The TX-24 district's solid Republican lean, reflected in an R+8 partisan rating and Donald Trump's 58.5% vote share in 2024, continues to anchor market pricing near 78% for a GOP hold. Incumbent Beth Van Duyne advanced unopposed through the March 3 primary, building on her 60% margins in prior cycles, while Democratic primary turnout remained low with no candidate exceeding 50%. A May 26 runoff between Kevin Burge and TJ Ware draws outside spending from PACs, yet the suburban Dallas seat's fundamentals show limited crossover potential absent major national shifts. Upcoming general election dynamics on November 3 hinge on turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments, though historical base rates favor the incumbent party retaining control.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-24 House Election Winner
TX-24 House Election Winner
$26,395 Обс.
$26,395 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
74%
Democratic Party
26%
$26,395 Обс.
$26,395 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$11,466 Обс.
74%
Democratic Party
$14,929 Обс.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-24 district's solid Republican lean, reflected in an R+8 partisan rating and Donald Trump's 58.5% vote share in 2024, continues to anchor market pricing near 78% for a GOP hold. Incumbent Beth Van Duyne advanced unopposed through the March 3 primary, building on her 60% margins in prior cycles, while Democratic primary turnout remained low with no candidate exceeding 50%. A May 26 runoff between Kevin Burge and TJ Ware draws outside spending from PACs, yet the suburban Dallas seat's fundamentals show limited crossover potential absent major national shifts. Upcoming general election dynamics on November 3 hinge on turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments, though historical base rates favor the incumbent party retaining control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$26,395Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-24 district's solid Republican lean, reflected in an R+8 partisan rating and Donald Trump's 58.5% vote share in 2024, continues to anchor market pricing near 78% for a GOP hold. Incumbent Beth Van Duyne advanced unopposed through the March 3 primary, building on her 60% margins in prior cycles, while Democratic primary turnout remained low with no candidate exceeding 50%. A May 26 runoff between Kevin Burge and TJ Ware draws outside spending from PACs, yet the suburban Dallas seat's fundamentals show limited crossover potential absent major national shifts. Upcoming general election dynamics on November 3 hinge on turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments, though historical base rates favor the incumbent party retaining control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$26,395Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The TX-24 district's solid Republican lean, reflected in an R+8 partisan rating and Donald Trump's 58.5% vote share in 2024, continues to anchor market pricing near 78% for a GOP hold. Incumbent Beth Van Duyne advanced unopposed through the March 3 primary, building on her 60% margins in prior cycles, while Democratic primary turnout remained low with no candidate exceeding 50%. A May 26 runoff between Kevin Burge and TJ Ware draws outside spending from PACs, yet the suburban Dallas seat's fundamentals show limited crossover potential absent major national shifts. Upcoming general election dynamics on November 3 hinge on turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments, though historical base rates favor the incumbent party retaining control.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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