Шанси та прогнози проміжних виборів 2026

$6.4K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

81% шанс — ні

-3.5%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

83% шанс — ні

+0.0%

НОВЕ

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

92% шанс — так

+0.2%

$4M Обсяг

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

68% шанс — ні

+3.5%

$6.4K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

81% шанс — ні

-3.5%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

83% шанс — ні

+0.0%

Найбільші перегони

найважливіші ринки

AK Governor

56% Республіканець

ME Senate

66% Демократ

$600K Обсяг

TX Senate

50% Демократ

$367K Обсяг

AK Senate

58% Демократ

$144K Обсяг

IA Senate

60% Республіканець

AK Governor

56% Республіканець

ME Senate

66% Демократ

$600K Обсяг

TX Senate

50% Демократ

California Governor Election Winner Xavier Becerra

Всі перегони

529 ринків

Перегони

Штат

Фав

Рівень

Показано 25 з 50 ринків

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026 — ринкові шанси наживо
Ринок	Головний претендент та номінанти	Ринкові шанси наживо
California Governor Election Winner	Xavier Becerra	93%
	Steve Hilton	6%
Alaska Governor Election Winner	Tom Begich	32%
	Bernadette Wilson	23%
	Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins	16%
	Treg Taylor	8%
	David Bronson	6%
	Bill Walker	6%
	Click Bishop	2%
	Nancy Dahlstrom	1%
	Matt Heilala	1%
	Shelley Hughes	1%
	Mary Peltola	1%
	Matt Claman	1%
Maine Senate Election Winner	Democrat	67%
	Republican	34%
Texas Senate Election Winner	Ken Paxton (R)	56%
	James Talarico (D)	44%
AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner	Jay Feely	90%
	Joseph Chaplik	9%
Alaska Senate Election Winner	Mary Peltola	60%
	Dan Sullivan	42%
Michigan Governor Election Winner	Democrat	84%
	Republican	16%
	Independent	1%
Nebraska Senate Election Winner	Republican	71%
	Independent	31%
	Democrat	1%
Iowa Senate Election Winner	Republican	62%
	Democrat	40%
AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner	Mark Lamb	85%
	Daniel Keenan	14%
Ohio Senate Election Winner	Jon Husted (R)	52%
	Sherrod Brown (D)	48%
South Carolina Senate Election Winner	Republican	83%
	Democrat	18%
North Carolina Senate Election Winner	Roy Cooper (D)	87%
	Michael Whatley (R)	14%
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner	Democrat	56%
	Republican	42%
MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Cori Bush	51%
	Wesley Bell	48%
Georgia Senate Election Winner	Democrat	86%
	Republican	14%
MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner	Donavan McKinney	74%
	Shri Thanedar	25%
Rhode Island Governor Election Winner	Democrat	92%
	Republican	4%
MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner	William Lawrence	52%
	Matt Maasdam	24%
	Bridget Brink	18%
Florida Senate Election Winner	Republican	86%
	Democrat	14%
MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner	Dan Koh	69%
	Tram Nguyen	29%
	Beth Andres-Beck	3%
	Seth Moulton	1%
	John Beccia	1%
	Mariah Lancaster	1%
	Kevin Larivee	1%
	Diann Slavit Baylis	1%
LA-05 Republican Primary Winner	Rick Edmonds	7%
	Blake Miguez	5%
	Michael Echols	3%
	Misti Cordell	2%
	Austin Magee	2%
	Michael Mebruer	2%
	Samuel Wyatt	2%
Georgia Governor Election Winner	Democrat	55%
	Republican	45%
MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner	Christina Hines	81%
	Eric Chung	14%
	Tim Greimel	6%
Iowa Governor Election Winner	Democrat	61%
	Republican	36%
AL-01 Republican Primary Winner	Jerry Carl	95%
	Austin Sidwell	4%
	Rhett Marques	1%
	John Mills	1%
AZ-04 Democratic Primary Winner	Greg Stanton	93%
	Kai Newkirk	7%
FL-09 Republican Primary Winner	Thomas Chalifoux	42%
	Dan Green	27%
	Jorge Martinez	15%
	Marcus Carter	14%
	Justin Story	5%
	Ben Butler	3%
	Howard Steven Rance	2%
	Jorge Malavet	1%
	Steve Rance	1%
MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner	Jeremy Moss	85%
	Aisha Farooqi	14%
MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner	Matt Little	85%
	Kaela Berg	9%
	Matt Klein	5%
Kansas Senate Election Winner	Republican	83%
	Democrat	18%
FL-19 Republican Primary Winner	Jim Schwartzel	49%
	Catalina Lauf	20%
	Jim Oberweis	12%
	Madison Cawthorn	3%
	Spencer Roach	3%
	Bob Rommel	1%
Florida Governor Election Winner	Republican	82%
	Democrat	20%
AZ-05 Democratic Primary Winner	Elizabeth Lee	92%
	Chris James	6%
	Brian Hualde	1%
Illinois Senate Election Winner	Juliana Stratton (D)	94%
	Don Tracy (R)	6%
AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Amish Shah	71%
	Marlene Galán-Woods	28%
	Jonathan Treble	3%
New Mexico Governor Election Winner	Democrat	89%
	Republican	12%
FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner	Debbie Wasserman Schultz	72%
	Elijah Manley	26%
Alaska At-Large Primary Winners	Nick Begich III	99%
	Bill Hill	96%
	Matt Schultz	67%
	John Williams	58%
	Matthew "Bronco" Williams	33%
	Gavin Solomon	1%
New Hampshire Governor Election Winner	Republican	79%
	Democrat	21%
HI-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Ed Case	48%
	Jarrett Keohokalole	43%
	Nicholas Kiswanto	8%
	Ben Fatula	6%
	Jennifer Booker	5%
M0-02 Republican Primary Winner	Ann Wagner	99%
MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner	Stephen Lynch	54%
	Patrick Roath	47%
MI-01 Republican Primary Winner	Jack Bergman	88%
	Matthew DenOtter	3%
	Justin Michal	3%
WI-03 Democratic Primary Winner	Rebecca Cooke	87%
	Emily Berge	11%
FL-07 Republican Primary Winner	Ryan Elijah	79%
	Cory Mills	17%
	Mike Johnson	11%
	Sarah Ulrich	11%
HI-02 Democratic Primary Winner	Jill Tokuda	60%
	Greg Guithues	38%
	Steven King	38%
	Kirill Basin	37%
WI-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Mitchell Berman	77%
	Peter Burgelis	14%
	Miguel Aranda	13%
	Lorenzo Santos	13%
FL-05 Republican Primary Winner	John Rutherford	87%
	Mark Kaye	13%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	33%

