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Політика·Первинні

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Політика·Первинні

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Ben McAdams 75%

Nate Blouin 20%

Liban Mohamed 7.1%

Erin Mendenhall <1%

Polymarket

$29,110 Обс.

Ben McAdams 75%

Nate Blouin 20%

Liban Mohamed 7.1%

Erin Mendenhall <1%

Polymarket

$29,110 Обс.

Ben McAdams

$7,826 Обс.

75%

Nate Blouin

$4,016 Обс.

20%

Liban Mohamed

$657 Обс.

7%

Erin Mendenhall

$4,431 Обс.

<1%

Luz Escamilla

$5,752 Обс.

<1%

Brian King

$1,112 Обс.

<1%

Caroline Gleich

$1,151 Обс.

<1%

Kathleen Riebe

$1,537 Обс.

<1%

Kael Weston

$1,095 Обс.

<1%

Jenny Wilson

$1,327 Обс.

<1%

Michael Farrell

$204 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams holds a commanding trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, bolstered by his fundraising lead, name recognition from prior service, and early polling edges like a March survey showing him at 36% amid high undecideds. State Sen. Nate Blouin trails at 19.5% as the progressive challenger gaining traction through sharper campaign rhetoric and attacks on McAdams' moderate record. Newcomer Liban Mohamed's 7.2% reflects his surprise April 25 state convention victory via ranked-choice voting over McAdams, energizing delegates but facing hurdles in the broader primary electorate. Kathleen Riebe's April dropout and endorsement of McAdams further solidified his position, with no major shifts since despite a competitive four-way field including Michael Farrell.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$29,110
Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams holds a commanding trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, bolstered by his fundraising lead, name recognition from prior service, and early polling edges like a March survey showing him at 36% amid high undecideds. State Sen. Nate Blouin trails at 19.5% as the progressive challenger gaining traction through sharper campaign rhetoric and attacks on McAdams' moderate record. Newcomer Liban Mohamed's 7.2% reflects his surprise April 25 state convention victory via ranked-choice voting over McAdams, energizing delegates but facing hurdles in the broader primary electorate. Kathleen Riebe's April dropout and endorsement of McAdams further solidified his position, with no major shifts since despite a competitive four-way field including Michael Farrell.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$29,110
Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Ben McAdams» з 75%, далі «Nate Blouin» з 20%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $29.1K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 25, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Ben McAdams» з 75%. Наступний — «Nate Blouin» з 20%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.