Florida's Republican lean in federal contests and Ashley Moody's position as the appointed incumbent have anchored trader consensus around an 80% probability for a Republican victory in the November 2026 special Senate election. Moody, chosen by Governor Ron DeSantis after Marco Rubio resigned to serve as Secretary of State, maintains narrow polling leads of three to eight points over Democratic primary contenders such as Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon. The state's electoral math and Moody's established statewide profile continue to shape these probabilities ahead of the August primaries, with limited movement in recent surveys.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFlorida Senate Election Winner
$40,223 Обс.
$40,223 Обс.

Republican
81%

Democrat
18%
$40,223 Обс.
$40,223 Обс.

Republican
81%

Democrat
18%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's Republican lean in federal contests and Ashley Moody's position as the appointed incumbent have anchored trader consensus around an 80% probability for a Republican victory in the November 2026 special Senate election. Moody, chosen by Governor Ron DeSantis after Marco Rubio resigned to serve as Secretary of State, maintains narrow polling leads of three to eight points over Democratic primary contenders such as Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon. The state's electoral math and Moody's established statewide profile continue to shape these probabilities ahead of the August primaries, with limited movement in recent surveys.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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