Missouri's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, including the retiring incumbent's 70.7 percent share in 2024. The open-seat dynamic following Sam Graves's March 2026 retirement has drawn multiple Republican primary candidates ahead of the August 4 contest, yet the absence of notable Democratic fundraising or polling surges has kept the Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and similar forecasters intact. Traders price this structural advantage into the 91.5 percent Republican consensus, with the general election on November 3 viewed as low-risk absent major disruption. A divisive primary outcome, nominee-specific scandal, or unusually strong national Democratic midterm wave could introduce volatility, though such shifts would require sustained movement against the district's established voting patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMO-06 House Election Winner
MO-06 House Election Winner
$28,012 Обс.
$28,012 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
$28,012 Обс.
$28,012 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$22,456 Обс.
92%
Democratic Party
$5,555 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, including the retiring incumbent's 70.7 percent share in 2024. The open-seat dynamic following Sam Graves's March 2026 retirement has drawn multiple Republican primary candidates ahead of the August 4 contest, yet the absence of notable Democratic fundraising or polling surges has kept the Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and similar forecasters intact. Traders price this structural advantage into the 91.5 percent Republican consensus, with the general election on November 3 viewed as low-risk absent major disruption. A divisive primary outcome, nominee-specific scandal, or unusually strong national Democratic midterm wave could introduce volatility, though such shifts would require sustained movement against the district's established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$28,012Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, including the retiring incumbent's 70.7 percent share in 2024. The open-seat dynamic following Sam Graves's March 2026 retirement has drawn multiple Republican primary candidates ahead of the August 4 contest, yet the absence of notable Democratic fundraising or polling surges has kept the Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and similar forecasters intact. Traders price this structural advantage into the 91.5 percent Republican consensus, with the general election on November 3 viewed as low-risk absent major disruption. A divisive primary outcome, nominee-specific scandal, or unusually strong national Democratic midterm wave could introduce volatility, though such shifts would require sustained movement against the district's established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$28,012Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, including the retiring incumbent's 70.7 percent share in 2024. The open-seat dynamic following Sam Graves's March 2026 retirement has drawn multiple Republican primary candidates ahead of the August 4 contest, yet the absence of notable Democratic fundraising or polling surges has kept the Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and similar forecasters intact. Traders price this structural advantage into the 91.5 percent Republican consensus, with the general election on November 3 viewed as low-risk absent major disruption. A divisive primary outcome, nominee-specific scandal, or unusually strong national Democratic midterm wave could introduce volatility, though such shifts would require sustained movement against the district's established voting patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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