Trump remains in office with active governance continuing into mid-2026, including recent executive orders on federal workforce reforms, nominations, and national security memoranda. Bipartisan calls for removal surfaced in April 2026 tied to statements on Iran and questions about fitness, prompting House resolutions and isolated 25th Amendment discussions, yet these measures stalled without advancing past committee or floor action in a Republican-led chamber. Senate conviction on impeachment requires a two-thirds majority that lacks cross-party backing, while Cabinet invocation of the 25th Amendment or resignation shows no institutional momentum. Traders price continuity through 2026 at 90.5% given these structural hurdles and the absence of developments capable of overcoming them before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоТак
$8,987,473 Обс.
$8,987,473 Обс.
Так
$8,987,473 Обс.
$8,987,473 Обс.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump remains in office with active governance continuing into mid-2026, including recent executive orders on federal workforce reforms, nominations, and national security memoranda. Bipartisan calls for removal surfaced in April 2026 tied to statements on Iran and questions about fitness, prompting House resolutions and isolated 25th Amendment discussions, yet these measures stalled without advancing past committee or floor action in a Republican-led chamber. Senate conviction on impeachment requires a two-thirds majority that lacks cross-party backing, while Cabinet invocation of the 25th Amendment or resignation shows no institutional momentum. Traders price continuity through 2026 at 90.5% given these structural hurdles and the absence of developments capable of overcoming them before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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