Incumbent Adriano Espaillat holds the clearest edge in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York's 13th Congressional District, supported by his long tenure since 2017, strong name recognition among Latino voters in Upper Manhattan and the Bronx, and intensified campaign activity in recent weeks. Darializa Avila Chevalier, a first-time candidate backed by the DSA and progressive coalitions, has drawn attention through her organizing background and pro-Palestine positions, narrowing the gap in trader assessments. Minor candidates remain marginal due to limited visibility and a fragmented field. Recent petition-signature disputes and Espaillat's visible outreach have reinforced the current implied probabilities, though the primary remains open to shifts from turnout or late endorsements.