Шанси та прогнози проміжних виборів 2026

$6.1K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

58% шанс — ні

+10.0%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

84% шанс — ні

-0.5%

НОВЕ

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

90% шанс — так

-4.3%

$3M Обсяг

Мільярдер одноразово сплачує податок на багатство на виборах у Каліфорнії 2026 року?

60% шанс — ні

+2.0%

$6.1K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

58% шанс — ні

+10.0%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

84% шанс — ні

-0.5%

Найбільші перегони

найважливіші ринки

$403K Обсяг

TX Senate

50% Демократ

$334K Обсяг

AK Senate

60% Демократ

$321K Обсяг

ME Senate

68% Демократ

-1%

$118K Обсяг

IA Senate

61% Республіканець

$98.5K Обсяг

OH Governor

55% Республіканець

-0%

$403K Обсяг

TX Senate

50% Демократ

$334K Обсяг

AK Senate

60% Демократ

$321K Обсяг

ME Senate

68% Демократ

-1%

Переможець виборів губернатора Каліфорнії Ксав'єр Бесерра

Всі перегони

517 ринків

Перегони

Штат

Фав

Рівень

Показано 25 з 50 ринків

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026 — ринкові шанси наживо
Ринок	Головний претендент та номінанти	Ринкові шанси наживо
Переможець виборів губернатора Каліфорнії	Ксав'єр Бесерра	63%
	Том Стейєр	23%
	Стів Гілтон	10%
	Чад Б’янко	3%
Переможець виборів губернатора Аляски	Том Бегіч	28%
	Бернадетт Вілсон	21%
	Джонатан Крейсс-Томкінс	13%
	Click Bishop	6%
	Treg Taylor	6%
	Ненсі Дальстром	5%
	David Bronson	3%
	Matt Claman	1%
AZ-01 Переможець республіканських праймеріз	Джей Філі	81%
	Джозеф Чаплік	9%
	Метт Гресс	1%
	Джон Тробо	1%
	Джейсон Дьюї	1%
	Мішель Удженті-Ріта	1%
Texas Senate Election Winner	Ken Paxton (R)	62%
	James Talarico (D)	40%
NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner	Micah Lasher	52%
	Alex Bores	32%
	Jack Schlossberg	8%
Alaska Senate Election Winner	Mary Peltola	61%
	Dan Sullivan	40%
Maine Senate Election Winner	Democrat	69%
	Republican	32%
FL-06 Republican Primary Winner	Randy Fine	92%
	Dan Bilzerian	5%
	Alexandra Van Cleef	1%
	Aaron Baker	1%
NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner	Claire Valdez	77%
	Antonio Reynoso	19%
	Julie Won	1%
Michigan Senate Election Winner	Democrat	72%
	Republican	28%
Ohio Senate Election Winner	Jon Husted (R)	48%
	Sherrod Brown (D)	47%
KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout	100-110k	99%
MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner	Eric Chung	52%
	Christina Hines	32%
	Tim Greimel	12%
	Tripp Adams	1%
NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner	Adam Hamawy	85%
	Susan Altman	6%
	Brad Cohen	3%
	Verlina Reynolds-Jackson	3%
	Matthew Adams	1%
	Elijah Dixon	1%
	Tennille R. McCoy	1%
	Kyle Little	1%
Iowa Governor Election Winner	Democrat	65%
	Republican	35%
UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Ben McAdams	71%
	Nate Blouin	21%
	Liban Mohamed	6%
NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner	Ritchie Torres	92%
	Michael Blake	3%
	Dalourny Nemorin	2%
CA-04 Primary Winners	Mike Thompson	95%
	Eric Jones	91%
	John Wesley Tyler	9%
	Heath Fulkerson	6%
	Laurie MacKenzie	4%
	Sharon Brown	1%
	Trevor Merrell	1%
FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner	Lois Frankel	86%
	Oliver Adams Larkin	9%
	Jared Moskowitz	2%
NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner	Darializa Avila Chevalier	59%
	Adriano Espaillat	38%
	Oscar Romero	1%
IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Christina Bohannan	98%
	Travis Terrell	2%
NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner	Laura Gillen	84%
	Nicholas Sciretta	13%
	Taylor Darling	2%
	Gian Jones	1%
SC-01 Republican Primary Winner	Mark Smith	59%
	Alex Pelbath	16%
	Jack Ellison	7%
	Jenny Costa Honeycutt	3%
	Jay Byars	3%
	Sam McCown	3%
Idaho Senate Election Winner	Republican	93%
	Democrat	7%
MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner	Bridget Brink	78%
	William Lawrence	17%
	Matt Maasdam	4%
	Josh Cowen	2%
	Muhammad Salman Rais	2%
	Alexandra Prieditis	1%
	Elyon Badger	1%
South Dakota Governor Election Winner	Republican	90%
	Democrat	8%
Texas Governor Election Winner	Republican	79%
	Democrat	20%
CA-19 Primary Winners	Jimmy Panetta	99%
	Peter Verbica	76%
	Sean Dougherty	47%
	Tuka Gafari	11%
	Ana Luz Acevedo-Cabrera	3%
	Lars Mapstead	2%
	Thomas Coxe	1%
SD-AL Democratic Primary Winner	Nikki Gronli	98%
	Billy Mawhiney	2%
	Scott Schlagel	1%
South Carolina Governor Election Winner	Republican	90%
	Democrat	10%
MI-10 Republican Primary Winner	Mike Bouchard	86%
	Robert Lulgjuraj	15%
	Casey Armitage	5%
	Steven Elliott	5%
	Justin Kirk	2%
MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner	April McClain Delaney	68%
	David Trone	30%
	Kiambo White	1%
	Ethan Wechtaluk	1%
MT-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Ryan Busse	91%
	Samuel Forstag	8%
	Russell Cleveland	2%
	Matt Rains	1%
CA-40 Primary Winners	Young Kim	69%
	Ken Calvert	62%
	Esther Kim Varet	56%
	Joe Kerr	19%
	Nina Linh	4%
	Lisa Ramirez	3%
	Claude Keissieh	2%
CA-26 Primary Winners	Jacqui Irwin	98%
	Sam Gallucci	84%
	Chris Espinosa	7%
	Michael Koslow	4%
	Sasan Samadzadeh	2%
	Liam Hernandez	2%
	William Scott	2%
	Sonia Kacker	2%
	Daniel Miller	1%
NV-02 Republican Primary Winner	David Flippo	71%
	James Settelmeyer	17%
	Andrea Lowe	8%
	Bill Conrad	6%
	Doug Miller	4%
	George Forbush	3%
	Bruce Grego	3%
	Jennifer Billat	2%
	Rick Shepherd	2%
	Fred Simon	2%
	Sherman Tylawsky	1%
	Jesse Watts	1%
	Tom Doyle	1%
	Jerry Olsen	1%
	Mike Smith	1%
Alaska At-Large Primary Winners	Nick Begich III	92%
	Matt Schultz	92%
	Bill Hill	83%
	John Williams	53%
	Gavin Solomon	40%
	Matthew "Bronco" Williams	21%
SC-06 Republican Primary Winner	Maurice Washington	83%
	John Peterson	9%
CA-32 Primary Winners	Brad Sherman	98%
	Larry Thompson	80%
	Jake Levine	25%
	Chris Ahuja	14%
	Marena Lin	4%
	Dory Benami	3%
	Anna Wilding	2%
	Doug Smith	2%
	Josh Sautter	1%
OK-03 Republican Primary Winner	Frank Lucas	94%
	Wade Burleson	7%
CA-37 Primary Winners	Sydney Kamlager-Dove	98%
	Baltazar Fedalizo	56%
	Todd Lombardo	52%
	Juan Rey	22%
	John Thompson Parker	3%
	Ryan Duckett	2%
	Elizabeth Fenner	2%
	Samantha Mota	2%
	Steven Hill	2%
MT-01 Republican Primary Winner	Aaron Flint	96%
	Christi Jacobsen	4%
	Albert Olszewski	2%
	Ray Curtis	1%
CA-38 Primary Winners	Hilda Solis	98%
	Pedro Antonio Casas	88%
	Monica Sánchez	17%
	Erik Lutz	1%
CA-01 Primary Winners	James Gallagher	97%
	Mike McGuire	73%
	Angelita Valles	32%
	Audrey Denney	28%
	Janice Karrman	5%
	Richard T. Minner	5%
	Timothy Sean Kelly	3%
NY-21 Republican Primary Winner	Anthony Constantino	82%
	Robert Smullen	19%
NJ-03 Republican Primary Winner	Michael McGuire	83%
	Jason Cullen	17%
	Justin Barbera	1%
OK-04 Democratic Primary Winner	Jeff Pixley	71%
	Mitchell Jacob	29%
CA-33 Primary Winners	Pete Aguilar	98%
	Tom Herman	94%
	Stephanie Vargas	7%
	Eugene Weems	3%
	Ernest "Ernie" Richter	3%
	Ling Ling Shi	2%
	Antonis P. Christodoulou	2%
Who will place first in the CA-12 primary?	Lateefah Simon	98%
	Jamie Joyce	2%
Чи ухвалять одноразовий податок на багатство мільярдерів на виборах у Каліфорнії 2026 року?	Yes	41%

