Incumbent Democrat Lizzie Fletcher secured her party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Texas's 7th congressional district, while Republican nominee Alexander Hale emerged from a May runoff. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and a partisan voting index exceeding D+13, combined with Fletcher's prior 61% general election margin in 2024, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring Democrats. The Houston-area seat's demographic composition and consistent performance in recent cycles have limited Republican competitiveness. A national political shift, unforeseen scandal, or significant candidate health development before November 2026 could still alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-07 House Election Winner
TX-07 House Election Winner
$11,635 Обс.
$11,635 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$11,635 Обс.
$11,635 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,476 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$2,159 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lizzie Fletcher secured her party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Texas's 7th congressional district, while Republican nominee Alexander Hale emerged from a May runoff. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and a partisan voting index exceeding D+13, combined with Fletcher's prior 61% general election margin in 2024, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring Democrats. The Houston-area seat's demographic composition and consistent performance in recent cycles have limited Republican competitiveness. A national political shift, unforeseen scandal, or significant candidate health development before November 2026 could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,635Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lizzie Fletcher secured her party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Texas's 7th congressional district, while Republican nominee Alexander Hale emerged from a May runoff. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and a partisan voting index exceeding D+13, combined with Fletcher's prior 61% general election margin in 2024, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring Democrats. The Houston-area seat's demographic composition and consistent performance in recent cycles have limited Republican competitiveness. A national political shift, unforeseen scandal, or significant candidate health development before November 2026 could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$11,635Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lizzie Fletcher secured her party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Texas's 7th congressional district, while Republican nominee Alexander Hale emerged from a May runoff. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and a partisan voting index exceeding D+13, combined with Fletcher's prior 61% general election margin in 2024, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring Democrats. The Houston-area seat's demographic composition and consistent performance in recent cycles have limited Republican competitiveness. A national political shift, unforeseen scandal, or significant candidate health development before November 2026 could still alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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