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Політика·June 23 Primaries

MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner
Політика·June 23 Primaries

MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner

Glenn Ivey 99%

Jonathan White <1%

Shavonne Hedgepeth <1%

Joseph Gomes <1%

Polymarket

$20,018 Обс.

Glenn Ivey 99%

Jonathan White <1%

Shavonne Hedgepeth <1%

Joseph Gomes <1%

Polymarket

$20,018 Обс.

Shavonne Hedgepeth

$769 Обс.

No

Glenn Ivey

$16,223 Обс.

Yes

Jonathan White

$1,455 Обс.

No

Joseph Gomes

$700 Обс.

No

Jakeya Johnson

$871 Обс.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Glenn Ivey holds a commanding position in the Maryland 4th congressional district Democratic primary due to his established record since winning the seat in 2022, including strong prior primary and general election margins in this solidly Democratic area. With the June 23 primary just days away, the limited field of challengers—Joseph Gomes, Shavonne Hedgepeth, Jakeya Johnson, and Jonathan White—has generated minimal visible momentum or fundraising visibility. Trader consensus reflects the typical advantages of incumbency, name recognition, and institutional support in low-profile House primaries, where upsets remain rare absent major scandals or redistricting shifts. A late surprise in turnout or an unforeseen endorsement could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments appear unlikely at this stage.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$20,018
Ринок відкрито
Jun 10, 2026, 4:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Glenn Ivey holds a commanding position in the Maryland 4th congressional district Democratic primary due to his established record since winning the seat in 2022, including strong prior primary and general election margins in this solidly Democratic area. With the June 23 primary just days away, the limited field of challengers—Joseph Gomes, Shavonne Hedgepeth, Jakeya Johnson, and Jonathan White—has generated minimal visible momentum or fundraising visibility. Trader consensus reflects the typical advantages of incumbency, name recognition, and institutional support in low-profile House primaries, where upsets remain rare absent major scandals or redistricting shifts. A late surprise in turnout or an unforeseen endorsement could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments appear unlikely at this stage.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$20,018
Ринок відкрито
Jun 10, 2026, 4:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Glenn Ivey» з 100%, далі «Shavonne Hedgepeth» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $20K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jun 10, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Glenn Ivey» з 100%. Наступний — «Shavonne Hedgepeth» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.