Переможець виборів губернатора Аляски Том Бегіч

28%

Бернадетт Вілсон

21%

Джонатан Крейсс-Томкінс

AZ-01 Переможець республіканських праймеріз Джей Філі

Texas Senate Election Winner Ken Paxton (R)

62%

James Talarico (D)

40%

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner Micah Lasher

Alaska Senate Election Winner Mary Peltola

61%

Dan Sullivan

40%

Maine Senate Election Winner Democrat

69%

Republican

32%

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner Randy Fine

NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner Claire Valdez

Michigan Senate Election Winner Democrat

72%

Republican

28%

Ohio Senate Election Winner Jon Husted (R)

48%

Sherrod Brown (D)

47%

KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout 100-110k

99%

MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner Eric Chung

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner Adam Hamawy

85%

Susan Altman

Brad Cohen

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson

Iowa Governor Election Winner Democrat

65%

Republican

35%

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner Ben McAdams

NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner Ritchie Torres

92%

Michael Blake

Dalourny Nemorin

CA-04 Primary Winners Mike Thompson

FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner Lois Frankel

86%

Oliver Adams Larkin

Jared Moskowitz

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner Darializa Avila Chevalier

IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner Christina Bohannan

98%

Travis Terrell

NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner Laura Gillen

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner Mark Smith

Jenny Costa Honeycutt

Jay Byars

Sam McCown

Idaho Senate Election Winner Republican

93%

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner Bridget Brink

South Dakota Governor Election Winner Republican

90%

Texas Governor Election Winner Republican

79%

CA-19 Primary Winners Jimmy Panetta

20%

Ana Luz Acevedo-Cabrera

Lars Mapstead

Thomas Coxe

SD-AL Democratic Primary Winner Nikki Gronli

98%

Billy Mawhiney

Scott Schlagel

South Carolina Governor Election Winner Republican

90%