General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori leads trader consensus in Peru’s June 7 presidential runoff after securing first place in the fragmented April first round with 17 percent of the vote, ahead of Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 12 percent. Recent Ipsos polling shows Fujimori maintaining a narrow edge at 38-39 percent to Sánchez’s 35 percent, driven by voter priorities on security, crime reduction, and institutional stability amid Peru’s recent political volatility. Sánchez, backed by rural and left-leaning constituencies and aligned with former President Pedro Castillo’s legacy, has sought broader centrist support during the campaign while facing legal scrutiny. Other candidates remain sidelined after failing to advance, leaving the contest between these two frontrunners as the decisive factor in market pricing.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Результат запропоновано: Ні
Оскаржено
Пропозиція результату
Фінальне оскарження
Фінальний
Keiko Fujimori leads trader consensus in Peru’s June 7 presidential runoff after securing first place in the fragmented April first round with 17 percent of the vote, ahead of Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 12 percent. Recent Ipsos polling shows Fujimori maintaining a narrow edge at 38-39 percent to Sánchez’s 35 percent, driven by voter priorities on security, crime reduction, and institutional stability amid Peru’s recent political volatility. Sánchez, backed by rural and left-leaning constituencies and aligned with former President Pedro Castillo’s legacy, has sought broader centrist support during the campaign while facing legal scrutiny. Other candidates remain sidelined after failing to advance, leaving the contest between these two frontrunners as the decisive factor in market pricing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Jun 5 2026
Ipsos poll shows tightening race between Fujimori and Sánchez ahead of runoff
An Ipsos poll released days before the June 7 runoff showed a statistical tie between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez, reflecting a highly competitive race and influencing market prices to reflect a close contest.
May 31 2026
Presidential debate between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez held in Lima
With the runoff election approaching, a televised debate was held featuring the two candidates, Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez. The debate highlighted their contrasting platforms and intensified public attention, influencing market perceptions ahead of the June 7 runoff.
May 17 2026
Official confirmation of runoff candidates Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez
After 33 days of scrutiny and legal challenges, Peru’s National Office of Electoral Processes finalized the official vote count confirming Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez as the runoff candidates. This confirmation caused a surge in Fujimori's market price and a significant rise for Sánchez, while López Aliaga's price collapsed to zero.
May 15 2026
Official confirmation of runoff candidates Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez
Keiko Fujimori surges to 67%34%
After 33 days of scrutiny and legal challenges, Peru’s National Office of Electoral Processes finalized the official vote count confirming Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez as the runoff candidates. This confirmation caused a surge in Fujimori's market price and a significant rise for Sánchez, while López Aliaga's price collapsed to zero.
May 7 2026
Deadline set for vote recounts amid close second-place race
Roberto Sánchez Palomino surges to 25%22%
The National Jury of Elections set May 7 as the deadline for recounts of disputed votes, crucial for determining the second-place candidate. This prolonged uncertainty kept prices volatile, especially for Roberto Sánchez and Rafael López Aliaga, as the runoff contenders remained unclear.
Apr 21 2026
Head of Peru's electoral agency resigns amid election controversy
Following backlash over the chaotic April 12 election and delayed results, the head of Peru's National Office of Electoral Processes resigned. This event underscored institutional weaknesses and contributed to market volatility, particularly affecting the perceived chances of candidates involved in the runoff race.
Apr 19 2026
Final first-round results delayed until mid-May due to ballot review
Keiko Fujimori surges to 33%16%
The National Jury of Elections announced that final first-round results would be available by mid-May after reviewing disputed ballots. Keiko Fujimori led with 17%, Roberto Sánchez was second with 12%, and Rafael López Aliaga third with 11.9%. This official update caused a significant price increase for Fujimori and a recovery for Sánchez.
Apr 17 2026
Pressure mounts on Peru’s election authorities amid vote count delays
Keiko Fujimori rises to 17%3%
Growing calls for the resignation of the head of Peru’s electoral authority due to errors and slow tallying increased political uncertainty. Allegations of fraud by Rafael López Aliaga emerged but were widely dismissed, contributing to market swings and uncertainty about the runoff candidates.
Apr 15 2026
Ballot count delays and disputed ballots prolong Peru election results
Delays in counting and the need to review over 15,000 disputed ballots, including 30% related to the presidential race, extended the timeline for final results. This uncertainty caused market volatility, with Fujimori's price fluctuating and Sánchez's price initially low but gradually recovering.
Apr 15 2026
Roberto Sánchez rises in vote count amid tight race for second place
Roberto Sánchez Palomino drops to 38%12%
As vote counting progressed, leftist candidate Roberto Sánchez moved from sixth to third place, overtaking far-right candidate Rafael López Aliaga by a narrow margin. This prolonged the uncertainty over the runoff candidates and caused market volatility, especially for Sánchez and López Aliaga.