93%

Steve Hilton

Alaska Governor Election Winner Tom Begich

32%

Bernadette Wilson

23%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Maine Senate Election Winner Democrat

67%

Texas Senate Election Winner Ken Paxton (R)

34%

56%

James Talarico (D)

44%

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner Jay Feely

90%

Joseph Chaplik

Alaska Senate Election Winner Mary Peltola

60%

Dan Sullivan

42%

Michigan Governor Election Winner Democrat

Nebraska Senate Election Winner Republican

Iowa Senate Election Winner Republican

62%

AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner Mark Lamb

40%

85%

Daniel Keenan

Ohio Senate Election Winner Jon Husted (R)

52%

Sherrod Brown (D)

48%

South Carolina Senate Election Winner Republican

83%

North Carolina Senate Election Winner Roy Cooper (D)

18%

87%

Michael Whatley (R)

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner Democrat

56%

MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner Cori Bush

42%

51%

Wesley Bell

48%

Georgia Senate Election Winner Democrat

86%

MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner Donavan McKinney

74%

Shri Thanedar

25%

Rhode Island Governor Election Winner Democrat

92%

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner William Lawrence

Florida Senate Election Winner Republican

86%

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner Dan Koh

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner Rick Edmonds

Georgia Governor Election Winner Democrat

55%

MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner Christina Hines

45%

Iowa Governor Election Winner Democrat

61%

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner Jerry Carl

36%

AZ-04 Democratic Primary Winner Greg Stanton

93%

Kai Newkirk

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner Thomas Chalifoux

MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner Jeremy Moss

85%

Aisha Farooqi

MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner Matt Little

85%

Kaela Berg

Matt Klein

Kansas Senate Election Winner Republican

83%

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner Jim Schwartzel

18%

Florida Governor Election Winner Republican

82%

AZ-05 Democratic Primary Winner Elizabeth Lee

20%

92%

Chris James

Brian Hualde

Illinois Senate Election Winner Juliana Stratton (D)

94%

Don Tracy (R)

AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner Amish Shah

New Mexico Governor Election Winner Democrat

89%

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner Debbie Wasserman Schultz

12%

72%

Elijah Manley

26%

Alaska At-Large Primary Winners Nick Begich III

Matthew "Bronco" Williams

33%

Gavin Solomon

New Hampshire Governor Election Winner Republican

79%