The strong Republican lean of Texas's 31st congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent voting patterns, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Representative John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 3, 2026 primary with approximately 60 percent of the vote, avoiding a runoff and continuing his long tenure in the solidly Republican seat. Democratic nominee Justin Early advanced from a competitive primary but faces structural challenges in a district rated solid Republican by major forecasters. With the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026, limited recent developments have altered the outlook, as the race remains defined by the district's electoral math and the absence of significant competitive pressures.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-31 House Election Winner
TX-31 House Election Winner
$13,946 Обс.
$13,946 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
16%
$13,946 Обс.
$13,946 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,720 Обс.
84%
Democratic Party
$5,226 Обс.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican lean of Texas's 31st congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent voting patterns, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Representative John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 3, 2026 primary with approximately 60 percent of the vote, avoiding a runoff and continuing his long tenure in the solidly Republican seat. Democratic nominee Justin Early advanced from a competitive primary but faces structural challenges in a district rated solid Republican by major forecasters. With the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026, limited recent developments have altered the outlook, as the race remains defined by the district's electoral math and the absence of significant competitive pressures.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,946Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican lean of Texas's 31st congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent voting patterns, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Representative John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 3, 2026 primary with approximately 60 percent of the vote, avoiding a runoff and continuing his long tenure in the solidly Republican seat. Democratic nominee Justin Early advanced from a competitive primary but faces structural challenges in a district rated solid Republican by major forecasters. With the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026, limited recent developments have altered the outlook, as the race remains defined by the district's electoral math and the absence of significant competitive pressures.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$13,946Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Republican lean of Texas's 31st congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent voting patterns, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Representative John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 3, 2026 primary with approximately 60 percent of the vote, avoiding a runoff and continuing his long tenure in the solidly Republican seat. Democratic nominee Justin Early advanced from a competitive primary but faces structural challenges in a district rated solid Republican by major forecasters. With the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026, limited recent developments have altered the outlook, as the race remains defined by the district's electoral math and the absence of significant competitive pressures.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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