Apr 15 2026
Rafael López Aliaga alleges electoral fraud and calls for annulment
Rafael López Aliaga plunges to 0%51%
Far-right candidate Rafael López Aliaga publicly claimed a coup was underway and accused electoral authorities of rigging the election without evidence. He called for annulment of the election and offered rewards for proof of fraud, which increased political tension and market uncertainty, leading to a collapse in his market price.
Apr 12 2026
Peru's general election held amid logistical issues and voting extension
The April 12 general election faced significant logistical problems, including delayed voting in Lima and abroad, leading to an extension of voting to April 13. This caused initial uncertainty in the market, reflected in sharp price drops for leading candidates, as the election outcome was unclear.
Apr 12 2026
Peru holds general elections with record 35 presidential candidates
The first round of Peru's 2026 presidential election took place on April 12, featuring a highly fragmented field of 35 candidates. Voting was extended to April 13 in some areas due to logistical delays, causing initial uncertainty in the election outcome and market prices.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori leads trader consensus in Peru’s June 7 presidential runoff after securing first place in the fragmented April first round with 17 percent of the vote, ahead of Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 12 percent. Recent Ipsos polling shows Fujimori maintaining a narrow edge at 38-39 percent to Sánchez’s 35 percent, driven by voter priorities on security, crime reduction, and institutional stability amid Peru’s recent political volatility. Sánchez, backed by rural and left-leaning constituencies and aligned with former President Pedro Castillo’s legacy, has sought broader centrist support during the campaign while facing legal scrutiny. Other candidates remain sidelined after failing to advance, leaving the contest between these two frontrunners as the decisive factor in market pricing.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Результат запропоновано: Ні
Оскаржено
Пропозиція результату
Фінальне оскарження
Фінальний
Keiko Fujimori leads trader consensus in Peru’s June 7 presidential runoff after securing first place in the fragmented April first round with 17 percent of the vote, ahead of Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 12 percent. Recent Ipsos polling shows Fujimori maintaining a narrow edge at 38-39 percent to Sánchez’s 35 percent, driven by voter priorities on security, crime reduction, and institutional stability amid Peru’s recent political volatility. Sánchez, backed by rural and left-leaning constituencies and aligned with former President Pedro Castillo’s legacy, has sought broader centrist support during the campaign while facing legal scrutiny. Other candidates remain sidelined after failing to advance, leaving the contest between these two frontrunners as the decisive factor in market pricing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Jun 5 2026
Ipsos poll shows tightening race between Fujimori and Sánchez ahead of runoff
An Ipsos poll released days before the June 7 runoff showed a statistical tie between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez, reflecting a highly competitive race and influencing market prices to reflect a close contest.
May 31 2026
Presidential debate between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez held in Lima
With the runoff election approaching, a televised debate was held featuring the two candidates, Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez. The debate highlighted their contrasting platforms and intensified public attention, influencing market perceptions ahead of the June 7 runoff.
May 17 2026
Official confirmation of runoff candidates Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez
After 33 days of scrutiny and legal challenges, Peru’s National Office of Electoral Processes finalized the official vote count confirming Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez as the runoff candidates. This confirmation caused a surge in Fujimori's market price and a significant rise for Sánchez, while López Aliaga's price collapsed to zero.
May 15 2026
Official confirmation of runoff candidates Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez
Keiko Fujimori surges to 67%34%
After 33 days of scrutiny and legal challenges, Peru’s National Office of Electoral Processes finalized the official vote count confirming Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez as the runoff candidates. This confirmation caused a surge in Fujimori's market price and a significant rise for Sánchez, while López Aliaga's price collapsed to zero.
May 7 2026
Deadline set for vote recounts amid close second-place race
Roberto Sánchez Palomino surges to 25%22%
The National Jury of Elections set May 7 as the deadline for recounts of disputed votes, crucial for determining the second-place candidate. This prolonged uncertainty kept prices volatile, especially for Roberto Sánchez and Rafael López Aliaga, as the runoff contenders remained unclear.
Apr 21 2026
Head of Peru's electoral agency resigns amid election controversy
Following backlash over the chaotic April 12 election and delayed results, the head of Peru's National Office of Electoral Processes resigned. This event underscored institutional weaknesses and contributed to market volatility, particularly affecting the perceived chances of candidates involved in the runoff race.
Apr 19 2026
Final first-round results delayed until mid-May due to ballot review
Keiko Fujimori surges to 33%16%
The National Jury of Elections announced that final first-round results would be available by mid-May after reviewing disputed ballots. Keiko Fujimori led with 17%, Roberto Sánchez was second with 12%, and Rafael López Aliaga third with 11.9%. This official update caused a significant price increase for Fujimori and a recovery for Sánchez.
