Incumbent Ami Bera's departure to California's redrawn 3rd District under Proposition 50 has left CA-06—an open Sacramento County-based seat leaning Democratic (Harris +8.4% in 2024)—as a Solid Democratic race per Cook Political Report and Likely Democratic per Inside Elections and Sabato's Crystal Ball, fueling trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic winner. A crowded top-two primary on June 2 features five Democrats including former state Sen. Richard Pan and West Sacramento Mayor Martha Guerrero alongside fundraising leader Rep. Kevin Kiley (no party preference) and one other Republican, raising prospects of a Democrat-vs-Democrat general election on November 3. Recent candidate forums and March fundraising reports underscore Democratic depth, though a GOP primary upset by Kiley combined with national midterm tailwinds or Democratic scandals could challenge this outlook.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-06 House Election Winner
CA-06 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,506 Обс.
92%
Republican Party
$266 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ami Bera's departure to California's redrawn 3rd District under Proposition 50 has left CA-06—an open Sacramento County-based seat leaning Democratic (Harris +8.4% in 2024)—as a Solid Democratic race per Cook Political Report and Likely Democratic per Inside Elections and Sabato's Crystal Ball, fueling trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic winner. A crowded top-two primary on June 2 features five Democrats including former state Sen. Richard Pan and West Sacramento Mayor Martha Guerrero alongside fundraising leader Rep. Kevin Kiley (no party preference) and one other Republican, raising prospects of a Democrat-vs-Democrat general election on November 3. Recent candidate forums and March fundraising reports underscore Democratic depth, though a GOP primary upset by Kiley combined with national midterm tailwinds or Democratic scandals could challenge this outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$6,772Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ami Bera's departure to California's redrawn 3rd District under Proposition 50 has left CA-06—an open Sacramento County-based seat leaning Democratic (Harris +8.4% in 2024)—as a Solid Democratic race per Cook Political Report and Likely Democratic per Inside Elections and Sabato's Crystal Ball, fueling trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic winner. A crowded top-two primary on June 2 features five Democrats including former state Sen. Richard Pan and West Sacramento Mayor Martha Guerrero alongside fundraising leader Rep. Kevin Kiley (no party preference) and one other Republican, raising prospects of a Democrat-vs-Democrat general election on November 3. Recent candidate forums and March fundraising reports underscore Democratic depth, though a GOP primary upset by Kiley combined with national midterm tailwinds or Democratic scandals could challenge this outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$6,772Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ami Bera's departure to California's redrawn 3rd District under Proposition 50 has left CA-06—an open Sacramento County-based seat leaning Democratic (Harris +8.4% in 2024)—as a Solid Democratic race per Cook Political Report and Likely Democratic per Inside Elections and Sabato's Crystal Ball, fueling trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic winner. A crowded top-two primary on June 2 features five Democrats including former state Sen. Richard Pan and West Sacramento Mayor Martha Guerrero alongside fundraising leader Rep. Kevin Kiley (no party preference) and one other Republican, raising prospects of a Democrat-vs-Democrat general election on November 3. Recent candidate forums and March fundraising reports underscore Democratic depth, though a GOP primary upset by Kiley combined with national midterm tailwinds or Democratic scandals could challenge this outlook.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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