Trever Nehls, identical twin brother of retiring incumbent Rep. Troy Nehls, secured the Republican nomination in a March 2026 primary landslide for the safely Republican TX-22 district, rated R+9 by Cook Political Report with a 20-point Trump margin in 2020. This continuity bolsters trader consensus at 86.5% for a GOP hold in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's suburban Houston strongholds in Fort Bend and Brazoria counties favoring Republicans. Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott, who lost decisively to Troy Nehls in 2024, faces steep structural barriers absent competitive polling or major shifts; no significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter fundamentals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-22 House Election Winner
TX-22 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,280 Обс.
87%
Democratic Party
$2,092 Обс.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trever Nehls, identical twin brother of retiring incumbent Rep. Troy Nehls, secured the Republican nomination in a March 2026 primary landslide for the safely Republican TX-22 district, rated R+9 by Cook Political Report with a 20-point Trump margin in 2020. This continuity bolsters trader consensus at 86.5% for a GOP hold in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's suburban Houston strongholds in Fort Bend and Brazoria counties favoring Republicans. Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott, who lost decisively to Troy Nehls in 2024, faces steep structural barriers absent competitive polling or major shifts; no significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,373Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trever Nehls, identical twin brother of retiring incumbent Rep. Troy Nehls, secured the Republican nomination in a March 2026 primary landslide for the safely Republican TX-22 district, rated R+9 by Cook Political Report with a 20-point Trump margin in 2020. This continuity bolsters trader consensus at 86.5% for a GOP hold in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's suburban Houston strongholds in Fort Bend and Brazoria counties favoring Republicans. Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott, who lost decisively to Troy Nehls in 2024, faces steep structural barriers absent competitive polling or major shifts; no significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$3,373Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trever Nehls, identical twin brother of retiring incumbent Rep. Troy Nehls, secured the Republican nomination in a March 2026 primary landslide for the safely Republican TX-22 district, rated R+9 by Cook Political Report with a 20-point Trump margin in 2020. This continuity bolsters trader consensus at 86.5% for a GOP hold in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's suburban Houston strongholds in Fort Bend and Brazoria counties favoring Republicans. Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott, who lost decisively to Troy Nehls in 2024, faces steep structural barriers absent competitive polling or major shifts; no significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter fundamentals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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