Skip to main content
icon for CA-14 Primary Winners
Вибори·June 2 Primaries

CA-14 Primary Winners

icon for CA-14 Primary Winners
Вибори·June 2 Primaries

CA-14 Primary Winners

$7,868 Обс.

Jun 2, 2026
Polymarket

$7,868 Обс.

Polymarket

Victor Aguilar Jr.

$491 Обс.

No

Suzanne Chenault

$640 Обс.

No

Carin Elam

$926 Обс.

No

Melissa Hernandez

$528 Обс.

Yes

Wendy Huang

$1,224 Обс.

No

Matt Ortega

$1,322 Обс.

No

Rakhi Israni Singh

$1,763 Обс.

No

Aisha Wahab

$976 Обс.

Yes

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. Aisha Wahab holds a commanding early lead in California's June 16 special top-two primary for the open 14th congressional seat, followed by former BART board president Melissa Hernandez, with both Democrats positioned to advance past Republican contenders including Wendy Huang. Wahab's advantage stems from her state senate tenure, California Democratic Party endorsement, and fundraising edge in the East Bay district vacated after Eric Swalwell pursued a gubernatorial bid. The nonpartisan primary format in this heavily Democratic area favors intra-party competition over partisan crossover, while partial vote counts from Alameda County continue to shape trader assessments of the final top-two outcome ahead of the August 18 special general.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$7,868
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 21, 2026, 6:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. Aisha Wahab holds a commanding early lead in California's June 16 special top-two primary for the open 14th congressional seat, followed by former BART board president Melissa Hernandez, with both Democrats positioned to advance past Republican contenders including Wendy Huang. Wahab's advantage stems from her state senate tenure, California Democratic Party endorsement, and fundraising edge in the East Bay district vacated after Eric Swalwell pursued a gubernatorial bid. The nonpartisan primary format in this heavily Democratic area favors intra-party competition over partisan crossover, while partial vote counts from Alameda County continue to shape trader assessments of the final top-two outcome ahead of the August 18 special general.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$7,868
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 21, 2026, 6:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

Пов'язане

icon for Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?

Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?

94%
icon for Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?

Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?

69%
icon for Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat?

Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat?

49%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«CA-14 Primary Winners» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 8 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Melissa Hernandez» з 100%, далі «Aisha Wahab» з 100%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«CA-14 Primary Winners» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений May 21, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «CA-14 Primary Winners», перегляньте 8 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «CA-14 Primary Winners» — «Melissa Hernandez» з 100%. Наступний — «Aisha Wahab» з 100%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «CA-14 Primary Winners» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.