dan Bilzerian

Michigan Governor Election Winner Democrat

NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner Claire Valdez

OK-01 Republican Primary Winner Mark Tedford

97%

Jackson Lahmeyer

NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner Cait Conley

90%

Beth Davidson

10%

Iowa Senate Election Winner Republican

61%

Democrat

41%

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner Darializa Avila Chevalier

Ohio Governor Election Winner Republican

Adriano Espaillat

49%

UT-03 Republican Primary Winner Celeste Maloy

Democrat

44%

99%

Phil Lyman

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner Ben McAdams

89%

Nate Blouin

13%

Ohio Senate Election Winner Sherrod Brown (D)

55%

Jon Husted (R)

45%

New York Governor Election Winner Democrat

88%

North Carolina Senate Election Winner Roy Cooper (D)

12%

85%

Michael Whatley (R)

16%

MD-05 Democratic Primary Winner Adrian Boafo

Rhode Island Governor Election Winner Democrat

92%

Independent

AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner Mark Lamb

MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner Christina Hines

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner Jerry Carl

Iowa Governor Election Winner Democrat

63%

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner Dan Koh

36%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

Kevin Larivee

Rick Jakious

UT-02 Republican Primary Winner Blake Moore

98%

Karianne Lisonbee

Georgia Governor Election Winner Democrat

54%

Colorado Senate Election Winner Democrat

46%

92%

FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner Lois Frankel

Georgia Senate Election Winner Democrat

86%

Nevada Governor Election Winner Democrat

15%

ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner Matthew Dunlap

47%

100%

NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner Grace Meng

93%

Charles Park

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner Catalina Lauf

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner Jenny Costa Honeycutt

NY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory Lasher <5%

Oklahoma Governor Election Winner Republican

91%

Democrat

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner Thomas Chalifoux

NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner Brad Lander

99%

Dan Goldman

CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner Melat Kiros

MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner Glenn Ivey

Diana DeGette

43%

MI-10 Republican Primary Winner Mike Bouchard

TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner Justin Pearson

90%

DeVante Hill

Steve Cohen

Virginia Senate Election Winner Democrat

93%