Шанси та прогнози проміжних виборів 2026

$6.4K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

81% шанс — ні

-1.0%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

82% шанс — ні

-1.5%

НОВЕ

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

92% шанс — так

+4.0%

$4M Обсяг

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

67% шанс — ні

+4.0%

$6.4K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

81% шанс — ні

-1.0%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

82% шанс — ні

-1.5%

Найбільші перегони

найважливіші ринки

AK Governor

58% Республіканець

-0%

ME Senate

67% Демократ

+2%

$611K Обсяг

TX Senate

50% Демократ

+0%

$367K Обсяг

AK Senate

58% Демократ

+0%

$144K Обсяг

IA Senate

61% Республіканець

+1%

AK Governor

58% Республіканець

-0%

ME Senate

67% Демократ

+2%

$611K Обсяг

TX Senate

50% Демократ

+0%

California Governor Election Winner Xavier Becerra

Всі перегони

529 ринків

Перегони

Штат

Фав

Рівень

Показано 25 з 50 ринків

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026 — ринкові шанси наживо
Ринок	Головний претендент та номінанти	Ринкові шанси наживо
California Governor Election Winner	Xavier Becerra	93%
	Steve Hilton	7%
Alaska Governor Election Winner	Tom Begich	35%
	Bernadette Wilson	30%
	Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins	16%
	Treg Taylor	9%
	David Bronson	6%
	Bill Walker	5%
	Click Bishop	2%
	Nancy Dahlstrom	1%
	Matt Heilala	1%
	Mary Peltola	1%
	Matt Claman	1%
Maine Senate Election Winner	Democrat	68%
	Republican	33%
Texas Senate Election Winner	Ken Paxton (R)	56%
	James Talarico (D)	44%
Alaska Senate Election Winner	Mary Peltola	60%
	Dan Sullivan	42%
FL-06 Republican Primary Winner	Randy Fine	96%
	Dan Bilzerian	1%
Michigan Governor Election Winner	Democrat	84%
	Republican	16%
	Independent	1%
Nebraska Senate Election Winner	Republican	71%
	Independent	30%
	Democrat	1%
Iowa Senate Election Winner	Republican	62%
	Democrat	39%
Michigan Senate Election Winner	Democrat	69%
	Republican	32%
NY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory	Lasher <5%	99%
	Lasher 15%+	1%
	Lasher 5–10%	1%
Montana Senate Election Winner	Republican	90%
	Independent	10%
	Democrat	1%
New York Governor Election Winner	Democrat	93%
	Republican	7%
North Carolina Senate Election Winner	Roy Cooper (D)	87%
	Michael Whatley (R)	14%
MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Cori Bush	54%
	Wesley Bell	45%
Georgia Senate Election Winner	Democrat	87%
	Republican	14%
MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner	Donavan McKinney	75%
	Shri Thanedar	25%
Minnesota Governor Election Winner	Democrat	94%
	Republican	3%
MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner	William Lawrence	57%
	Matt Maasdam	25%
	Bridget Brink	21%
MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner	Dan Koh	71%
	Tram Nguyen	28%
	Seth Moulton	1%
	Beth Andres-Beck	1%
	John Beccia	1%
	Kevin Larivee	1%
Georgia Governor Election Winner	Democrat	56%
	Republican	43%
MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner	Christina Hines	82%
	Eric Chung	14%
	Tim Greimel	5%
FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner	Lois Frankel	94%
	Oliver Adams Larkin	2%
	Victoria Doyle	2%
Arizona Governor Election Winner	Democrat	78%
	Republican	22%
NH-01 Republican Primary Winner	Anthony DiLorenzo	86%
	Hollie Noveletsky	11%
	Melissa Bailey	1%
	Brian Cole	1%
MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner	Jeremy Moss	85%
	Aisha Farooqi	11%
AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Amish Shah	92%
	Marlene Galán-Woods	2%
FL-09 Republican Primary Winner	Thomas Chalifoux	42%
	Dan Green	25%
	Jorge Martinez	13%
	Marcus Carter	9%
	Justin Story	5%
	Ben Butler	3%
	Howard Steven Rance	1%
	Steve Rance	1%
Vermont Governor Election Winner	Republican	83%
	Democrat	17%
FL-19 Republican Primary Winner	Jim Schwartzel	42%
	Catalina Lauf	23%
	Jim Oberweis	18%
	Madison Cawthorn	3%
	Spencer Roach	3%
	Bob Rommel	1%
MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner	Ilhan Omar	98%
	Latonya Reeves	2%
Maine Governor Election Winner	Democrat	94%
	Republican	6%
MN-02 Republican Primary Winner	Eric Pratt	97%
	Tyler Kistner	1%
MI-10 Republican Primary Winner	Mike Bouchard	96%
	Justin Kirk	3%
FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner	Debbie Wasserman Schultz	72%
	Elijah Manley	27%
Alaska At-Large Primary Winners	Nick Begich III	99%
	Bill Hill	96%
	Matt Schultz	67%
	John Williams	53%
	Matthew "Bronco" Williams	33%
	Gavin Solomon	1%
CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Luke Bronin	72%
	John Larson	26%
South Dakota Governor Election Winner	Republican	93%
	Democrat	7%
New Hampshire Governor Election Winner	Republican	79%
	Democrat	22%
MO-04 Democratic Primary Winner	Hartzell Gray	60%
	Randy Miller	14%
	Jordan Herrera	11%
	Wayne Russell	8%
	Jeanette Cass	5%
	Ashleigh Rogers	3%
	G Rick	2%
HI-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Ed Case	59%
	Jarrett Keohokalole	44%
	Nicholas Kiswanto	5%
	Jennifer Booker	4%
	Ben Fatula	1%
MO-06 Republican Primary Winner	Chris Stigall	68%
	Nathan Willett	25%
	Cody Oshel	13%
	Nathanael Schultz	3%
	James Ingram	1%
WI-03 Democratic Primary Winner	Rebecca Cooke	73%
	Emily Berge	7%
MO-05 Republican Primary Winner	Rick Brattin	77%
	Taylor Burks	17%
	Brett Hueffmeier	5%
	Brad Patty	4%
	Micah Beebe	3%
	Berton A. Knox	1%
VA-08 Democratic Primary Winner	Don Beyer	96%
	Mo Seifeldein	4%
	Lorena Thorne Bruner	3%
	Michael Duffin	1%
FL-07 Republican Primary Winner	Ryan Elijah	79%
	Cory Mills	20%
	Mike Johnson	10%
	Sarah Ulrich	4%
MI-02 Democratic Primary Winner	Benjamin Ambrose	82%
	Clyde Welford	9%
	Jamie Hill	8%
FL-05 Republican Primary Winner	John Rutherford	92%
	Mark Kaye	11%
FL-02 Republican Primary Winner	Keith Gross	50%
	Evan Power	33%
	Austin Rogers	18%
	Jim Norton	15%
	Lee Jones	12%
	Luke Murphy	11%
	Audie Rowell	11%
	Nick Lewis	10%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	34%

93%

Steve Hilton

Alaska Governor Election Winner Tom Begich

35%

Bernadette Wilson

30%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Maine Senate Election Winner Democrat

68%

Texas Senate Election Winner Ken Paxton (R)

33%

56%

James Talarico (D)

44%

Alaska Senate Election Winner Mary Peltola

60%

Dan Sullivan

42%

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner Randy Fine

96%

Dan Bilzerian

Michigan Governor Election Winner Democrat

Nebraska Senate Election Winner Republican

Iowa Senate Election Winner Republican

62%

Michigan Senate Election Winner Democrat

39%

69%

NY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory Lasher <5%

32%

99%

Lasher 15%+

Lasher 5–10%

Montana Senate Election Winner Republican

New York Governor Election Winner Democrat

93%

North Carolina Senate Election Winner Roy Cooper (D)

87%

Michael Whatley (R)

14%

MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner Cori Bush

54%

Wesley Bell

45%

Georgia Senate Election Winner Democrat

87%

MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner Donavan McKinney

14%

75%

Shri Thanedar

25%

Minnesota Governor Election Winner Democrat

94%

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner William Lawrence

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner Dan Koh

Georgia Governor Election Winner Democrat

56%

MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner Christina Hines

43%

FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner Lois Frankel

94%

Oliver Adams Larkin

Victoria Doyle

Arizona Governor Election Winner Democrat

78%

NH-01 Republican Primary Winner Anthony DiLorenzo

22%

MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner Jeremy Moss

85%

Aisha Farooqi

11%

AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner Amish Shah

92%

Marlene Galán-Woods

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner Thomas Chalifoux

Vermont Governor Election Winner Republican

83%

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner Jim Schwartzel

17%

MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner Ilhan Omar

98%

Latonya Reeves

Maine Governor Election Winner Democrat

94%

MN-02 Republican Primary Winner Eric Pratt

97%

Tyler Kistner

MI-10 Republican Primary Winner Mike Bouchard

96%

Justin Kirk

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner Debbie Wasserman Schultz

72%

Elijah Manley

27%

Alaska At-Large Primary Winners Nick Begich III

Matthew "Bronco" Williams

33%

Gavin Solomon

CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner Luke Bronin

72%

John Larson

26%

South Dakota Governor Election Winner Republican

93%

New Hampshire Governor Election Winner Republican

79%