The June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 13th Congressional District remains closely contested, with trader consensus assigning Darializa Avila Chevalier a modest lead over incumbent Adriano Espaillat. Chevalier, a democratic socialist and community organizer, has drawn significant support from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and progressive networks, sharpening focus on issues such as campaign finance, immigration enforcement, and foreign policy in recent candidate forums. Espaillat, seeking re-nomination in a district encompassing Upper Manhattan and parts of the Bronx, benefits from institutional endorsements including House Democratic leadership while defending his record against a well-funded challenge. A late-stage controversy over the challenger’s past social media posts has introduced additional uncertainty ahead of the vote, though the narrow pricing reflects ongoing voter mobilization efforts in key neighborhoods like Harlem.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоDarializa Avila Chevalier 54%
Adriano Espaillat 42%
Matt Miller <1%
Oscar Romero <1%
$35,692 Обс.
$35,692 Обс.
Darializa Avila Chevalier
54%
Adriano Espaillat
42%
Matt Miller
<1%
Oscar Romero
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 54%
Adriano Espaillat 42%
Matt Miller <1%
Oscar Romero <1%
$35,692 Обс.
$35,692 Обс.
Darializa Avila Chevalier
54%
Adriano Espaillat
42%
Matt Miller
<1%
Oscar Romero
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 13th Congressional District remains closely contested, with trader consensus assigning Darializa Avila Chevalier a modest lead over incumbent Adriano Espaillat. Chevalier, a democratic socialist and community organizer, has drawn significant support from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and progressive networks, sharpening focus on issues such as campaign finance, immigration enforcement, and foreign policy in recent candidate forums. Espaillat, seeking re-nomination in a district encompassing Upper Manhattan and parts of the Bronx, benefits from institutional endorsements including House Democratic leadership while defending his record against a well-funded challenge. A late-stage controversy over the challenger’s past social media posts has introduced additional uncertainty ahead of the vote, though the narrow pricing reflects ongoing voter mobilization efforts in key neighborhoods like Harlem.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання