California's 30th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 90 percent for the November 2026 general election. The seat features heavy Democratic voter registration, an urban Los Angeles County footprint, and a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+20. Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman secured 68 percent in the 2024 general election after winning an open primary to replace Adam Schiff, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Limited Republican field strength and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data further reinforce the current positioning. A significant shift would require major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals, scandals, or substantial national political realignments within the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-30 House Election Winner
CA-30 House Election Winner
$12,568 Обс.
$12,568 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$12,568 Обс.
$12,568 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,001 Обс.
93%
Republican Party
$6,567 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 30th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 90 percent for the November 2026 general election. The seat features heavy Democratic voter registration, an urban Los Angeles County footprint, and a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+20. Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman secured 68 percent in the 2024 general election after winning an open primary to replace Adam Schiff, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Limited Republican field strength and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data further reinforce the current positioning. A significant shift would require major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals, scandals, or substantial national political realignments within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,568Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 30th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 90 percent for the November 2026 general election. The seat features heavy Democratic voter registration, an urban Los Angeles County footprint, and a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+20. Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman secured 68 percent in the 2024 general election after winning an open primary to replace Adam Schiff, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Limited Republican field strength and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data further reinforce the current positioning. A significant shift would require major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals, scandals, or substantial national political realignments within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$12,568Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 30th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 90 percent for the November 2026 general election. The seat features heavy Democratic voter registration, an urban Los Angeles County footprint, and a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+20. Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman secured 68 percent in the 2024 general election after winning an open primary to replace Adam Schiff, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Limited Republican field strength and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data further reinforce the current positioning. A significant shift would require major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals, scandals, or substantial national political realignments within the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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