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Вибори·Вибори в США

Alaska Senate Election Winner

icon for Alaska Senate Election Winner
Вибори·Вибори в США

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola 60%

Dan Sullivan 39%

Dustin Darden <1%

Ann Diener <1%

Polymarket

$336,381 Обс.

Mary Peltola 60%

Dan Sullivan 39%

Dustin Darden <1%

Ann Diener <1%

Polymarket

$336,381 Обс.

icon for Mary Peltola

Mary Peltola

$166,244 Обс.

60%

icon for Dan Sullivan

Dan Sullivan

$92,450 Обс.

39%

icon for Dustin Darden

Dustin Darden

$21,931 Обс.

<1%

icon for Ann Diener

Ann Diener

$34,206 Обс.

<1%

icon for Richard Grayson

Richard Grayson

$21,549 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Mary Peltola holds the lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Alaska Senate seat due to her strong early polling margins and record fundraising that outpaced incumbent Dan Sullivan by a wide margin in the first quarter. Multiple Alaska Survey Research surveys from spring 2026 show Peltola ahead by 5–7 points in head-to-head matchups under the state's ranked-choice voting system, which helped her secure prior statewide wins. Sullivan, seeking a third term with Trump endorsement, benefits from Alaska's Republican lean but faces headwinds from Peltola's high approval ratings as the state's first Alaska Native in Congress and a crowded August primary that includes a same-name Republican challenger raising voter confusion concerns. Minor candidates remain at negligible levels in the market.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Обсяг
$336,381
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Mary Peltola holds the lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Alaska Senate seat due to her strong early polling margins and record fundraising that outpaced incumbent Dan Sullivan by a wide margin in the first quarter. Multiple Alaska Survey Research surveys from spring 2026 show Peltola ahead by 5–7 points in head-to-head matchups under the state's ranked-choice voting system, which helped her secure prior statewide wins. Sullivan, seeking a third term with Trump endorsement, benefits from Alaska's Republican lean but faces headwinds from Peltola's high approval ratings as the state's first Alaska Native in Congress and a crowded August primary that includes a same-name Republican challenger raising voter confusion concerns. Minor candidates remain at negligible levels in the market.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Обсяг
$336,381
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Alaska Senate Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Mary Peltola» з 60%, далі «Dan Sullivan» з 39%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Alaska Senate Election Winner» згенерував $336.4K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Oct 13, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Alaska Senate Election Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Alaska Senate Election Winner» — «Mary Peltola» з 60%. Наступний — «Dan Sullivan» з 39%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Alaska Senate Election Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.