Apr 17 2026
Pressure mounts on Peru’s election authorities amid vote count delays
Keiko Fujimori rises to 17%3%
Growing calls for the resignation of the head of Peru’s electoral authority due to errors and slow tallying increased political uncertainty. Allegations of fraud by Rafael López Aliaga emerged but were widely dismissed, contributing to market swings and uncertainty about the runoff candidates.
Apr 15 2026
Ballot count delays and disputed ballots prolong Peru election results
Delays in counting and the need to review over 15,000 disputed ballots, including 30% related to the presidential race, extended the timeline for final results. This uncertainty caused market volatility, with Fujimori's price fluctuating and Sánchez's price initially low but gradually recovering.
Apr 15 2026
Roberto Sánchez rises in vote count amid tight race for second place
Roberto Sánchez Palomino drops to 38%12%
As vote counting progressed, leftist candidate Roberto Sánchez moved from sixth to third place, overtaking far-right candidate Rafael López Aliaga by a narrow margin. This prolonged the uncertainty over the runoff candidates and caused market volatility, especially for Sánchez and López Aliaga.
Apr 15 2026
Rafael López Aliaga alleges electoral fraud and calls for annulment
Rafael López Aliaga plunges to 0%51%
Far-right candidate Rafael López Aliaga publicly claimed a coup was underway and accused electoral authorities of rigging the election without evidence. He called for annulment of the election and offered rewards for proof of fraud, which increased political tension and market uncertainty, leading to a collapse in his market price.
Apr 12 2026
Peru's general election held amid logistical issues and voting extension
The April 12 general election faced significant logistical problems, including delayed voting in Lima and abroad, leading to an extension of voting to April 13. This caused initial uncertainty in the market, reflected in sharp price drops for leading candidates, as the election outcome was unclear.
Apr 12 2026
Peru holds general elections with record 35 presidential candidates
The first round of Peru's 2026 presidential election took place on April 12, featuring a highly fragmented field of 35 candidates. Voting was extended to April 13 in some areas due to logistical delays, causing initial uncertainty in the election outcome and market prices.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання
«Переможець президентських виборів у Перу» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 23 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Кейко Фухіморі» з 61%, далі «Роберто Санчес Паломіно» з 38%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.
Станом на сьогодні, «Переможець президентських виборів у Перу» згенерував $64.4 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 16, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.
Щоб торгувати на «Переможець президентських виборів у Перу», перегляньте 23 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.
Поточний фаворит для «Переможець президентських виборів у Перу» — «Кейко Фухіморі» з 61%. Наступний — «Роберто Санчес Паломіно» з 38%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.
Правила вирішення для «Переможець президентських виборів у Перу» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.
Так. Вам не потрібно торгувати, щоб бути в курсі. Ця сторінка служить трекером наживо для «Переможець президентських виборів у Перу». Ймовірності результатів оновлюються в реальному часі з новими угодами. Збережіть сторінку та перегляньте коментарі інших трейдерів.
Шанси Polymarket встановлюються реальними трейдерами, які вкладають реальні гроші, що сприяє точним прогнозам. З $64.4 million торгового обсягу на «Переможець президентських виборів у Перу» ці ціни агрегують колективні знання тисяч учасників. Polymarket має місячний показник точності 94%. Для актуальної статистики точності відвідайте сторінку точності на Polymarket.
Щоб зробити першу угоду на «Переможець президентських виборів у Перу», зареєструйте безкоштовний акаунт на Polymarket та поповніть його криптою, кредитною чи дебетовою карткою або банківським переказом. Після поповнення поверніться на цю сторінку, оберіть результат, введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви новачок на ринках прогнозів, натисніть «Як це працює» вгорі будь-якої сторінки Polymarket.
На Polymarket ціна кожного результату відображає ймовірність ринку. Ціна 61¢ для «Кейко Фухіморі» на ринку «Переможець президентських виборів у Перу» означає, що трейдери колективно оцінюють шанс цього результату приблизно в 61%. Якщо ви купите акції «Так» за 61¢ і результат правильний, ви отримаєте $1.00 за акцію — прибуток 39¢ за акцію.
Запланована дата завершення ринку «Переможець президентських виборів у Перу» минула, але ринок ще не вирішено офіційно. Ринок залишається відкритим для торгівлі до офіційного вирішення. Перевірте статус вирішення та розділ «Правила» на цій сторінці.
Ринок «Переможець президентських виборів у Перу» має активна спільнота з 5,906 коментарями, де трейдери діляться аналізом, обговорюють результати та останні новини. Прокрутіть вниз до розділу коментарів. Ви також можете фільтрувати за «Топ власники» або переглянути вкладку «Активність» для стрічки угод у реальному часі.
Polymarket — найбільший ринок прогнозів у світі, де ви можете бути в курсі подій та заробляти на знаннях реальних подій. Трейдери купують і продають акції на результати тем від політики та виборів до крипто, фінансів, спорту, технологій та культури, включаючи ринки, як «Переможець президентських виборів у Перу». Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання