Trader consensus on Polymarket prices PSOE-A securing 27-29 seats in the Andalusian Parliament at 49.5% for the May 17 regional election, closely mirroring recent polls like Sigma Dos for El Mundo (22.9% vote share projecting 27-29 escaños) and the CIS Andaluz barometer (20.1% implying 25-27). This positioning reflects PSOE-A's persistent decline to historic lows under leader María Jesús Montero, driven by internal scandals, national government fatigue, and fragmentation on the left with rising Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía. Incumbent PP under Juanma Moreno consolidates dominance near absolute majority (55 seats), while Vox stagnates; final campaign rallies, including Pedro Sánchez's May 10 appearance, have not reversed the trend amid steady turnout expectations under proportional representation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated27-29 61%
24-26 44%
30-32 22%
21-23 11.6%
<21
2%
21-23
12%
24-26
28%
27-29
50%
30-32
14%
33+
4%
27-29 61%
24-26 44%
30-32 22%
21-23 11.6%
<21
2%
21-23
12%
24-26
28%
27-29
50%
30-32
14%
33+
4%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices PSOE-A securing 27-29 seats in the Andalusian Parliament at 49.5% for the May 17 regional election, closely mirroring recent polls like Sigma Dos for El Mundo (22.9% vote share projecting 27-29 escaños) and the CIS Andaluz barometer (20.1% implying 25-27). This positioning reflects PSOE-A's persistent decline to historic lows under leader María Jesús Montero, driven by internal scandals, national government fatigue, and fragmentation on the left with rising Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía. Incumbent PP under Juanma Moreno consolidates dominance near absolute majority (55 seats), while Vox stagnates; final campaign rallies, including Pedro Sánchez's May 10 appearance, have not reversed the trend amid steady turnout expectations under proportional representation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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