Skip to main content
Market icon
Політика·Первинні

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Політика·Первинні

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Ben McAdams 74%

Nate Blouin 22%

Brian King <1%

Kathleen Riebe <1%

Polymarket

$25,095 Обс.

Ben McAdams 74%

Nate Blouin 22%

Brian King <1%

Kathleen Riebe <1%

Polymarket

$25,095 Обс.

Ben McAdams

$6,976 Обс.

74%

Nate Blouin

$3,721 Обс.

22%

Brian King

$904 Обс.

1%

Kathleen Riebe

$1,305 Обс.

1%

Jenny Wilson

$1,111 Обс.

<1%

Erin Mendenhall

$4,197 Обс.

<1%

Luz Escamilla

$5,536 Обс.

<1%

Caroline Gleich

$668 Обс.

<1%

Kael Weston

$677 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams holds a commanding 74% implied probability on Polymarket to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, reflecting trader consensus on his strengthened position after state Sen. Kathleen Riebe's April 11 dropout due to fundraising shortfalls and her endorsement, which consolidated moderate support while criticizing rival Nate Blouin as "volatile." Blouin's 22% odds persist despite widespread backlash from resurfaced 2009–2015 social media posts featuring vulgar slurs, mockery of Latter-day Saints, and sexual assault jokes—revealed April 15—prompting calls to drop out from Democratic colleagues and opponents, whom he blamed on "bigger forces." A March Data for Progress poll had McAdams at 36% to Blouin's 23% among likely voters with 25% undecided; the April 25 state convention looms as a key delegate battle. Other candidates lag with under 1% each, underscoring the two-way race dynamics in the D-leaning district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$25,095
Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams holds a commanding 74% implied probability on Polymarket to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, reflecting trader consensus on his strengthened position after state Sen. Kathleen Riebe's April 11 dropout due to fundraising shortfalls and her endorsement, which consolidated moderate support while criticizing rival Nate Blouin as "volatile." Blouin's 22% odds persist despite widespread backlash from resurfaced 2009–2015 social media posts featuring vulgar slurs, mockery of Latter-day Saints, and sexual assault jokes—revealed April 15—prompting calls to drop out from Democratic colleagues and opponents, whom he blamed on "bigger forces." A March Data for Progress poll had McAdams at 36% to Blouin's 23% among likely voters with 25% undecided; the April 25 state convention looms as a key delegate battle. Other candidates lag with under 1% each, underscoring the two-way race dynamics in the D-leaning district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$25,095
Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 9 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Ben McAdams» з 74%, далі «Nate Blouin» з 22%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $25.1K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 25, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 9 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Ben McAdams» з 74%. Наступний — «Nate Blouin» з 22%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.