The Republican Party holds an 80% implied probability in the SC-02 House race due to the district's established partisan lean, with the incumbent Republican representative seeking another term against a field of Democratic challengers. Primaries scheduled for June 9 leave nominee identities unresolved, which supports the roughly 50% pricing on A, B, and Other outcomes amid ongoing candidate filings and limited recent polling shifts. The Democratic Party's lower 16.5% reflects the structural challenges in a district that has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, with no major developments in the past 30 days altering the competitive baseline ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus incorporates the district's voting history and the typical advantages for the majority-party incumbent in non-wave environments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSC-02 House Election Winner
SC-02 House Election Winner
$31,693 Обс.
$31,693 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
80%
Democratic Party
17%
$31,693 Обс.
$31,693 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$10,470 Обс.
80%
Democratic Party
$21,223 Обс.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds an 80% implied probability in the SC-02 House race due to the district's established partisan lean, with the incumbent Republican representative seeking another term against a field of Democratic challengers. Primaries scheduled for June 9 leave nominee identities unresolved, which supports the roughly 50% pricing on A, B, and Other outcomes amid ongoing candidate filings and limited recent polling shifts. The Democratic Party's lower 16.5% reflects the structural challenges in a district that has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, with no major developments in the past 30 days altering the competitive baseline ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus incorporates the district's voting history and the typical advantages for the majority-party incumbent in non-wave environments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$31,693Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds an 80% implied probability in the SC-02 House race due to the district's established partisan lean, with the incumbent Republican representative seeking another term against a field of Democratic challengers. Primaries scheduled for June 9 leave nominee identities unresolved, which supports the roughly 50% pricing on A, B, and Other outcomes amid ongoing candidate filings and limited recent polling shifts. The Democratic Party's lower 16.5% reflects the structural challenges in a district that has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, with no major developments in the past 30 days altering the competitive baseline ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus incorporates the district's voting history and the typical advantages for the majority-party incumbent in non-wave environments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$31,693Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party holds an 80% implied probability in the SC-02 House race due to the district's established partisan lean, with the incumbent Republican representative seeking another term against a field of Democratic challengers. Primaries scheduled for June 9 leave nominee identities unresolved, which supports the roughly 50% pricing on A, B, and Other outcomes amid ongoing candidate filings and limited recent polling shifts. The Democratic Party's lower 16.5% reflects the structural challenges in a district that has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, with no major developments in the past 30 days altering the competitive baseline ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus incorporates the district's voting history and the typical advantages for the majority-party incumbent in non-wave environments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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