Skip to main content
icon for Next Senate Majority Leader?
Вибори·Сенат

Next Senate Majority Leader?

icon for Next Senate Majority Leader?
Вибори·Сенат

Next Senate Majority Leader?

John Thune 46%

Chuck Schumer 24%

Brian Schatz 8%

Tom Cotton 5.2%

Polymarket

$81,558 Обс.

John Thune 46%

Chuck Schumer 24%

Brian Schatz 8%

Tom Cotton 5.2%

Polymarket

$81,558 Обс.

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$6,742 Обс.

46%

icon for Chuck Schumer

Chuck Schumer

$11,140 Обс.

24%

icon for Brian Schatz

Brian Schatz

$2,525 Обс.

8%

icon for Tom Cotton

Tom Cotton

$5,905 Обс.

5%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$4,594 Обс.

3%

icon for Steve Daines

Steve Daines

$23,542 Обс.

2%

icon for Lindsey Graham

Lindsey Graham

$12,501 Обс.

2%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$2,113 Обс.

2%

icon for Patty Murray

Patty Murray

$4,602 Обс.

2%

icon for John Barrasso

John Barrasso

$4,057 Обс.

1%

icon for Amy Klobuchar

Amy Klobuchar

$3,835 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Republicans currently hold the Senate majority under John Thune, who was elected leader in late 2024 following the party's gains and has since advanced major legislation including budget reconciliation packages. Trader consensus assigns Thune the highest probability for retaining the post after the 2026 elections, reflecting his incumbency, ties to the White House, and the GOP's structural advantages in defending seats. Chuck Schumer's share as Democratic leader stems from his established position and the possibility Democrats net the four seats needed to flip control. Other listed senators trail due to narrower paths tied to election outcomes, internal caucus dynamics, or lower visibility in leadership discussions. Recent floor activity on appropriations and nominations has reinforced Thune's operational role without altering broader midterm forecasts.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Обсяг
$81,558
Дата завершення
Jan 3, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Republicans currently hold the Senate majority under John Thune, who was elected leader in late 2024 following the party's gains and has since advanced major legislation including budget reconciliation packages. Trader consensus assigns Thune the highest probability for retaining the post after the 2026 elections, reflecting his incumbency, ties to the White House, and the GOP's structural advantages in defending seats. Chuck Schumer's share as Democratic leader stems from his established position and the possibility Democrats net the four seats needed to flip control. Other listed senators trail due to narrower paths tied to election outcomes, internal caucus dynamics, or lower visibility in leadership discussions. Recent floor activity on appropriations and nominations has reinforced Thune's operational role without altering broader midterm forecasts.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Обсяг
$81,558
Дата завершення
Jan 3, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Next Senate Majority Leader?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «John Thune» з 46%, далі «Chuck Schumer» з 24%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Next Senate Majority Leader?» згенерував $81.6K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Mar 23, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Next Senate Majority Leader?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Next Senate Majority Leader?» — «John Thune» з 46%. Наступний — «Chuck Schumer» з 24%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Next Senate Majority Leader?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.