Шанси та прогнози проміжних виборів 2026

$6.0K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

60% шанс — так

+0.5%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

84% шанс — ні

-4.5%

НОВЕ

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

69% шанс — так

-17.0%

$3M Обсяг

Мільярдер одноразово сплачує податок на багатство на виборах у Каліфорнії 2026 року?

64% шанс — ні

-2.0%

$6.0K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

60% шанс — так

+0.5%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

84% шанс — ні

-4.5%

Найбільші перегони

найважливіші ринки

$302K Обсяг

AK Senate

64% Демократ

+0%

$178K Обсяг

TX Senate

56% Республіканець

-0%

$105K Обсяг

IA Senate

59% Республіканець

-1%

$79.0K Обсяг

OH Governor

51% Демократ

-4%

$69.9K Обсяг

OH Senate

58% Демократ

+1%

$302K Обсяг

AK Senate

64% Демократ

+0%

$178K Обсяг

TX Senate

56% Республіканець

-0%

$105K Обсяг

IA Senate

59% Республіканець

-1%

Переможець виборів губернатора Каліфорнії Том Стейєр

Всі перегони

517 ринків

Перегони

Штат

Фав

Рівень

Показано 25 з 50 ринків

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026 — ринкові шанси наживо
Ринок	Головний претендент та номінанти	Ринкові шанси наживо
Переможець виборів губернатора Каліфорнії	Том Стейєр	58%
	Ксав'єр Бесерра	19%
	Метт Махан	9%
	Кеті Портер	5%
	Стів Гілтон	5%
	Чад Б’янко	2%
Переможець виборів губернатора Аляски	Бернадетт Вілсон	30%
	Том Бегіч	26%
	Ненсі Дальстром	12%
	Treg Taylor	11%
	Джонатан Крейсс-Томкінс	4%
	David Bronson	3%
	Click Bishop	2%
	Matt Claman	2%
	Adam Crum	1%
AZ-01 Переможець республіканських праймеріз	Джей Філі	73%
	Джон Тробо	9%
	Джозеф Чаплік	8%
	Джейсон Дьюї	7%
	Тодд Грем	6%
	Джина Свобода	3%
	Метт Гресс	1%
	Карі Лейк	1%
	Деррік Галльєго	1%
	Мішель Удженті-Ріта	1%
	Марк Бронович	1%
	Кейтлін Перрінгтон	1%
Alaska Senate Election Winner	Mary Peltola	64%
	Dan Sullivan	35%
NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner	Micah Lasher	52%
	Alex Bores	22%
	Jack Schlossberg	19%
	Brad Lander	1%
	Scott Stringer	1%
	Liz Krueger	1%
	George Conway	1%
KY-04 Republican Primary Winner	Thomas Massie	70%
	Ed Gallrein	29%
Texas Senate Election Winner	Republican	56%
	Democrat	43%
Michigan Governor Election Winner	Democrat	67%
	Republican	19%
Michigan Senate Election Winner	Democrat	79%
	Republican	22%
Iowa Senate Election Winner	Republican	61%
	Democrat	41%
NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner	Claire Valdez	77%
	Antonio Reynoso	20%
	Julie Won	3%
Ohio Governor Election Winner	Democrat	51%
	Republican	47%
Ohio Senate Election Winner	Democrat	58%
	Republican	41%
Montana Senate Election Winner	Republican	80%
	Democrat	11%
Maine Senate Election Winner	Democrat	77%
	Republican	24%
Minnesota Governor Election Winner	Democrat	92%
	Republican	5%
AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner	Mark Lamb	89%
	Jay Feely	5%
	Travis Grantham	5%
FL-06 Republican Primary Winner	Randy Fine	65%
	Dan Bilzerian	23%
	Charles Gambaro	12%
	Ernest Audino	1%
Colorado Senate Election Winner	Democrat	91%
	Republican	10%
Iowa Governor Election Winner	Democrat	73%
	Republican	31%
South Carolina Senate Election Winner	Republican	76%
	Democrat	25%
NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner	Ritchie Torres	88%
	Michael Blake	10%
	Dalourny Nemorin	2%
	Amanda Septimo	1%
MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner	Shri Thanedar	56%
	Donavan McKinney	38%
	Nazmul Hassan	4%
	Shelby Campbell	3%
	Anthony Carbonaro	2%
PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner	Sharif Street	40%
	Ala Stanford	33%
	Chris Rabb	24%
	Gabriel Caceres	3%
	David Oxman	1%
	Morgan Cephas	1%
	Robin Toldens	1%
New Mexico Governor Election Winner	Democrat	86%
	Republican	10%
New Jersey Senate Election Winner	Democrat	92%
	Republican	6%
PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner	Bob Brooks	58%
	Ryan Crosswell	38%
	Lamont McClure	3%
	Carol Obando-Derstine	3%
	Aiden Gonzalez	1%
Oklahoma Governor Election Winner	Republican	92%
	Democrat	7%
Tennessee Senate Election Winner	Republican	91%
	Democrat	9%
NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner	Laura Gillen	74%
	Nicholas Sciretta	13%
	Taylor Darling	4%
CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner	Manny Rutinel	86%
	Shannon Bird	12%
	Dave Young	2%
	Yadira Caraveo	1%
	Amie Baca-Oehlert	1%
IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner	André Carson	97%
	George Hornedo	1%
	Denise Paul Hatch	1%
	Destiny Scott Wells	1%
Florida Governor Election Winner	Republican	74%
	Democrat	24%
MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner	Jeremy Moss	79%
	Don Ufford	37%
	Andy Levin	12%
	Aisha Farooqi	7%
	Dave Woodward	3%
NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner	Adriano Espaillat	63%
	Darializa Avila Chevalier	31%
	Oscar Romero	4%
	Theo Chino-Tavarez	2%
	James Felton Keith	1%
	Matt Miller	1%
	Megan Rodriguez	1%
Oregon Governor Election Winner	Democrat	87%
	Republican	13%
ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner	Joe Baldacci	44%
	Matthew Dunlap	28%
	Jordan Wood	21%
	Jared Golden	3%
OH-09 Republican Primary Winner	Derek Merrin	73%
	Madison Sheahan	20%
	Josh Williams	8%
	Alea Nadeem	5%
	Anthony Campbell	1%
	Wayne Kinsel	1%
GA-01 Republican Primary Winner	James Kingston	94%
	Kandiss Taylor	2%
	Patrick Farrell	1%
	Krista Penn	1%
	Brian Montgomery	1%
	Eugene Yu	1%
Arkansas Senate Election Winner	Republican	94%
	Democrat	6%
SC-01 Republican Primary Winner	Mark Smith	47%
	Sam McCown	24%
	Alex Pelbath	19%
	Jay Byars	15%
	Jack Ellison	5%
	Jenny Costa Honeycutt	3%
	Logan Cunningham	1%
	Justin Myers	1%
	Dan Brown	1%
NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner	Brad Lander	87%
	Dan Goldman	13%
	Yuh-Line Niou	1%
	Cameron Kasky	1%
NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner	John Cavanaugh	64%
	Denise Powell	33%
	Mark Johnston	3%
	Evangelos Argyrakis	3%
IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner	Lindsay James	83%
	Clint Twedt-Ball	9%
	Kathy Dolter	8%
	Guy Morgan	2%
	Don Primus	2%
New Hampshire Governor Election Winner	Republican	75%
	Democrat	23%
MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Wesley Bell	69%
	Cori Bush	31%
Kentucky Senate Election Winner	Republican	90%
	Democrat	8%
South Dakota Senate Election Winner	Republican	91%
	Democrat	2%
Oregon Senate Election Winner	Democrat	93%
	Republican	7%
Чи ухвалять одноразовий податок на багатство мільярдерів на виборах у Каліфорнії 2026 року?	Yes	37%

Переможець виборів губернатора Аляски Бернадетт Вілсон

Джонатан Крейсс-Томкінс

AZ-01 Переможець республіканських праймеріз Джей Філі

Alaska Senate Election Winner Mary Peltola

64%

Dan Sullivan

35%

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner Micah Lasher

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner Thomas Massie

70%

Ed Gallrein

29%

Texas Senate Election Winner Republican

56%

Michigan Governor Election Winner Democrat

43%

67%

Michigan Senate Election Winner Democrat

19%

79%

Iowa Senate Election Winner Republican

22%

61%

NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner Claire Valdez

41%

Ohio Governor Election Winner Democrat

51%

Ohio Senate Election Winner Democrat

47%

58%

Montana Senate Election Winner Republican

41%

80%

Maine Senate Election Winner Democrat

11%

77%

Minnesota Governor Election Winner Democrat

24%

92%

AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner Mark Lamb

89%

Jay Feely

Travis Grantham

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner Randy Fine

Colorado Senate Election Winner Democrat

91%

Iowa Governor Election Winner Democrat

10%

73%

South Carolina Senate Election Winner Republican

31%

76%

NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner Ritchie Torres

25%

MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner Shri Thanedar

PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner Sharif Street

New Mexico Governor Election Winner Democrat

86%

New Jersey Senate Election Winner Democrat

10%

92%

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner Bob Brooks

Carol Obando-Derstine

Aiden Gonzalez

Oklahoma Governor Election Winner Republican

92%

Tennessee Senate Election Winner Republican

91%

NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner Laura Gillen

CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner Manny Rutinel

IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner André Carson

Florida Governor Election Winner Republican

74%

MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner Jeremy Moss

24%

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner Adriano Espaillat

63%

Darializa Avila Chevalier

Oregon Governor Election Winner Democrat

87%

ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner Joe Baldacci

13%

OH-09 Republican Primary Winner Derek Merrin

GA-01 Republican Primary Winner James Kingston

Arkansas Senate Election Winner Republican

94%

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner Mark Smith

Jenny Costa Honeycutt

Logan Cunningham

Justin Myers

Dan Brown

NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner Brad Lander

NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner John Cavanaugh

IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner Lindsay James

New Hampshire Governor Election Winner Republican

75%

MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner Wesley Bell

23%

69%

Cori Bush

31%

Kentucky Senate Election Winner Republican

90%

South Dakota Senate Election Winner Republican

91%

Oregon Senate Election Winner Democrat

93%