Incumbent Republican Sen. Ashley Moody, appointed by Gov. Ron DeSantis after Marco Rubio's resignation to become Secretary of State, leads Democratic primary frontrunners Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon by 7-13 points in April polls from Stetson University and Echelon Insights, anchoring trader consensus at 84% for a Republican winner. Florida's deepening GOP dominance—evident in Trump's 2024 landslide and the state's trifecta—bolsters her incumbency advantage amid strong fundraising and name recognition post-qualifying deadline on April 24. Recent surveys, including a Florida Chamber poll showing an 8-point edge, reflect no major shifts, though Democratic turnout in urban areas and primary outcomes on August 18 could influence the November 3 general election trajectory.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFlorida Senate Election Winner
Florida Senate Election Winner
$37,119 Обс.
$37,119 Обс.
Republican
83%
Democrat
18%
$37,119 Обс.
$37,119 Обс.
Republican
$19,836 Обс.
83%
Democrat
$17,283 Обс.
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Ashley Moody, appointed by Gov. Ron DeSantis after Marco Rubio's resignation to become Secretary of State, leads Democratic primary frontrunners Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon by 7-13 points in April polls from Stetson University and Echelon Insights, anchoring trader consensus at 84% for a Republican winner. Florida's deepening GOP dominance—evident in Trump's 2024 landslide and the state's trifecta—bolsters her incumbency advantage amid strong fundraising and name recognition post-qualifying deadline on April 24. Recent surveys, including a Florida Chamber poll showing an 8-point edge, reflect no major shifts, though Democratic turnout in urban areas and primary outcomes on August 18 could influence the November 3 general election trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Обсяг
$37,119Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Ashley Moody, appointed by Gov. Ron DeSantis after Marco Rubio's resignation to become Secretary of State, leads Democratic primary frontrunners Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon by 7-13 points in April polls from Stetson University and Echelon Insights, anchoring trader consensus at 84% for a Republican winner. Florida's deepening GOP dominance—evident in Trump's 2024 landslide and the state's trifecta—bolsters her incumbency advantage amid strong fundraising and name recognition post-qualifying deadline on April 24. Recent surveys, including a Florida Chamber poll showing an 8-point edge, reflect no major shifts, though Democratic turnout in urban areas and primary outcomes on August 18 could influence the November 3 general election trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$37,119Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Ashley Moody, appointed by Gov. Ron DeSantis after Marco Rubio's resignation to become Secretary of State, leads Democratic primary frontrunners Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon by 7-13 points in April polls from Stetson University and Echelon Insights, anchoring trader consensus at 84% for a Republican winner. Florida's deepening GOP dominance—evident in Trump's 2024 landslide and the state's trifecta—bolsters her incumbency advantage amid strong fundraising and name recognition post-qualifying deadline on April 24. Recent surveys, including a Florida Chamber poll showing an 8-point edge, reflect no major shifts, though Democratic turnout in urban areas and primary outcomes on August 18 could influence the November 3 general election trajectory.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання