Шанси та прогнози проміжних виборів 2026

$7.2K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

96% шанс — ні

+0.0%

$7.0K Обсяг

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

52% шанс — ні

-13.0%

$3.2K Обсяг

Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?

85% шанс — так

+6.0%

$1.9K Обсяг

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

68% шанс — ні

+5.5%

$1.5K Обсяг

Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?

91% шанс — так

+0.0%

$1.5K Обсяг

Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

54% шанс — ні

-8.5%

НОВЕ

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

97% шанс — так

+2.8%

НОВЕ

Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

53% шанс — так

+0.5%

НОВЕ

Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?

67% шанс — так

-2.0%

$4M Обсяг

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

73% шанс — ні

-3.0%

$7.2K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

96% шанс — ні

+0.0%

$7.0K Обсяг

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

52% шанс — ні

-13.0%

Найбільші перегони

найважливіші ринки

AK Governor

51% Демократ

-4%

$819K Обсяг

TX Senate

50% Демократ

ME Senate

70% Демократ

$399K Обсяг

AK Senate

51% Республіканець

+3%

$458K Обсяг

MI Senate

58% Демократ

+2%

AK Governor

51% Демократ

-4%

$819K Обсяг

TX Senate

50% Демократ

ME Senate

70% Демократ

California Governor Election Winner Xavier Becerra

Всі перегони

565 ринків

Перегони

Штат

Фав

Рівень

Показано 25 з 50 ринків

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026 — ринкові шанси наживо
Ринок	Головний претендент та номінанти	Ринкові шанси наживо
California Governor Election Winner	Xavier Becerra	93%
	Steve Hilton	6%
Maine Senate Election Winner	Troy Jackson (D)	70%
	Susan Collins (R)	30%
Alaska Governor Election Winner	Tom Begich	49%
	Bernadette Wilson	26%
	Treg Taylor	13%
	Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins	8%
	Click Bishop	3%
	David Bronson	3%
	Bill Walker	2%
Texas Senate Election Winner	James Talarico (D)	52%
	Ken Paxton (R)	50%
Michigan Senate Election Winner	Abdul El-Sayed (D)	59%
	Mike Rogers (R)	42%
Alaska Senate Election Winner	Dan Sullivan	51%
	Mary Peltola	49%
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner	David Crowley (D)	77%
	Tom Tiffany (R)	24%
FL-06 Republican Primary Winner	Randy Fine	98%
	Aaron Baker	1%
	Dan Bilzerian	1%
Iowa Senate Election Winner	Ashley Hinson (R)	60%
	Josh Turek (D)	41%
Ohio Senate Election Winner	Sherrod Brown (D)	53%
	Jon Husted (R)	47%
Ohio Governor Election Winner	Vivek Ramaswamy (R)	49%
	Amy Acton (D)	48%
FL-09 Republican Primary Winner	Ben Butler	31%
	Dan Green	28%
	Jorge Martinez	24%
	Thomas Chalifoux	18%
Montana Senate Election Winner	Republican	93%
	Independent	3%
	Democrat	1%
FL-19 Republican Primary Winner	Catalina Lauf	89%
	Jim Schwartzel	11%
	Jim Oberweis	2%
North Carolina Senate Election Winner	Roy Cooper (D)	92%
	Michael Whatley (R)	10%
FL-25 Democratic Primary Winner	Jared Moskowitz	91%
	Oliver Larkin	10%
FL-22 Republican Primary Winner	Michael Carbonara	34%
	Belinda Keiser	33%
	Casey Askar	18%
	David Burck	16%
FL-21 Democratic Primary Winner	James Martin	61%
	Bernard Taylor	39%
FL-02 Republican Primary Winner	Austin Rogers	82%
	Keith Gross	17%
	Jim Norton	2%
	Evan Power	2%
MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner	Dan Koh	80%
	Tram Nguyen	13%
	John Beccia	4%
	Kevin Larivee	1%
Nevada Governor Election Winner	Joe Lombardo (R)	63%
	Aaron Ford (D)	37%
WY-AL Republican Primary Winner	Chuck Gray	73%
	Steve Friess	23%
	Kevin Christensen	4%
	Reid Rasner	3%
FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner	Lois Frankel	98%
	Victoria Doyle	2%
Texas Governor Election Winner	Greg Abbott (R)	86%
	Gina Hinojosa (D)	15%
FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner	Debbie Wasserman Schultz	92%
	Elijah Manley	9%
FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner	Yen Bailey	61%
	Amanda Green	17%
	Brice Barnes	9%
	Nic Zateslo	7%
FL-07 Republican Primary Winner	Ryan Elijah	88%
	Cory Mills	13%
Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?	Mary Peltola	91%
	Sen. Dan S. Sullivan	8%
Vermont Governor Election Winner	Republican	88%
	Democrat	10%
FL-25 Republican Primary Winner	Scott Singer	82%
	Dan Franzese	11%
	George Moraitis	10%
FL-14 Republican Primary Winner	Mike Beltran	66%
	Kevin Steele	35%
Tennessee Senate Election Winner	Republican	96%
	Democrat	2%
FL-04 Democratic Primary Winner	LaShonda "L.J." Holloway	87%
	Michael Kirwan	11%
	Brit Robinson	4%
FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner	Shevrin Jones	89%
	Oliver Gilbert	12%
FL-11 Republican Primary Winner	Joe Strada	76%
	Carey Baker	23%
	Tim Wilkins	2%
New Mexico Senate Election Winner	Democrat	96%
	Republican	2%
NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Stefany Shaheen	81%
	Maura Sullivan	18%
	Heath Howard	1%
FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner	Eric Yonce	76%
	Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera	21%
	Robert Cooper	1%
Colorado Governor Election Winner	Democrat	95%
	Republican	4%
FL-05 Republican Primary Winner	John Rutherford	97%
	Mark Kaye	3%
FL-27 Democratic Primary Winner	Eliott Rodriguez	82%
	Robin Peguero	16%
South Dakota Senate Election Winner	Republican	95%
	Democrat	2%
Nebraska Governor Election Winner	Republican	92%
	Democrat	8%
Alabama Governor Election Winner	Republican	95%
	Democrat	5%
Arkansas Governor Election Winner	Republican	97%
	Democrat	1%
New Jersey Senate Election Margin of Victory	Democrat 21%+	59%
	Democrat 18-21%	27%
	Democrat 15-18%	9%
	Democrat 12-15%	3%
	Democrat 0-3%	1%
	Democrat 3-6%	1%
	Democrat 6-9%	1%
	Democrat 9-12%	1%
Wyoming State Senate District 1 Republican Primary Winner	Chip Neiman	78%
	Ogden Driskill	21%
Maryland Governor Election Margin of Victory	Democrat 30-35%	23%
	Democrat 35-40%	20%
	Democrat 25-30%	16%
	Democrat 40-45%	13%
	Democrat 45%+	12%
	Democrat 20-25%	10%
	Democrat 15-20%	8%
	Democrat 10-15%	6%
	Republican Wins	1%
	Democrat 0-10%	1%
Georgia Governor Election Margin of Victory (First Round)	Democrat 3-6%	20%
	Republican 3-6%	13%
	Republican 0-3%	13%
	Democrat 9-12%	10%
	Democrat 0-3%	9%
	Democrat 6-9%	9%
	Democrat 12%+	9%
	Republican 6-9%	5%
	Republican 12%+	2%
	Republican 9-12%	2%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	28%

93%

Steve Hilton

Maine Senate Election Winner Troy Jackson (D)

70%

Susan Collins (R)

30%

Alaska Governor Election Winner Tom Begich

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Click Bishop

David Bronson

Bill Walker

Texas Senate Election Winner James Talarico (D)

52%

Ken Paxton (R)

50%

Michigan Senate Election Winner Abdul El-Sayed (D)

59%

Mike Rogers (R)

42%

Alaska Senate Election Winner Dan Sullivan

51%

Mary Peltola

49%

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner David Crowley (D)

77%

Tom Tiffany (R)

24%

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner Randy Fine

98%

Aaron Baker

Dan Bilzerian

Iowa Senate Election Winner Ashley Hinson (R)

60%

Josh Turek (D)

41%

Ohio Senate Election Winner Sherrod Brown (D)

53%

Jon Husted (R)

47%

Ohio Governor Election Winner Vivek Ramaswamy (R)

49%

Amy Acton (D)

48%

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner Ben Butler

Montana Senate Election Winner Republican

93%

Independent

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner Catalina Lauf

North Carolina Senate Election Winner Roy Cooper (D)

92%

Michael Whatley (R)

10%

FL-25 Democratic Primary Winner Jared Moskowitz

91%

Oliver Larkin

10%

FL-22 Republican Primary Winner Michael Carbonara

FL-21 Democratic Primary Winner James Martin

61%

Bernard Taylor

39%

FL-02 Republican Primary Winner Austin Rogers

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner Dan Koh

Nevada Governor Election Winner Joe Lombardo (R)

63%

Aaron Ford (D)

37%

WY-AL Republican Primary Winner Chuck Gray

FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner Lois Frankel

98%

Victoria Doyle

Texas Governor Election Winner Greg Abbott (R)

86%

Gina Hinojosa (D)

15%

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner Debbie Wasserman Schultz

92%

Elijah Manley

FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner Yen Bailey

FL-07 Republican Primary Winner Ryan Elijah

88%

Cory Mills

13%

Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?Mary Peltola

91%

Sen. Dan S. Sullivan

Vermont Governor Election Winner Republican

88%

FL-25 Republican Primary Winner Scott Singer

10%

FL-14 Republican Primary Winner Mike Beltran

66%

Kevin Steele

35%

Tennessee Senate Election Winner Republican

96%

FL-04 Democratic Primary Winner LaShonda "L.J." Holloway

FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner Shevrin Jones

89%

Oliver Gilbert

12%

FL-11 Republican Primary Winner Joe Strada

New Mexico Senate Election Winner Democrat

96%

Republican

NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner Stefany Shaheen

FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner Eric Yonce

76%

Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera

21%

Robert Cooper

Colorado Governor Election Winner Democrat

95%

Republican

FL-05 Republican Primary Winner John Rutherford

97%

Mark Kaye

FL-27 Democratic Primary Winner Eliott Rodriguez

82%

Robin Peguero

16%

South Dakota Senate Election Winner Republican

95%

Nebraska Governor Election Winner Republican

92%

Alabama Governor Election Winner Republican

95%

Arkansas Governor Election Winner Republican

97%